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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks78%98104
28Hawks22%8997
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
41.2
34.7
28
68%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
9-15
7-14
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
39.3
37.4
27
78%
3
6
3
1
0
8
0
3
4-5
80%
7-10
5-9
70%
52%
3-5
60%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
38.6
36.7
28
80%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
7-8
88%
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
3-3
100%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
30.4
32.0
6
51%
3
6
4
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
19.0
20.5
6
68%
7
0
0
0
1
1
0
7
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.1
27.4
18.7
1
27%
9
0
1
1
2
0
2
7
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
25.5
21.7
8
46%
6
8
0
1
0
5
2
4
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
10.2
11.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
8.1
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
0.2
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.7
0.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
12.8
0
1-2
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
46.5
39.8
21
85%
5
1
1
1
1
3
3
2
9-10
90%
6-8
5-9
75%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.3
42.7
36.1
21
47%
6
1
2
1
1
3
1
5
7-8
88%
7-19
6-13
37%
47%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.8
36.4
26.5
9
44%
7
2
1
1
0
2
0
7
3-3
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
30.9
26.0
14
60%
13
1
2
1
0
3
3
10
10-13
77%
2-6
4-9
33%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
26.2
29.8
9
41%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.9
23.8
17.5
15
79%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
16.6
22.7
1
13%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
9.8
11.9
5
35%
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
3-5
60%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
6.3
8.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
0.7
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
12.8
0
1-2
47%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.6
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.9
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.