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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 25, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs69%97120
20SuperSonics31%9179
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
29.0
33.0
16
69%
10
3
1
1
3
0
0
10
8-8
100%
4-8
7-13
50%
53%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
25.9
24.6
5
64%
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
25.5
33.5
18
80%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
5-7
8-14
71%
54%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
23.4
25.7
10
83%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
23.3
25.0
7
41%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
56%
2-7
29%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
25.0
9.8
13
82%
3
4
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
5-6
1-2
83%
45%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
24.9
26.0
19
80%
4
2
3
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
5-9
56%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
18.6
18.8
10
56%
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
18.5
13.2
12
67%
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
51%
2-3
67%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
15.3
7.7
3
39%
6
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
6.7
7.1
5
64%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
4.0
14.0
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.0
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
33.8
38.7
13
45%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-8
63%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
33.0
25.6
16
62%
3
4
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
44%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.2
28.4
31.0
7
29%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
25.9
36.1
14
61%
9
0
0
1
2
1
2
7
6-8
75%
4-8
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
21.7
24.1
4
34%
7
0
0
0
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.8
29.7
30.2
9
51%
1
2
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
27.4
14.9
6
45%
7
1
0
0
1
2
3
4
6-6
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.2
18.9
18.3
4
29%
4
0
0
0
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.9
7.9
3.4
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
6.5
1.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 31.0
5.6
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.9
1.1
2.1
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.3
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.