for complete access.
All Games Sunday, March 18, 2007
Final Win Prob. pScore
22
Magic
29%87
97
7
Heat
71%94
83
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
118.38282.3
MIA logo Heat
102.58180.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
83
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMagic Rebound97
83
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot97
83
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHEAT Rebound97
83
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wright 12' Jump Shot97
83
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
83
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot97
83
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)97
83
Q4 - 1:11ORLAriza 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)97
81
Q4 - 1:30ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Milicic95
81
Q4 - 1:30ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)95
81
Q4 - 1:30MIAQuinn Reverse Layup (5 PTS)95
81
Q4 - 1:31ORLQuinn STEAL (2 STL)95
79
Q4 - 1:33ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
79
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot95
79
Q4 - 2:00ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Howard95
79
Q4 - 2:00ORLHoward Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)95
79
Q4 - 2:25MIAQuinn 6' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)95
79
Q4 - 2:32ORLWright STEAL (2 STL)95
77
Q4 - 2:57MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)95
77
Q4 - 2:57MIAHEAT Rebound95
76
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 295
76
Q4 - 2:57ORLDooling S.FOUL (P2.PN)95
76
Q4 - 2:5995
76
Q4 - 3:00ORLSUB: Redick FOR Nelson95
76
Q4 - 3:00MIAHEAT Rebound95
76
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot95
76
Q4 - 3:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
76
Q4 - 3:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 295
76
Q4 - 3:22ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)95
76
Q4 - 3:22ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Redick94
76
Q4 - 3:22MIASUB: Barron FOR Williams94
76
Q4 - 3:22MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.PN)94
76
Q4 - 3:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)94
76
Q4 - 3:22ORLMISS Turkoglu Finger Roll94
76
Q4 - 3:35ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)94
76
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
76
Q4 - 3:46ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)94
76
Q4 - 3:46MIASUB: Doleac FOR O'Neal93
76
Q4 - 3:46ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)93
76
Q4 - 3:46MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P5.PN)92
76
Q4 - 3:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)92
76
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot92
76
Q4 - 4:00ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T8)92
76
Q4 - 4:00ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P4)92
76
Q4 - 4:25MIAPosey Driving Dunk (14 PTS)92
76
Q4 - 4:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)92
74
Q4 - 4:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)91
74
Q4 - 4:39MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.PN)90
74
Q4 - 4:47MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)90
74
Q4 - 4:53MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
71
Q4 - 4:55ORLMISS Milicic Layup90
71
Q4 - 5:14ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
71
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 290
71
Q4 - 5:15MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)90
71
Q4 - 5:15ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P4.T4)90
70
Q4 - 5:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
70
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Wright 5' Jump Shot90
70
Q4 - 5:26ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Dooling90
70
Q4 - 5:26MIASUB: Williams FOR Mourning90
70
Q4 - 5:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)90
70
Q4 - 5:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
70
Q4 - 5:35ORLHoward Follow Up Dunk (14 PTS)90
70
Q4 - 5:38ORLMISS Dooling Layup88
70
Q4 - 5:52ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
70
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
70
Q4 - 6:12ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
70
Q4 - 6:12ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
70
Q4 - 6:12MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T4)86
70
Q4 - 6:28MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)86
70
Q4 - 6:42ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)86
68
Q4 - 7:03ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)84
68
Q4 - 7:05ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot84
68
Q4 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)84
68
Q4 - 7:22ORLMilicic Violation:Lane84
67
Q4 - 7:22ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Ariza84
67
Q4 - 7:22ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
67
Q4 - 7:22MIAO'Neal Driving Layup (18 PTS)84
67
Q4 - 7:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
65
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Dooling 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
65
Q4 - 8:01MIAPosey Tip Shot (9 PTS)84
65
Q4 - 8:03MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
63
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot84
63
Q4 - 8:30ORLRedick Layup (8 PTS) (Dooling 3 AST)84
63
Q4 - 8:35ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
63
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS Posey Layup82
63
Q4 - 9:00ORLMilicic Layup (12 PTS) (Dooling 2 AST)82
63
Q4 - 9:09MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams80
63
Q4 - 9:09MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Walker80
63
Q4 - 9:09MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T3)80
63
Q4 - 9:21MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)80
63
Q4 - 9:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
63
