Final Win Prob. pScore
558%97
121
2142%94
95
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
133.09182.3
MIL logo Bucks
103.392102.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0DET121
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILIlyasova 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Greer 3 AST)121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0DETDavis Dunk (4 PTS) (Delfino 4 AST)121
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)119
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Greer Layup119
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MILGreer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)119
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMISS Dupree 15' Jump Shot119
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MILGreer 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)119
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETMohammed 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Hunter 5 AST)119
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09DETMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11MILMISS Noel 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24DETMohammed Tip Shot (2 PTS)117
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24DETMISS Delfino Layup115
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44MILNoel 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST)115
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55DETDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)115
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)114
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55MILGreer S.FOUL (P2.PN)113
87
Q4 - 1:59DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01MILMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19DETDelfino 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hunter 4 AST)113
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MILNoel Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)111
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34MILNoel Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)111
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 2:34DETDupree S.FOUL (P1.T2)111
85
Q4 - 2:46DETDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)111
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46DETDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)110
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)109
85
Q4 - 2:46MILGreer S.FOUL (P1.T4)109
85
Q4 - 3:01DETSUB: Davis FOR McDyess109
85
Q4 - 3:01DETSUB: Dupree FOR Murray109
85
Q4 - 3:01DETSUB: Mohammed FOR Maxiell109
85
Q4 - 3:01MILMarkota Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)109
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15DETMcDyess Layup (20 PTS) (Murray 5 AST)109
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Greer 2 AST)107
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:52DETMaxiell 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Murray 4 AST)107
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14MILBoykins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Greer 1 AST)105
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 4:25DETMcDyess Layup (18 PTS)105
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:45MILGreer 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)103
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:55DETHunter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)103
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:15MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)100
76
Q4 - 5:15MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:24MILMISS Ilyasova 10' Jump Shot100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38MILMarkota REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:40DETMISS Hunter 19' Jump Shot100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56MILBoykins 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ilyasova 3 AST)100
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 6:09DETMcDyess Layup (16 PTS)100
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:13DETNoel BLOCK (1 BLK)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26MILBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:28MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:31MILMISS Boykins Layup98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:37DETSUB: Hunter FOR Billups98
74
Q4 - 6:37DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P4.T1)98
74
Q4 - 6:46DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46DETPistons Rebound97
74
Q4 - 6:46DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 297
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46MILSUB: Greer FOR Redd97
74
Q4 - 6:46MILSUB: Markota FOR Skinner97
74
Q4 - 6:46DETSUB: Murray FOR Prince97
74
Q4 - 6:46MILBoykins S.FOUL (P2.T3)97
74
Q4 - 7:03DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:9 Def:6)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:05MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:13MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33MILBoykins Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 2 AST)97
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:49DETMISS Prince 15' Jump Shot97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:12DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14MILMISS Boykins 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:20MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:21DETMISS McDyess Layup97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:25DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:38DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)97
