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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 22, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Kings20%99100
4Suns80%110118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.1
43.0
30.6
19
48%
6
2
2
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-13
4-8
15%
51%
4-5
80%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.2
43.0
17.2
16
46%
6
1
2
1
3
1
2
4
2-3
67%
7-14
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.9
38.0
32.2
28
52%
4
4
3
1
0
2
0
4
10-13
77%
6-16
3-7
38%
44%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.3
36.8
23.4
4
29%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
26.4
30.7
9
41%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.3
22.7
27.1
12
58%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
5-9
5-10
56%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
18.3
7.0
12
76%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
2-4
50%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.8
7.5
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.9
4.3
8.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.4
37.5
2
5-11
46%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.9
18.3
0
2-4
48%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 32.0
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.3
36.7
27.1
33
69%
21
2
2
1
3
2
5
16
9-16
56%
12-17
6-11
71%
57%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
34.8
33.0
9
35%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.3
33.6
34.2
17
54%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
52%
1-5
20%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.1
31.7
32.2
17
63%
6
16
0
1
0
7
0
6
1-1
100%
8-10
5-9
80%
56%
0-3
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
30.9
29.9
12
76%
8
1
2
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
5-6
5-8
83%
57%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
29.1
28.6
15
67%
14
3
0
1
2
0
7
7
3-5
60%
6-9
4-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.5
15.1
17.1
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.1
13.2
8.3
11
92%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
3-5
60%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
11.3
19.3
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.3
3.6
5.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
4.7
0
1-1
49%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
4.1
0
0-0
46%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.1
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.