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
63
Q4 - 9:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)80
63
Q4 - 9:49ORLDooling Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)80
63
Q4 - 9:52MIAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)78
63
Q4 - 10:13ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
63
Q4 - 10:13ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
63
Q4 - 10:13MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T2)76
63
Q4 - 10:29ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
63
Q4 - 10:31ORLMISS Dooling 17' Jump Shot76
63
Q4 - 10:43MIAWright P.FOUL (P2.T1)76
63
Q4 - 10:58ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
63
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 176
63
Q4 - 10:59ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P3.T2)76
63
Q4 - 10:59MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)76
63
Q4 - 11:08MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
61
Q4 - 11:11ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
61
Q4 - 11:12ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
61
Q4 - 11:16ORLMISS Ariza 17' Jump Shot76
61
Q4 - 11:40MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
61
Q4 - 11:40MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
60
Q4 - 11:40ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T1)76
59
Q4 - 11:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
59
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
59
Q4 - 12:0076
59
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
59
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLDooling 9' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)76
59
Q3 - 0:18.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
59
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
59
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)74
59
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAWright Reverse Dunk (6 PTS)71
59
Q3 - 1:01ORLWright STEAL (1 STL)71
57
Q3 - 1:18ORLSUB: Redick FOR Nelson71
57
Q3 - 1:18MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)71
57
Q3 - 1:18ORLSUB: Howard FOR Battie71
56
Q3 - 1:18ORLBattie S.FOUL (P4.PN)71
56
Q3 - 1:18MIAMourning 6' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)71
56
Q3 - 1:35ORLMilicic Tip Shot (8 PTS)71
54
Q3 - 1:37ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
54
Q3 - 1:39ORLMISS Dooling 18' Jump Shot69
54
Q3 - 2:00ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
54
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot69
54
Q3 - 2:17MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
54
Q3 - 2:19ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot69
54
Q3 - 2:44MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)69
54
Q3 - 2:44MIAHEAT Rebound69
53
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 269
53
Q3 - 2:44ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Turkoglu69
53
Q3 - 2:44ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)69
53
Q3 - 2:44ORLBattie S.FOUL (P3.PN)69
53
Q3 - 2:55MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
53
Q3 - 2:58ORLMISS Battie 9' Jump Shot69
53
Q3 - 3:15MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
53
Q3 - 3:15MIAHEAT Rebound69
52
Q3 - 3:15MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 269
52
Q3 - 3:15ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P3.PN)69
52
Q3 - 3:30ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)69
52
Q3 - 3:40MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
52
Q3 - 3:40MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal67
51
Q3 - 3:40ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Howard67
51
Q3 - 3:40ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Hill67
51
Q3 - 3:40MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
51
Q3 - 3:40ORLBattie S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
50
Q3 - 3:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
50
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Running Hook Shot67
50
Q3 - 3:58MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
50
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
50
Q3 - 4:15ORLBattie 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)67
50
Q3 - 4:25ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
50
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Wright 6' Hook Shot67
50
Q3 - 4:45MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
50
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 267
50
Q3 - 4:47MIASUB: Wright FOR Jones67
50
Q3 - 4:47MIASUB: Walker FOR Posey67
50
Q3 - 4:47ORLMagic Rebound67
50
Q3 - 4:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 267
50
Q3 - 4:47MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T4)67
50
Q3 - 4:52ORLMagic Rebound67
50
Q3 - 4:53ORLMISS Nelson 18' Fadeaway Jumper67
50
Q3 - 5:12ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
50
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
50
Q3 - 5:21MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)67
50
Q3 - 5:31ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)67
50
Q3 - 5:41ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
50
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot65
50
Q3 - 6:03ORLBattie 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)65
50
Q3 - 6:21MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
50
Q3 - 6:21MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
49
Q3 - 6:21ORLNelson S.FOUL (P3.T4)63
48
Q3 - 6:27MIASUB: Doleac FOR Haslem63
48
Q3 - 6:27ORLBattie P.FOUL (P1.T3)63
48
Q3 - 6:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
48
Q3 - 6:42ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
48
Q3 - 6:58MIAJones 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)63
48
Q3 - 7:12ORLHill P.FOUL (P1.T2)63
46
Q3 - 7:34ORLNelson Driving Layup (11 PTS)63
46
Q3 - 7:51MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T3)61
46
Q3 - 7:51ORLMagic Rebound61
46
Q3 - 7:52ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot61
