Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
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FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Jazz41%9473
8Cavaliers59%9782
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.7
42.9
38.2
12
40%
4
7
2
1
1
5
1
3
2-2
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.8
41.5
35.9
19
47%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
7-7
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.3
40.2
32.0
19
44%
14
1
0
1
1
5
2
12
1-4
25%
9-20
8-15
45%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
37.0
21.7
7
51%
8
4
2
1
4
2
1
7
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.6
33.2
27.2
8
40%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
41%
2-6
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
16.6
4.9
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
14.3
3.1
4
40%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.1
7.8
15.5
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
6.5
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
26.3
1
4-8
48%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.6
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
2.1
0
0-0
39%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.2
43.7
34.1
24
45%
17
9
2
1
2
4
2
15
8-13
62%
8-15
8-15
53%
52%
0-6
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.3
43.0
28.1
21
56%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
7-13
3-6
54%
47%
2-5
40%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.1
40.3
34.7
4
11%
8
5
2
1
2
6
2
6
0-3
0%
2-13
5-10
15%
44%
0-4
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.8
25.3
24.7
8
44%
4
3
0
0
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
24.3
29.0
14
48%
12
0
0
1
0
0
7
5
4-8
50%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
31.1
19.9
2
33%
7
1
0
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
15.3
17.2
5
63%
7
1
0
0
2
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.9
9.3
20.1
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
7.7
13.6
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
12.1
0
1-3
47%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
5.3
0
0-1
44%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.1
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.0
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.