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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks76%99109
24Celtics24%9095
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
38.0
37.2
19
62%
11
3
1
1
1
3
2
9
2-3
67%
7-13
6-12
54%
50%
1-1
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
37.1
38.8
29
89%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
7-9
5-9
78%
51%
4-6
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
32.6
32.7
18
65%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
51%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
29.5
38.4
20
63%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-12
8-16
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
9.3
27.1
2
33%
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
57%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
29.8
12.2
4
67%
11
1
1
0
5
0
1
10
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
20.5
22.6
6
45%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
13.8
8.4
2
100%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
10.6
14.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
8.3
3.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
6.7
2.6
5
56%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
3.8
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.7
34.6
33.8
9
47%
4
2
0
1
2
1
0
4
5-6
83%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.2
30.5
32.8
4
17%
11
1
2
1
0
0
5
6
2-2
100%
1-11
6-13
9%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.4
29.6
28.7
30
55%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
19-21
90%
4-15
5-10
27%
48%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.1
28.2
28.4
3
39%
3
3
3
2
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
41%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.4
14.9
22.7
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
30.9
22.1
19
78%
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-5
60%
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
2-2
100%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.6
29.2
11.9
8
36%
5
2
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-11
2-4
36%
48%
0-0
-
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.8
25.0
17.9
13
94%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
40%
3-5
60%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
10.3
15.6
7
60%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.8
6.7
10.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
14.2
0
0-1
41%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 32.0
5.9
0
1-1
43%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.2
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.