46
Q3 - 8:19MIAO'Neal 7' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)61
46
Q3 - 8:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
44
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 261
44
Q3 - 8:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
44
Q3 - 8:33ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
43
Q3 - 8:48ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)61
43
Q3 - 8:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
43
Q3 - 8:52ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot59
43
Q3 - 9:02MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)59
43
Q3 - 9:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
43
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot59
43
Q3 - 9:27ORLBattie 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)59
43
Q3 - 9:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
43
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
43
Q3 - 10:10ORLHoward 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
43
Q3 - 10:31MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)55
43
Q3 - 10:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
40
Q3 - 10:55ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot55
40
Q3 - 11:08MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P4.T1)55
40
Q3 - 11:16MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)55
40
Q3 - 11:38ORLPosey STEAL (1 STL)55
37
Q3 - 12:0055
37
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
37
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound55
37
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 65' 3PT Jump Shot55
37
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)55
37
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
37
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
37
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
37
Q2 - 0:38.0MIASUB: Posey FOR Haslem51
37
Q2 - 0:38.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
37
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T4)50
37
Q2 - 0:41.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
37
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot50
37
Q2 - 1:02ORLOutlaw Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)50
37
Q2 - 1:20MIAO'Neal Dunk (14 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)48
37
Q2 - 1:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
35
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 7' Jump Shot48
35
Q2 - 1:43ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
35
Q2 - 1:45MIAMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot48
35
Q2 - 1:59ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Milicic48
35
Q2 - 1:59MIASUB: Wright FOR Walker48
35
Q2 - 1:59MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)48
35
Q2 - 1:59ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Milicic )48
34
Q2 - 2:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
34
Q2 - 2:11ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot48
34
Q2 - 2:21ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
34
Q2 - 2:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 9' Jump Shot48
34
Q2 - 2:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)48
34
Q2 - 2:40ORLMagic Rebound48
34
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
34
Q2 - 2:57ORLNelson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)48
34
Q2 - 3:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
34
Q2 - 3:05MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
34
Q2 - 3:24MIASUB: Haslem FOR Posey46
34
Q2 - 3:24ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)46
34
Q2 - 3:24ORLNelson OFF.Foul (P2)46
34
Q2 - 3:30MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn46
34
Q2 - 3:30MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T3)46
34
Q2 - 3:38MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)46
34
Q2 - 3:42ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
34
Q2 - 3:42ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
34
Q2 - 3:42MIASUB: Jones FOR Wright44
34
Q2 - 3:42MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.T2)44
34
Q2 - 3:59MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)44
34
Q2 - 4:13MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
31
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot44
31
Q2 - 4:26ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Redick44
31
Q2 - 4:26ORLSUB: Hill FOR Ariza44
31
Q2 - 4:26ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
31
Q2 - 4:30ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
31
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
31
Q2 - 4:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
31
Q2 - 4:49ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot44
31
Q2 - 5:10MIAPosey Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)44
31
Q2 - 5:14ORLQuinn STEAL (1 STL)44
29
Q2 - 5:23ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
29
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Quinn 17' Jump Shot44
29
Q2 - 5:42ORLAriza 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)44
29
Q2 - 6:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
29
Q2 - 6:02ORLMilicic Violation:Lane42
28
Q2 - 6:02MIAHEAT Rebound42
28
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 242
28
Q2 - 6:02ORLMilicic P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
28
Q2 - 6:13MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
28
Q2 - 6:15ORLMISS Battie 18' Jump Shot42
28
Q2 - 6:17ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
28
Q2 - 6:19ORLWright BLOCK (2 BLK)42
28
Q2 - 6:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
28
Q2 - 6:40ORLSUB: Battie FOR Howard42
27
Q2 - 6:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
27
Q2 - 6:40ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Dooling42
26
Q2 - 6:40ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
26
Q2 - 6:54ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)42
26
