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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 18, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Timberwolves36%94102
12Lakers64%99109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
42.7
39.3
26
67%
15
6
0
1
3
2
3
12
7-8
88%
8-14
9-17
57%
51%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.5
41.8
31.6
33
69%
6
6
1
1
0
2
2
4
7-7
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
4-8
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
25.5
21.1
8
44%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.3
22.9
30.0
4
40%
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.5
15.0
28.3
3
38%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.7
33.0
11.1
18
53%
0
11
1
0
0
1
0
0
5-7
71%
5-10
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.0
25.1
15.3
3
26%
5
0
2
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.1
15.0
6.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.4
12.8
20.8
7
38%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
1-5
20%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.5
6.3
19.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.0
16.5
0
2-4
42%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.6
44.5
39.0
50
61%
6
3
3
1
0
3
1
5
12-14
86%
13-26
8-17
50%
50%
4-9
44%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
40.4
28.0
16
58%
9
8
0
1
2
3
0
9
2-4
50%
7-8
4-7
88%
52%
0-4
0%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.8
36.2
26.6
19
95%
7
9
0
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
3-4
75%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.0
36.0
15.3
10
51%
8
11
3
0
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.0
27.3
30.7
4
100%
5
2
2
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
4-7
100%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.4
19.6
16.7
2
100%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.4
15.3
26.0
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 32.0
11.8
10.0
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.2
5.7
14.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.0
3.1
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
13.2
1
1-2
50%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.5
6.5
0
0-1
49%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.7
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.