Final Win Prob. pScore
2924%88
89
1576%96
106
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
103.58689.3
MIA logo Heat
127.78380.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL89
106
Q4 - 0:01.0MIABarron P.FOUL (P1.T3)89
106
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAWright Dunk (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)89
106
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
104
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
104
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound89
104
Q4 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot89
104
Q4 - 1:01MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)89
104
Q4 - 1:01MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)89
103
Q4 - 1:01ATLIvey P.FOUL (P1.PN)89
102
Q4 - 1:11ATLStoudamire 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)89
102
Q4 - 1:20ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
102
Q4 - 1:22ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
102
Q4 - 1:30MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)87
102
Q4 - 1:46ATLBatista Layup (8 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)87
102
Q4 - 1:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)85
102
Q4 - 2:19ATLIvey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)85
102
Q4 - 2:22ATLSUB: Batista FOR Smith85
102
Q4 - 2:33ATLSUB: Ivey FOR Batista85
102
Q4 - 2:33ATLSUB: Jones FOR Johnson85
102
Q4 - 2:33MIASUB: Barron FOR Williams85
102
Q4 - 2:33MIASUB: Quinn FOR Jones85
102
Q4 - 2:33ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)85
102
Q4 - 2:33MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T11)85
102
Q4 - 2:56ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)85
102
Q4 - 3:01ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
102
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
102
Q4 - 3:21ATLStoudamire 9' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS)83
102
Q4 - 3:41MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Wright 4 AST)81
102
Q4 - 3:47MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
100
Q4 - 3:51ATLMISS Johnson 14' Fadeaway Jumper81
100
Q4 - 4:02MIAWalker Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)81
100
Q4 - 4:29ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
98
Q4 - 4:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
98
Q4 - 4:48MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup79
98
Q4 - 5:11ATLWilliams 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)79
98
Q4 - 5:29ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
98
Q4 - 5:31MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal77
98
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 277
98
Q4 - 5:31MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)77
98
Q4 - 5:31MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)77
97
Q4 - 5:31ATLSmith S.FOUL (P5.PN)77
97
Q4 - 5:32MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
97
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot77
97
Q4 - 5:55MIAO'Neal Slam Dunk (22 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)77
97
Q4 - 6:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
95
Q4 - 6:11ATLWright BLOCK (1 BLK)77
95
Q4 - 6:24MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)77
95
Q4 - 6:33ATLWright STEAL (1 STL)77
93
Q4 - 6:42ATLHawks Rebound77
93
Q4 - 6:44ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Lue77
93
Q4 - 6:44ATLSUB: Batista FOR Jones77
93
Q4 - 6:44MIASUB: Williams FOR Payton77
93
Q4 - 6:44ATLJones S.FOUL (P4.PN)77
93
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 277
93
Q4 - 6:44MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
93
Q4 - 7:01ATLPayton STEAL (1 STL)77
92
Q4 - 7:23ATLSUB: Williams FOR Childress77
92
Q4 - 7:23MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
92
Q4 - 7:23MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
91
Q4 - 7:23ATLSmith S.FOUL (P4.PN)77
90
Q4 - 7:33MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
90
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
90
Q4 - 7:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
90
Q4 - 7:54ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
90
Q4 - 8:03MIAWalker 5' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)77
90
Q4 - 8:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
88
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot77
88
Q4 - 8:21ATLStoudamire 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)77
88
Q4 - 8:4375
88
Q4 - 8:43MIAWright Foul Turnover (P1.T10)75
88
Q4 - 8:43MIAWright OFF.Foul (P3)75
88
Q4 - 9:02MIAHEAT Rebound75
88
Q4 - 9:02MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Payton75
88
Q4 - 9:02ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot75
88
Q4 - 9:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
88
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 175
88
Q4 - 9:22ATLChildress S.FOUL (P1.PN)75
88
Q4 - 9:22MIAWalker 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
88
Q4 - 9:36ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)75
86
Q4 - 9:36ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)74
86
Q4 - 9:36MIAWalker S.FOUL (P3.T2)73
86
Q4 - 9:37ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
86
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot73
86
Q4 - 9:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
86
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot73
86
Q4 - 9:58ATLSmith Violation:Jump Ball73
86
Q4 - 9:58MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to73
86
Q4 - 9:59MIAWalker Violation:Lane73
86
Q4 - 9:59ATLSmith Violation:Lane73
86
Q4 - 9:59MIAHEAT Rebound73
86
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 273
86
Q4 - 9:59ATLJones S.FOUL (P3.T4)73
86
Q4 - 10:09ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.T3)73
86
Q4 - 10:20ATLStoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)73
86
Q4 - 10:35MIAJones 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)70
86
Q4 - 10:40MIAHEAT Rebound70
84
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup70
84
Q4 - 10:49ATLJones P.FOUL (P2.T2)70
84
Q4 - 10:57ATLJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)70
84
Q4 - 11:12ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
84
Q4 - 11:12ATLHawks Rebound69
84
Q4 - 11:12ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 269
84
Q4 - 11:12MIAWright S.FOUL (P2.T1)69
84
Q4 - 11:28MIAJones Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)69
84
Q4 - 11:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
82
Q4 - 11:45ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot69
82
Q4 - 12:0069
82
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL69
82
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
82
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Payton Layup69
82
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
82
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 269
82
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)69
82
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLLue P.FOUL (P1.PN)69
81
Q3 - 0:39.0MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams69
81
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Rebound69
81
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot69
81
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS)69
81
Q3 - 1:13ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
79
Q3 - 1:21MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)67
79
Q3 - 1:48ATLChildress Dunk (8 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)67
79
Q3 - 2:03MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