Q2 - 6:54MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T1)41
26
Q2 - 6:54ORLDooling 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
26
Q2 - 7:10MIAWright Reverse Dunk (4 PTS)39
26
Q2 - 7:24ORLAriza 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
24
Q2 - 7:45MIAO'Neal Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)37
24
Q2 - 7:56MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
22
Q2 - 7:58ORLMISS Milicic 13' Jump Hook Shot37
22
Q2 - 8:12ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
22
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 237
22
Q2 - 8:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
22
Q2 - 8:13ORLMilicic S.FOUL (P1.T4)37
21
Q2 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound37
21
Q2 - 8:20MIAMISS Walker Layup37
21
Q2 - 8:28ORLDooling P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
21
Q2 - 8:34ORLMilicic Tip Shot (4 PTS)37
21
Q2 - 8:35ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
21
Q2 - 8:37ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
21
Q2 - 8:52MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams35
21
Q2 - 8:5235
21
Q2 - 8:52MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
21
Q2 - 8:52MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)35
21
Q2 - 8:57MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
21
Q2 - 8:59ORLMISS Ariza 8' Jump Shot35
21
Q2 - 9:20ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Jump Shot35
21
Q2 - 9:38ORLSUB: Howard FOR Turkoglu35
21
Q2 - 9:38MIASUB: Posey FOR Jones35
21
Q2 - 9:38MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning35
21
Q2 - 9:38ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T2)35
21
Q2 - 9:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
21
Q2 - 9:39ORLMISS Turkoglu 6' Jump Shot35
21
Q2 - 9:59MIAWalker 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)35
21
Q2 - 10:18ORLTurkoglu 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)35
19
Q2 - 10:32MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
19
Q2 - 10:53ORLRedick 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)33
17
Q2 - 11:04ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
17
Q2 - 11:06MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
17
Q2 - 11:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
17
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS Redick 16' Jump Shot30
17
Q2 - 11:26MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
17
Q2 - 11:26MIAHEAT Rebound30
16
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 230
16
Q2 - 11:26ORLAriza S.FOUL (P1.T1)30
16
Q2 - 11:45ORLMilicic Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)30
16
Q2 - 12:0028
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
16
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
16
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
16
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T4)26
16
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLMagic Rebound26
16
Q1 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Walker Layup26
16
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Howard26
16
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLTurkoglu Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)26
16
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)26
16
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)26
16
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
16
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLWright BLOCK (1 BLK)24
16
Q1 - 1:13MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)24
16
Q1 - 1:26MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
14
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot24
14
Q1 - 1:40ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Nelson24
14
Q1 - 1:40ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Battie24
14
Q1 - 1:40MIASUB: Wright FOR O'Neal24
14
Q1 - 1:40MIASUB: Mourning FOR Posey24
14
Q1 - 1:40ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
14
Q1 - 1:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)24
14
Q1 - 1:48ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)24
14
Q1 - 1:53MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
14
Q1 - 2:16ORLHoward Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)22
14
Q1 - 2:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
14
Q1 - 2:21ORLMISS Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
14
Q1 - 2:35MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)20
14
Q1 - 2:56ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)20
12
Q1 - 3:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Walker 9' Running Jump Shot18
12
Q1 - 3:22MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 3:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 218
12
Q1 - 3:24ORLMagic Rebound18
12
Q1 - 3:24ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 218
12
Q1 - 3:24MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
12
Q1 - 3:27ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
12
Q1 - 3:50ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)18
12
Q1 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
12
Q1 - 3:58MIAMISS O'Neal Layup16
12
Q1 - 4:22ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
12
Q1 - 4:40ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 4:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
12
Q1 - 4:50ORLMISS Nelson 6' Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 5:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
12
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 5:12ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
12
Q1 - 5:12ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P1)14
12
Q1 - 5:28ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
12
Q1 - 5:30ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 5:55MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 6:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
10
