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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Nuggets37%95108
6Bulls63%100109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.8
40.6
40.1
31
71%
2
6
1
2
0
5
0
2
8-9
89%
10-16
7-15
63%
44%
1-2
50%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.8
39.3
31.6
28
61%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
8-9
89%
10-17
8-17
59%
48%
0-2
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.1
37.9
32.8
4
50%
4
9
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.5
37.6
27.2
18
80%
12
3
0
1
4
7
2
10
4-5
80%
7-9
4-8
78%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
27.4
32.8
4
50%
8
3
1
1
3
3
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
24.1
21.2
4
40%
6
1
6
1
1
1
5
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.2
22.3
25.8
12
60%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
4-7
57%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.5
11.0
12.5
7
64%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.8
5.7
0
1-1
49%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.6
4.8
0
0-0
43%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.9
3.5
0
0-1
50%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
40.2
36.1
25
51%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
8-20
6-12
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
39.3
37.3
22
52%
14
3
3
1
2
1
6
8
2-3
67%
10-20
8-16
50%
52%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.4
35.3
25.1
16
63%
7
3
1
1
0
2
5
2
2-4
50%
7-11
3-7
64%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.2
35.2
35.5
21
46%
2
8
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
6-15
5-11
40%
47%
3-8
38%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.5
28.9
37.9
6
55%
6
5
2
2
2
4
4
2
0-1
0%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.6
20.6
17.4
6
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
20.5
13.8
9
46%
11
0
1
1
0
1
5
6
1-2
50%
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.7
11.7
15.5
4
67%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.7
8.3
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.9
9.8
0
1-2
47%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.4
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.6
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.0
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.1
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.