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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Kings63%9976
30Hawks37%9499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.3
33.6
36.8
12
43%
7
2
0
2
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
1-4
25%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.1
30.5
32.9
13
53%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
0-4
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.8
23.1
31.6
5
42%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
16.6
28.4
3
18%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
1-7
4-8
14%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.9
12.0
33.5
2
50%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.3
28.3
18.3
14
63%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-5
40%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
25.5
15.6
6
31%
9
0
0
1
0
1
2
7
6-6
100%
0-5
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.3
25.3
23.0
6
63%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
16.9
4.4
4
40%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.9
15.0
3.5
7
72%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
0-1
75%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
9.4
2.0
4
29%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 32.0
3.7
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.3
33.7
33.3
9
29%
12
10
3
1
3
4
2
10
1-4
25%
4-13
6-12
31%
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.7
33.6
38.2
25
73%
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-5
80%
9-13
5-9
69%
54%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.7
29.7
36.3
13
48%
11
2
1
1
1
0
3
8
1-1
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
29.1
25.1
23
92%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
11-12
4-8
92%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
26.3
24.9
2
13%
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
47%
0-1
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
25.1
16.0
13
59%
0
4
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
1-3
33%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.9
23.0
18.8
2
17%
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
19.3
16.9
6
38%
7
1
1
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
13.0
15.0
4
106%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
3.8
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
3.3
2.2
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
4.5
0
0-1
47%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.9
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.