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:39DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 197
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 8:39MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Reiner97
72
Q4 - 8:3997
72
Q4 - 8:39MILSkinner S.FOUL (P3.T2)97
72
Q4 - 8:39DETMaxiell Layup (17 PTS)97
72
Q4 - 8:39DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)95
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 8:40DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)95
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 8:40DETMISS Maxiell Layup95
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 8:42DETMISS McDyess Layup95
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 8:57DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 9:00MILMISS Reiner 4' Hook Shot95
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 9:17DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 9:36MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)93
99.6%
72
0.4%
Q4 - 9:52DETPrince Layup (26 PTS)93
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 9:56MILBoykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)91
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 10:00DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)91
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 10:00DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Webber90
72
Q4 - 10:00MILSUB: Redd FOR Bell90
72
Q4 - 10:00MILSUB: Skinner FOR Patterson90
72
Q4 - 10:00DETPistons Rebound90
72
Q4 - 10:00DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 290
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 10:00MILReiner S.FOUL (P1.T1)90
72
Q4 - 10:01DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 10:04MILMISS Noel Dunk90
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 10:08MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)90
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 10:08DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Webber Tip Shot90
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 10:08DETMISS Prince Layup90
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 10:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 10:16MILMISS Bell 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 10:21MILBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)90
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 10:23MILMISS Noel 12' Jump Shot90
98.9%
72
1.1%
Q4 - 10:45DETDelfino 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)90
98.8%
72
1.2%
Q4 - 11:02DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q4 - 11:04DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot87
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 11:30MILBell Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)87
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q4 - 11:45DETPrince Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)87
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q4 - 12:0087
72
Q3 - 0:00.0DET87
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound87
97.6%
72
2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 40' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0MILWilliams 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)87
97.1%
72
2.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)87
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MILMISS Redd Dunk85
97.0%
70
3.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0DETWilliams STEAL (2 STL)85
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)85
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETDelfino S.FOUL (P1.T3)85
68
Q3 - 0:55.0DETSUB: Delfino FOR Murray85
68
Q3 - 0:55.0MILBUCKS Rebound85
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Patterson Layup85
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q3 - 1:12DETMurray Running Dunk (16 PTS)85
97.4%
68
2.6%
Q3 - 1:32MILRedd 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Reiner 1 AST)83
96.8%
68
3.2%
Q3 - 1:35MILReiner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 1:37MILMISS Patterson Layup83
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q3 - 1:50DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)83
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 1:59MILSUB: Reiner FOR Skinner81
65
Q3 - 1:59DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)81
65
Q3 - 1:59MILBell P.FOUL (P3.T4)81
65
Q3 - 2:19MILPatterson Layup (7 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)81
97.0%
65
3.0%
Q3 - 2:41DETPrince Dunk (22 PTS) (Webber 5 AST)81
97.5%
63
2.5%
Q3 - 3:03MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q3 - 3:03MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
96.7%
62
3.3%
Q3 - 3:03DETWebber S.FOUL (P2.T2)79
61
Q3 - 3:14DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 3:14DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 3:14MILSkinner S.FOUL (P2.T3)77
61
Q3 - 3:18DETSUB: McDyess FOR Maxiell77
61
Q3 - 3:18MILSUB: Patterson FOR Ilyasova77
61
Q3 - 3:30DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
96.7%
61
3.3%
Q3 - 3:32MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot77
96.5%
61
3.5%
Q3 - 3:50MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
96.0%
61
4.0%
Q3 - 3:52DETMISS Murray 15' Jump Shot77
