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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Pistons30%8785
3Rockets70%9391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.5
36.0
26.6
13
42%
6
6
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-3
67%
4-9
2-5
44%
44%
1-5
20%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.1
31.3
35.7
12
38%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-15
5-11
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.5
31.3
31.1
13
51%
9
1
0
1
1
0
0
9
3-4
75%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
0-5
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.1
29.5
36.0
8
40%
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
25.5
29.5
6
38%
7
1
0
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
29.9
19.2
16
58%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
25.3
33.1
10
45%
5
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-10
3-8
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
21.8
21.1
6
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38.0
9.3
2.3
1
27%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.1
11.1
0
1-3
45%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.3
4.8
0
0-1
39%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
4.3
0
1-1
49%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.9
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.7
43.2
33.2
16
91%
6
6
2
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
3-5
60%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
35.2
32.7
20
39%
5
8
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-4
50%
9-21
6-14
43%
47%
0-3
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
35.2
31.9
8
44%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
34.0
31.8
27
60%
7
2
0
0
1
2
0
7
7-8
88%
10-19
8-15
53%
53%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.8
25.9
22.2
8
67%
9
0
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
28.8
24.2
8
49%
7
1
0
0
0
1
1
6
4-5
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
17.6
23.8
2
50%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
12.8
13.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.7
7.5
11.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.8
4.3
0
0-1
50%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.0
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.