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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks76%10092
26Knicks24%9177
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
40.1
37.7
15
83%
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
5-9
86%
51%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
38.7
37.0
24
58%
10
0
1
1
0
1
1
9
5-6
83%
8-14
7-13
57%
50%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
38.5
26.7
4
50%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
35.4
38.2
24
74%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
9-14
8-16
64%
51%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
32.8
25.2
10
65%
13
2
1
0
1
3
0
13
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
18.1
26.7
10
53%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
8-10
80%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
17.4
10.5
3
26%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
10.4
16.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
5.2
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
2.0
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
1.3
3.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
11.4
0
1-2
51%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.1
38.6
36.3
8
32%
2
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-6
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
1-6
17%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.3
37.7
28.4
22
44%
12
0
0
0
0
2
6
6
4-12
33%
9-20
5-9
45%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.3
34.9
31.3
8
40%
9
5
1
1
1
2
5
4
2-2
100%
3-9
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
34.5
35.5
6
39%
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-3
3-7
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
20.0
34.0
7
51%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
6-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
30.3
22.5
7
32%
10
0
2
1
1
1
4
6
1-2
50%
3-9
3-5
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.8
29.8
18.4
19
64%
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
4-5
80%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.3
12.3
10.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
2.0
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 26.9
8.6
0
1-1
43%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.6
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.3
3.4
0
0-1
47%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.