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q3 - 4:03DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)77
96.4%
61
3.6%
Q3 - 4:05MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot77
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q3 - 4:15MILRedd Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)77
95.6%
61
4.4%
Q3 - 4:1577
60
Q3 - 4:15MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q3 - 4:17MILMISS Redd 10' Jump Shot77
96.8%
60
3.2%
Q3 - 4:43DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)77
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q3 - 4:53DETPistons Rebound74
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 4:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
95.0%
60
5.0%
Q3 - 4:55DETMISS Prince Tip Shot74
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 4:57DETMISS Murray 16' Jump Shot74
94.3%
60
5.7%
Q3 - 5:17MILBell Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)74
94.4%
60
5.6%
Q3 - 5:17MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
94.5%
59
5.5%
Q3 - 5:17DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P3.T1)74
58
Q3 - 5:35DETMaxiell Dunk (15 PTS) (Webber 4 AST)74
95.1%
58
4.9%
Q3 - 5:52MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)72
58
Q3 - 5:52MILRedd Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)72
94.4%
58
5.6%
Q3 - 5:58MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
93.3%
58
6.7%
Q3 - 6:00DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.7%
58
6.3%
Q3 - 6:26MILRedd Running Dunk (8 PTS)72
93.9%
58
6.1%
Q3 - 6:47DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)72
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 6:47DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
94.6%
56
5.4%
Q3 - 6:47MILSkinner S.FOUL (P1.T2)70
56
Q3 - 7:02MILBell 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)70
93.2%
56
6.8%
Q3 - 7:15MILBUCKS Rebound70
94.1%
54
5.9%
Q3 - 7:16DETMISS Murray 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 7:38DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
95.0%
54
5.0%
Q3 - 7:41MILMISS Ilyasova 3PT Jump Shot70
94.8%
54
5.2%
Q3 - 7:49MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
94.2%
54
5.8%
Q3 - 7:51DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 8:06DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
94.7%
54
5.3%
Q3 - 8:09MILMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot70
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 8:14MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
93.8%
54
6.2%
Q3 - 8:16DETSkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)70
94.1%
54
5.9%
Q3 - 8:36MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)70
94.7%
54
5.3%
Q3 - 8:56DETPrince 9' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)70
96.0%
51
4.0%
Q3 - 9:11MILBell 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)68
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 9:12MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
95.8%
49
4.2%
Q3 - 9:13MILMISS Bell Layup68
96.2%
49
3.8%
Q3 - 9:27DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)68
95.8%
49
4.2%
Q3 - 9:27MILWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)67
49
Q3 - 9:27DETPrince Layup (12 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)67
49
Q3 - 9:50MILIlyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)65
94.4%
49
5.6%
Q3 - 10:02DETBillups 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
95.4%
46
4.6%
Q3 - 10:08MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)63
94.8%
46
5.2%
Q3 - 10:27DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)63
94.0%
46
6.0%
Q3 - 10:53MILBell 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)61
93.2%
46
6.8%
Q3 - 11:10DETMaxiell Dunk (13 PTS)61
93.7%
44
6.3%
Q3 - 11:11DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)59
92.8%
44
7.2%
Q3 - 11:12DETMISS Prince 8' Running Hook Shot59
92.1%
44
7.9%
Q3 - 11:36MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)59
92.9%
44
7.1%
Q3 - 12:0059
44
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL59
91.8%
44
8.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
91.6%
44
8.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
91.4%
44
8.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MILPatterson S.FOUL (P2.PN)57
44
Q2 - 0:13.0MILWilliams 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
90.2%
44
9.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETHunter Layup (2 PTS)57
91.6%
42
8.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)55
90.2%
42
9.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0DETDelfino Running Dunk (4 PTS)55
89.3%
42
10.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)53
87.6%
42
12.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
86.4%
42
13.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot53
86.8%
42
13.2%
Q2 - 1:16MILWilliams 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)53
87.2%
42
12.8%
Q2 - 1:32DETSUB: Prince FOR Maxiell53
40
Q2 - 1:32DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)53
40
Q2 - 1:32MILBUCKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)53
40
Q2 - 1:41DETMcDyess Layup (13 PTS) (Delfino 3 AST)53
89.0%
40
11.0%
Q2 - 1:45MILNoel Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)51
87.2%
40
12.8%
Q2 - 1:49DETNoel STEAL (2 STL)51
86.1%
40
13.9%
Q2 - 1:51DETDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
87.2%
40
12.8%
Q2 - 1:52MILMISS Noel 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
86.9%
40
13.1%
Q2 - 2:13DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hunter 3 AST)51
85.5%
40
