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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Magic29%8797
7Heat71%9483
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
35.4
21.1
20
53%
3
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-14
2-5
43%
46%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
34.1
38.4
17
82%
11
0
0
1
1
5
4
7
5-10
50%
6-6
7-12
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.1
30.1
33.2
11
45%
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.1
27.7
22.2
8
50%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.4
24.8
26.1
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.7
25.9
27.6
12
77%
10
0
0
1
2
1
3
7
4-4
100%
4-6
4-8
67%
45%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.9
20.6
23.0
7
41%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.7
20.5
17.6
10
63%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.7
16.9
24.8
8
68%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.9
4.0
5.0
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.8
8.7
0
0-1
42%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.6
5.6
0
1-2
44%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.6
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.0
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
36.4
30.7
14
71%
7
1
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
2-5
40%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.3
35.5
33.9
10
35%
2
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
50%
1-9
11%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.0
33.7
27.5
20
67%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
8-11
73%
6-10
7-12
60%
59%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.4
25.3
35.5
5
43%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
13.6
31.1
2
33%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
28.7
10.2
8
36%
8
1
2
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
24.4
23.8
9
42%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-4
50%
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
14.5
4.5
5
51%
0
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.1
14.3
15.3
8
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
56%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
10.2
4.1
2
35%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
3.4
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
18.1
1
2-3
49%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.