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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
March 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks56%9498
8Cavaliers44%9290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
44.3
36.5
23
45%
9
6
1
1
1
4
0
9
3-3
100%
7-17
8-15
41%
49%
2-7
29%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
43.1
37.9
21
61%
4
5
0
1
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
49%
2-5
40%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
39.7
37.0
7
35%
6
1
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
1-6
6-13
17%
48%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
37.8
31.1
17
77%
7
6
1
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
49%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
26.7
28.0
13
90%
9
0
2
0
1
0
2
7
5-5
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
22.1
23.2
10
51%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
43%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
15.3
13.6
3
50%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
8.0
14.2
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
2.9
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
9.4
0
1-1
49%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
4.2
0
0-1
43%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
3.2
0
0-1
41%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.2
45.5
39.0
31
50%
6
4
2
1
3
6
0
6
6-7
86%
11-22
8-17
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.3
39.4
31.3
16
82%
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
3-3
100%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.2
38.6
37.1
11
35%
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-8
63%
3-11
5-11
27%
43%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
34.9
24.8
19
61%
8
1
2
1
0
2
4
4
5-6
83%
7-13
4-8
54%
48%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.8
23.0
25.3
10
56%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
20.8
26.9
0
0%
6
0
0
1
2
2
3
3
0-2
0%
0-3
3-6
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.1
17.9
21.0
0
0%
3
4
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
14.8
13.4
3
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.9
5.1
21.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
6.7
0
0-1
42%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.1
2.0
0
0-0
45%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.3
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.8
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.