14.5%
Q2 - 2:30MILNoel Layup (5 PTS)49
83.9%
40
16.1%
Q2 - 2:31MILNoel REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)49
85.5%
38
14.5%
Q2 - 2:32MILNoel REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)49
85.5%
38
14.5%
Q2 - 2:32MILMISS Noel Layup49
86.6%
38
13.4%
Q2 - 2:33MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot49
86.6%
38
13.4%
Q2 - 2:40DETMcDyess Layup (9 PTS) (Hunter 2 AST)49
85.5%
38
14.5%
Q2 - 2:54MILPatterson 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)47
83.9%
38
16.1%
Q2 - 3:08DETBillups 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
85.2%
36
14.8%
Q2 - 3:23MILSkinner Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)45
83.8%
36
16.2%
Q2 - 3:36DETDelfino 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hunter 1 AST)45
81.7%
36
18.3%
Q2 - 3:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
80.1%
36
19.9%
Q2 - 3:50MILMISS Patterson Alley Oop Layup43
79.4%
36
20.6%
Q2 - 4:01DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
77.5%
36
22.5%
Q2 - 4:01MILSUB: Patterson FOR Ilyasova42
36
Q2 - 4:01DETPistons Rebound42
36
Q2 - 4:01DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 242
76.8%
36
23.2%
Q2 - 4:01MILIlyasova P.FOUL (P3.PN)42
36
Q2 - 4:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
77.6%
36
22.4%
Q2 - 4:15MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q2 - 4:28MILNoel REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)42
75.3%
36
24.7%
Q2 - 4:30MILMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot42
76.9%
36
23.1%
Q2 - 4:42DETMaxiell Layup (11 PTS)42
75.3%
36
24.7%
Q2 - 4:44DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)40
73.1%
36
26.9%
Q2 - 4:46DETMISS Hunter 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
71.3%
36
28.7%
Q2 - 5:04MILIlyasova 14' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)40
73.0%
36
27.0%
Q2 - 5:19MILSUB: Skinner FOR Patterson40
34
Q2 - 5:19MILSUB: Williams FOR Boykins40
34
Q2 - 5:19DETBillups Foul Turnover (P4.T8)40
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 5:19DETBillups OFF.Foul (P1)40
34
Q2 - 5:27DETSUB: Hunter FOR Prince40
34
Q2 - 5:27MILNoel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)40
77.4%
34
22.6%
Q2 - 5:28MILNoel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 5:31MILMISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
76.8%
34
23.2%
Q2 - 5:47DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
75.3%
34
24.7%
Q2 - 5:47DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
74.9%
34
25.1%
Q2 - 5:47MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
34
Q2 - 5:47MILBoykins S.FOUL (P1.PN)38
34
Q2 - 6:15MILNoel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)38
72.8%
34
27.2%
Q2 - 6:42DETMcDyess Layup (6 PTS) (Delfino 2 AST)38
76.8%
31
23.2%
Q2 - 6:47MILSUB: Redd FOR Bell36
31
Q2 - 6:47MILBell P.FOUL (P2.T4)36
31
Q2 - 6:50DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
75.0%
31
25.0%
Q2 - 6:52MILMISS Ilyasova 19' Jump Shot36
74.2%
31
25.8%
Q2 - 6:59DETNoel STEAL (1 STL)36
72.4%
31
27.6%
Q2 - 7:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)36
74.8%
31
25.2%
Q2 - 7:08MILMISS Patterson 4' Hook Shot36
74.1%
31
25.9%
Q2 - 7:19DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P1.T2)36
31
Q2 - 7:27DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
72.5%
31
27.5%
Q2 - 7:35MILNoel P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
31
Q2 - 7:49MILBoykins 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
70.3%
31
29.7%
Q2 - 7:58DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)34
72.5%
29
27.5%
Q2 - 8:12DETSUB: Billups FOR Murray34
29
Q2 - 8:12MILIlyasova P.FOUL (P2.T2)34
29
Q2 - 8:25MILSUB: Ilyasova FOR Skinner34
29
Q2 - 8:25MILSUB: Noel FOR Redd34
29
Q2 - 8:2534
29
Q2 - 8:25MILPatterson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)34
74.4%
29
25.6%
Q2 - 8:40DETMurray Layup (12 PTS)34
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 8:41DETMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 8:43DETMISS Murray 10' Jump Shot32
68.4%
29
31.6%
Q2 - 9:00MILPatterson 6' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)32
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 9:21MILBUCKS Rebound32
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 9:22DETMISS Maxiell Layup32
72.6%
27
27.4%
Q2 - 9:37DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)32
74.1%
27
25.9%
Q2 - 9:38MILMISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot32
73.4%
27
26.6%
Q2 - 9:56DETMurray 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)32
71.9%
27
28.1%
Q2 - 10:06DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
69.5%
27
30.5%
Q2 - 10:08MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot30
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 10:16DETMaxiell Layup (9 PTS)30
67.2%
27
32.8%
Q2 - 10:30DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
64.9%
27
35.1%
Q2 - 10:33MILMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 228
64.6%
27
35.4%
Q2 - 10:33MILPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
63.3%
27
36.7%
Q2 - 10:33DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P2.T1)28
26
Q2 - 10:33MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q2 - 10:33MILMISS Patterson Layup28
66.5%
26
33.5%
Q2 - 10:47DETMurray Layup (8 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)28
64.9%
26
35.1%
Q2 - 10:59MILPatterson L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)26
26
Q2 - 10:59DETPistons Rebound26
62.5%
26
37.5%
Q2 - 10:59MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
