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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls69%99103
29Grizzlies31%92104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
43.5
34.1
33
73%
5
1
0
1
1
6
3
2
5-6
83%
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
6-12
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.5
40.4
36.9
9
50%
8
4
5
2
3
2
2
6
3-7
43%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.2
35.0
33.4
16
53%
4
6
2
1
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
34.2
37.0
23
57%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
5-5
100%
9-18
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.4
21.1
20.8
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
18.6
20.7
8
51%
8
0
0
1
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.9
16.7
7.0
8
80%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.5
13.2
22.1
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.7
8.2
15.5
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.4
5.4
4.0
2
17%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
3.9
4.7
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.6
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.1
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
42.8
34.7
21
59%
11
5
1
1
5
4
6
5
11-13
85%
5-12
7-14
42%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
40.5
31.7
25
70%
12
5
0
1
0
2
2
10
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
5-7
71%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.7
38.1
26.0
15
51%
10
1
3
1
0
3
1
9
9-11
82%
3-10
4-8
30%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
32.2
36.5
13
54%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
2-8
5-11
25%
44%
3-4
75%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.5
23.0
21.9
6
50%
6
5
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
41%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.6
33.0
19.2
19
65%
3
4
3
0
0
4
0
3
7-8
88%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-6
33%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.0
14.6
18.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
7.7
11.4
5
58%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-3
33%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.3
6.5
20.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
1.7
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
9.7
0
1-2
37%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
6.3
0
1-1
49%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.9
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.