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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bobcats30%9791
21Bucks70%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
43.4
34.1
20
69%
13
3
1
2
0
6
2
11
6-8
75%
7-11
6-12
64%
52%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.7
39.9
27.6
15
64%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
25.2
25.1
10
44%
5
3
1
1
0
1
3
2
4-10
40%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.7
23.1
32.3
5
29%
5
4
0
1
0
6
1
4
5-6
83%
0-4
4-9
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.5
21.3
29.6
8
65%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
30.4
14.9
18
73%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
2-3
67%
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
2-4
50%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.4
24.9
16.0
8
44%
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
44%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.7
21.9
19.2
7
39%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-6
40%
43%
1-4
25%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.5
8.2
13.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
1.7
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.4
17.6
1
2-5
43%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 22.9
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
44.5
37.8
27
60%
4
5
3
1
0
1
2
2
10-10
100%
7-14
7-13
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.2
41.2
26.9
17
48%
4
5
1
1
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
3-11
4-9
27%
49%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
40.1
36.6
17
67%
11
1
0
1
0
1
2
9
3-4
75%
7-11
5-10
64%
56%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
34.6
37.3
18
60%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
6-9
4-9
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.8
23.5
24.5
2
15%
12
1
0
1
1
0
4
8
0-2
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
52%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.6
21.2
31.2
7
36%
11
1
1
1
0
5
4
7
1-4
25%
3-8
5-10
38%
56%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
12.6
9.9
7
70%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-1
100%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
11.9
6.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
10.3
10.6
2
35%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
10.7
0
1-3
53%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.8
6.6
0
1-2
45%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 24.9
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.