61.7%
26
38.3%
Q2 - 11:15DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)26
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 11:26MILPatterson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)24
57.4%
26
42.6%
Q2 - 11:27MILPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q2 - 11:28MILMISS Boykins 19' Jump Shot24
56.6%
26
43.4%
Q2 - 11:44DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS)24
54.9%
26
45.1%
Q2 - 11:49MILSkinner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
52.4%
26
47.6%
Q2 - 12:0022
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound22
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Redd Layup22
51.6%
26
48.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DETSUB: Delfino FOR Webber22
26
Q1 - 0:04.0DETSUB: Hunter FOR Murray22
26
Q1 - 0:04.0DETMurray P.FOUL (P1.T3)22
26
Q1 - 0:06.0DETMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
50.4%
26
49.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0DETMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
49.8%
26
50.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0MILBell S.FOUL (P1.T3)20
26
Q1 - 0:22.0MILWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
47.3%
26
52.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0DETMurray 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILBell 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
42.5%
26
57.5%
Q1 - 1:08DETMurray 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
46.4%
24
53.6%
Q1 - 1:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
43.3%
24
56.7%
Q1 - 1:26MILMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot16
42.8%
24
57.2%
Q1 - 1:33MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)16
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q1 - 1:34DETMISS Webber 4' Hook Shot16
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 1:50MILIlyasova 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q1 - 2:02DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)16
49.0%
21
51.0%
Q1 - 2:11MILIlyasova P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
21
Q1 - 2:25MILWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
50.8%
21
49.2%
Q1 - 2:38MILJump Ball Williams vs. Webber: Tip to Ilyasova16
19
Q1 - 2:38DETSUB: McDyess FOR Maxiell16
19
Q1 - 2:38DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
19
Q1 - 2:47MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
53.6%
19
46.4%
Q1 - 2:48DETMISS Maxiell Layup16
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 2:49DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)16
55.4%
19
44.6%
Q1 - 2:50DETMISS Prince Layup16
54.1%
19
45.9%
Q1 - 3:12MILIlyasova Layup (7 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)16
56.0%
19
44.0%
Q1 - 3:17MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 3:18MILMISS Ilyasova Layup16
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q1 - 3:31DETMaxiell L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)16
17
Q1 - 3:31MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 3:32DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot16
58.9%
17
41.1%
Q1 - 3:37DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
60.4%
17
39.6%
Q1 - 3:39MILMISS Redd Layup16
59.7%
17
40.3%
Q1 - 3:43DETRedd STEAL (2 STL)16
58.2%
17
41.8%
Q1 - 4:01DETMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
60.2%
17
39.8%
Q1 - 4:03MILMISS Redd 23' Jump Shot16
59.6%
17
40.4%
Q1 - 4:12MILBUCKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
17
Q1 - 4:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)16
58.1%
17
41.9%
Q1 - 4:17DETMaxiell Dunk (7 PTS)16
58.1%
17
41.9%
Q1 - 4:19DETMISS Webber Layup14
54.8%
17
45.2%
Q1 - 4:46MILSkinner Layup (4 PTS) (Ilyasova 1 AST)14
56.3%
17
43.7%
Q1 - 5:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 5:02DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
58.5%
15
41.5%
Q1 - 5:27MILRedd Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)14
60.0%
15
40.0%
Q1 - 5:39DETMaxiell 4' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)14
61.5%
13
38.5%
Q1 - 5:59MILBell 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
59.9%
13
40.1%
Q1 - 6:19MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
61.6%
11
38.4%
Q1 - 6:20DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 212
61.8%
11
38.2%
Q1 - 6:20DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
62.7%
11
37.3%
Q1 - 6:20MILRedd S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
11
Q1 - 6:38MILRedd Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)11
61.6%
11
38.4%
Q1 - 6:59DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 7:03DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
60.0%
9
40.0%
Q1 - 7:05MILMISS Ilyasova 18' Jump Shot8
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 7:22DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)8
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 7:38MILIlyasova Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)6
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 7:38MILIlyasova Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)6
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 7:38DETWebber S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
7
Q1 - 7:42DETWilliams STEAL (1 STL)6
58.1%
7
41.9%
Q1 - 7:43DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
59.9%
7
40.1%
Q1 - 7:46MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
59.3%
7
40.7%
Q1 - 7:54MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
58.1%
7
41.9%