Q1 - 6:18ORLNelson Driving Layup (5 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 6:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10
Q1 - 6:26MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Running Hook Shot12
10
Q1 - 6:35MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10
Q1 - 6:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot12
10
Q1 - 6:45MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem12
10
Q1 - 6:45MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T2)12
10
Q1 - 7:04MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
10
Q1 - 7:32ORLTurkoglu Layup (7 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 7:37MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
10
Q1 - 7:41MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Jones Layup10
10
Q1 - 8:00ORLHoward Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)10
10
Q1 - 8:16MIAWilliams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 8:32ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 8:38MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)5
8
Q1 - 9:01ORLNelson 23' Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 9:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
6
Q1 - 9:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 23' Jump Shot3
6
Q1 - 9:23MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
6
Q1 - 9:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)3
6
Q1 - 9:40MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
5
Q1 - 9:40ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.T1)3
4
Q1 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
4
Q1 - 9:59ORLMISS Hill 18' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:07ORLNelson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 10:07MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )2
4
Q1 - 10:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:29MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:30ORLMISS Battie 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:40MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:50ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:04MIAPosey Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:24ORLTurkoglu 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:47MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Howard: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.7%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
18
83%
MIA
13
22
59%
Midrange
ORL
19
48
40%
MIA
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
MIA
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
Free Throws
ORL
17
22
77%
MIA
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2053%10.0 / 19
D. Howard1777%8.5 / 11
D. Milicic1275%6.0 / 8
J. Nelson1146%5.5 / 12
J. Redick1063%5.0 / 8
T. Battie850%4.0 / 8
T. Ariza867%4.0 / 6
K. Dooling744%3.5 / 8
G. Hill220%1.0 / 5
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2067%10.0 / 15
J. Posey1470%7.0 / 10
J. Williams1036%5.0 / 14
A. Walker941%4.5 / 11
D. Wright836%4.0 / 11
A. Mourning880%4.0 / 5
E. Jones542%2.5 / 6
C. Quinn550%2.5 / 5
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
M. Doleac233%1.0 / 3
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
71
+16
-11
87
MIA
73
+13
-8
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.11 55.7%
MIA
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
104.2
ORL 118.3 +15.8
MIA 102.5
Pace
89.8
90.1
ORL 82.3 +1.6
MIA 80.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ORL 17.5 −0.4
MIA 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.6%
ORL 52.6% +8.9%
MIA 43.7%
TO %
18.0%
15.3%
ORL 11.4%
MIA 9.7% −1.7%
ORB %
29.3%
24.9%
ORL 35.9% +12.8%
MIA 23.1%
FTrt
39.3
32.1
ORL 28.9
MIA 42.3 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
57.6%
ORL 42.1%
MIA 58.6% +16.5%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
ORL 6.1%
MIA 6.2% +0.1%
BLK %
8.5%
8.8%
ORL 8.2% +5.2%
MIA 3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
52.4%
ORL 55.7% +8.5%
MIA 47.2%
Rim FG%
61.6%
61.8%
ORL 83.3% +24.2%
MIA 59.1%
Mid FG%
38.3%
40.5%
ORL 39.6%
MIA 44.4% +4.8%
3P %
35.6%
34.3%
ORL 40.0% +21.8%
MIA 18.2%
FT %
70.2%
69.0%
ORL 77.3% +7.3%
MIA 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
34.9%
ORL 23.7%
MIA 31.0% +7.3%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
40.7%
ORL 63.2%
MIA 38.0% −25.1%
3P Att. %
15.8%
24.5%
ORL 13.2%
MIA 31.0% +17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions8281
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points9783
Rebounds4434
Assists1617
Steals55
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (2)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (3)25 (0)
Field Goals38-7629-71
At-the-Rim FG15-1813-22
Midrange FG19-4812-27
2-Point FG34-6625-49
3-Point FG4-104-22
Free Throws17-2221-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

22 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
35.4
20
53%
3
4
2
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
6-14
43%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
34.1
17
77%
11
0
0
1
5
4
4
7
5-10
50%
6-6
100%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
30.1
11
46%
3
6
0
0
2
3
1
2
3-3
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
27.7
8
50%
8
0
1
0
1
4
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
24.8
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
25.9
12
75%
10
0
0
2
1
4
3
7
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
20.6
7
44%
3
3
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
20.5
10
63%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
16.9
8
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
4.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
Pat Garrity
#8 · F · 6'9" 238 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Travis Diener
#34 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
James Augustine
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
44
16
5
4
11
0
14
30
17-22
77%
34-66
52%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.