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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pacers17%8676
4Rockets83%9886
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.5
41.7
34.4
7
25%
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-3
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.4
39.1
27.4
25
43%
9
0
1
1
0
3
1
8
7-11
64%
9-24
6-13
38%
44%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.9
35.9
33.4
5
32%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-5
4-8
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.1
34.2
30.7
22
57%
0
6
2
1
0
5
0
0
0-1
0%
11-18
4-10
61%
42%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
20.2
23.4
4
100%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.9
26.4
33.8
4
33%
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.1
18.9
17.2
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.7
13.8
17.7
1
10%
5
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.5
9.7
17.4
6
75%
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
10.4
0
1-2
35%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.6
8.1
0
1-2
50%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.8
5.5
0
1-1
49%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.2
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.1
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
38.4
28.6
32
70%
14
3
0
0
2
6
3
11
12-13
92%
10-17
8-15
59%
54%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
36.2
31.4
20
42%
9
10
1
1
1
3
1
8
5-6
83%
6-16
7-14
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
35.7
30.4
8
57%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.7
35.5
33.0
2
13%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-6
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.8
22.4
22.6
6
75%
8
1
2
1
1
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
56%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
25.3
23.2
3
17%
5
1
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-3
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
25.2
24.3
6
38%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
11.8
14.5
7
88%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
9.7
12.1
2
53%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
8.5
0
1-2
47%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.8
5.7
0
1-1
51%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
4.8
0
0-1
48%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.8
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.0
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.