Q1 - 7:56DETMISS Webber 20' Jump Shot6
58.7%
7
41.3%
Q1 - 8:07DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
59.8%
7
40.2%
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Ilyasova 16' Jump Shot6
59.4%
7
40.6%
Q1 - 8:20DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
58.3%
7
41.7%
Q1 - 8:20DETMaxiell Tip Shot (2 PTS)6
58.3%
7
41.7%
Q1 - 8:23DETMISS Webber Layup4
55.9%
7
44.1%
Q1 - 8:41MILRedd Layup (2 PTS)4
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 8:44DETRedd STEAL (1 STL)4
58.3%
5
41.7%
Q1 - 8:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
59.6%
5
40.4%
Q1 - 8:52DETMISS Billups Layup4
58.7%
5
41.3%
Q1 - 8:57DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
59.6%
5
40.4%
Q1 - 9:00MILMISS Skinner Layup4
59.2%
5
40.8%
Q1 - 9:01MILSkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
58.8%
5
41.2%
Q1 - 9:02MILMISS Skinner 2' Hook Shot4
59.5%
5
40.5%
Q1 - 9:26DETPrince Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
58.7%
5
41.3%
Q1 - 9:31DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
57.4%
5
42.6%
Q1 - 9:34MILMISS Skinner 4' Hook Shot2
57.1%
5
42.9%
Q1 - 9:42MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
56.5%
5
43.5%
Q1 - 9:43DETMISS Maxiell Layup2
56.8%
5
43.2%
Q1 - 10:08MILSkinner 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)2
57.8%
5
42.2%
Q1 - 10:22DETMaxiell 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)2
58.5%
3
41.5%
Q1 - 10:48MILIlyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
59.0%
3
41.0%
Q1 - 11:07DETWebber 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)2
59.5%
0
40.5%
Q1 - 11:23DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 11:25MILMISS Ilyasova 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 11:39MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 11:41DETMISS Webber 6' Hook Shot0
58.3%
0
41.7%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Skinner vs. Webber: Tip to Murray0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.21 60.5%
MIL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
26
42
62%
MIL
12
30
40%
Midrange
DET
19
34
56%
MIL
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
10
40%
60%
MIL
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
DET
19
24
79%
MIL
12
13
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince2867%14.0 / 21
A. McDyess2067%10.0 / 15
J. Maxiell1968%9.5 / 14
R. Murray1667%8.0 / 12
C. Billups1255%6.0 / 11
C. Delfino1179%5.5 / 7
L. Hunter563%2.5 / 4
D. Davis4100%2.0 / 2
N. Mohammed4100%2.0 / 2
C. Webber213%1.0 / 8
R. Dupree0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova2162%10.5 / 17
C. Bell1765%8.5 / 13
M. Redd1454%7.0 / 13
D. Noel950%4.5 / 9
E. Boykins950%4.5 / 9
M. Williams850%4.0 / 8
R. Patterson735%3.5 / 10
L. Greer6100%3.0 / 3
B. Skinner440%2.0 / 5
J. Reiner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+18
-10
99
MIL
76
+16
-16
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.21 60.5%
MIL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
107.1
DET 133.0 +29.7
MIL 103.3
Pace
88.0
92.3
DET 82.3
MIL 102.9 +20.5
Avg. Poss. Time
17.0
15.1
DET 17.5
MIL 14.0 −3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.8%
50.4%
DET 59.3% +8.7%
MIL 50.6%
TO %
13.2%
15.7%
DET 10.2% −6.8%
MIL 17.0%
ORB %
28.3%
27.8%
DET 45.7% +13.9%
MIL 31.8%
FTrt
30.7
28.6
DET 27.9 +12.0
MIL 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
56.7%
DET 49.0%
MIL 66.7% +17.7%
STL %
8.0%
7.7%
DET 9.9% +3.4%
MIL 6.5%
BLK %
9.2%
4.4%
DET 13.6% +11.0%
MIL 2.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
52.9%
DET 60.5% +8.9%
MIL 51.6%
Rim FG%
58.3%
58.1%
DET 61.9% +21.9%
MIL 40.0%
Mid FG%
41.7%
40.0%
DET 55.9% +11.1%
MIL 44.8%
3P %
34.4%
35.6%
DET 40.0%
MIL 47.8% +7.8%
FT %
77.4%
73.3%
DET 79.2%
MIL 92.3% +13.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
41.1%
DET 48.8% +12.3%
MIL 36.6%
Mid Att. %
48.8%
37.0%
DET 39.5%
MIL 35.4% −4.2%
3P Att. %
20.1%
21.9%
DET 11.6%
MIL 28.0% +16.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIL
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points12195
Rebounds4633
Assists2424
Steals96
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (2)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)19 (2)
Field Goals49-8636-82
At-the-Rim FG26-4212-30
Midrange FG19-3413-29
2-Point FG45-7625-59
3-Point FG4-1011-23
Free Throws19-2412-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 30
37.6
12
55%
5
2
0
0
4
1
0
5
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 212 · 27
37.3
28
67%
4
2
3
1
1
0
1
3
7-7
100%
9-15
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'7" 260 · 24
35.5
19
68%
15
0
0
4
2
4
9
6
1-3
33%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 28
30.6
16
67%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 34
25.9
2
13%
3
5
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-8
13%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33
26.9
20
67%
9
1
3
1
0
1
3
6
2-4
50%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25
25.0
11
79%
3
4
1
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 195 · 36
12.2
5
63%
1
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 209 · 26
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38
3.0
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 30
3.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33
#32 · G · 6'7" 193 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'0" 205 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
61%
46
24
9
8
10
0
16
30
19-24
79%
45-76
59%
4-10
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.