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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat58%9491
27Hawks42%9183
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.4
38.8
31.3
14
62%
3
0
4
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
1-5
20%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.3
37.6
33.9
21
67%
4
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
31.4
24.7
10
46%
7
1
1
1
0
4
4
3
0-2
0%
5-10
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
26.4
32.1
10
63%
3
2
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
0-2
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.0
21.1
29.3
12
56%
3
6
1
0
1
3
1
2
4-6
67%
4-8
7-13
50%
58%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
23.7
23.7
6
34%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-4
25%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
22.0
17.1
4
67%
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
21.1
6.8
10
71%
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
7
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
46%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
17.8
12.8
4
33%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
8.7
0
1-2
45%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
3.9
0
1-1
49%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
3.0
0
1-1
49%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.3
42.0
32.8
27
47%
9
3
3
1
4
4
5
4
2-6
33%
11-24
6-12
46%
49%
1-2
50%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
39.7
35.4
9
46%
5
5
2
1
0
2
2
3
3-4
75%
3-6
5-8
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.8
38.1
32.7
16
48%
12
2
1
1
0
3
5
7
2-4
50%
7-15
5-10
47%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
24.8
25.0
4
33%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
21.9
26.4
10
64%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.9
23.2
20.4
0
0%
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
17.2
19.6
13
48%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
6-6
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
1-4
25%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
15.0
17.6
4
29%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
13.8
3.8
0
0%
5
2
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
4.4
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.2
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.5
3.2
0
0-0
46%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.