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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pistons24%8589
2Spurs76%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.1
38.7
33.1
12
57%
9
0
1
1
0
2
3
6
1-1
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.5
38.0
30.9
21
53%
7
1
1
1
2
1
2
5
4-4
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
44%
1-5
20%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.1
37.4
33.7
16
62%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
8-12
5-11
67%
45%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.5
24.9
30.1
13
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
21.6
27.5
3
26%
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
4-9
20%
43%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
36.4
23.3
18
65%
11
1
0
1
3
1
5
6
2-2
100%
8-13
4-8
62%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
23.1
29.4
4
25%
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
42%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
20.0
21.4
2
25%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.1
7.9
0
1-2
44%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38.0
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.3
5.0
0
0-1
38%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.2
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.9
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.8
37.6
30.8
22
53%
3
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
10-19
7-12
53%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
35.5
31.9
17
50%
14
2
0
1
0
4
6
8
5-11
45%
6-12
7-12
50%
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
31.7
19.6
16
74%
3
1
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
56%
4-5
80%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
29.9
21.0
9
51%
10
1
1
1
0
2
2
8
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
53%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
24.8
26.6
5
73%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
25.1
27.1
10
61%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
18.4
9.8
3
38%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.0
14.4
22.9
5
64%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
11.3
15.2
3
75%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
5.5
13.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
4.8
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
1.0
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.0
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.