79
Q3 - 2:03MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
78
Q3 - 2:03ATLStoudamire P.FOUL (P3.PN)65
77
Q3 - 2:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
77
Q3 - 2:18MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 265
77
Q3 - 2:18MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
77
Q3 - 2:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)65
76
Q3 - 2:18ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)65
76
Q3 - 2:18MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
76
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot65
76
Q3 - 2:46ATLStoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
76
Q3 - 3:06MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)62
76
Q3 - 3:28ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)62
74
Q3 - 3:28ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams61
74
Q3 - 3:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)61
74
Q3 - 3:28MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T1)60
74
Q3 - 3:40ATLHawks Rebound60
74
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Wright 17' Jump Shot60
74
Q3 - 3:57ATLStoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)60
74
Q3 - 4:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
74
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 260
74
Q3 - 4:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
74
Q3 - 4:14MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)60
73
Q3 - 4:1460
72
Q3 - 4:14ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P2.PN)60
72
Q3 - 4:31MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
72
Q3 - 4:33ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
72
Q3 - 4:48MIASUB: Wright FOR Jones60
72
Q3 - 4:48ATLHawks Rebound60
72
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
72
Q3 - 5:12ATLWilliams 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)60
72
Q3 - 5:19ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
72
Q3 - 5:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)58
72
Q3 - 5:20MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot58
72
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot58
72
Q3 - 5:30ATLHaslem STEAL (2 STL)58
72
Q3 - 5:47MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal58
72
Q3 - 5:47ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)58
72
Q3 - 5:54MIAPosey Running Dunk (19 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)58
72
Q3 - 5:58ATLPosey STEAL (3 STL)58
70
Q3 - 6:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
70
Q3 - 6:14ATLSUB: Stoudamire FOR Childress58
69
Q3 - 6:14MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)58
69
Q3 - 6:14ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P4.PN)58
68
Q3 - 6:32ATLLue 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
68
Q3 - 6:55ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
68
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 256
68
Q3 - 6:56ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Batista56
68
Q3 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)56
68
Q3 - 6:56ATLBatista S.FOUL (P5.PN)56
67
Q3 - 7:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)56
67
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot56
67
Q3 - 7:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
67
Q3 - 7:16ATLMISS Childress 18' Jump Shot56
67
Q3 - 7:27ATLSUB: Lue FOR Johnson56
67
Q3 - 7:27ATLSUB: Smith FOR Shel. Williams56
67
Q3 - 7:27ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)56
67
Q3 - 7:27MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )55
67
Q3 - 7:47MIAWilliams Layup (13 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)55
67
Q3 - 7:52MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
65
Q3 - 7:54ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)55
65
Q3 - 7:56ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
65
Q3 - 7:58ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 8:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
65
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot55
65
Q3 - 8:06MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
65
Q3 - 8:09MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 8:30ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
65
Q3 - 8:45ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
65
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 255
65
Q3 - 8:47MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
65
Q3 - 8:47ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Smith55
64
Q3 - 8:47ATLBatista S.FOUL (P4.T4)55
64
Q3 - 9:01ATLWilliams Tip Shot (9 PTS)55
64
Q3 - 9:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
64
Q3 - 9:04ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup53
64
Q3 - 9:10MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)53
64
Q3 - 9:23ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)53
64
Q3 - 9:39MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)53
64
Q3 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
64
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Haslem Layup53
64
Q3 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
64
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup53
64
Q3 - 9:53ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T3)53
64
Q3 - 9:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
64
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup53
64
Q3 - 10:08ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)53
64
Q3 - 10:21MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)53
64
Q3 - 10:21ATLBatista S.FOUL (P3.T2)53
63
Q3 - 10:21MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)53
63
Q3 - 10:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
61
Q3 - 10:39ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
61
Q3 - 10:48ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)53
61
Q3 - 10:48MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Posey )52
61
Q3 - 11:00ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
61
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 252
61
Q3 - 11:02ATLSUB: Batista FOR Wright52
61
Q3 - 11:02MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)52
61
Q3 - 11:02ATLWright S.FOUL (P4.T1)52
60
Q3 - 11:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
60
Q3 - 11:22ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot52
60
Q3 - 11:41MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)52
60
Q3 - 12:0052
57
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL52
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
57
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
56
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)52
55
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLPosey STEAL (2 STL)52
55
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
55
Q2 - 0:02.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Doleac52
54
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLSUB: Stoudamire FOR Childress52
54
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
54
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.PN)52
53
Q2 - 0:03.0ATLPosey STEAL (1 STL)52
53
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
53
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot52
53
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
53
Q2 - 1:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
53
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Posey Reverse Layup49
53
Q2 - 1:25ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)49
53
Q2 - 1:25MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T3)48
53
Q2 - 1:25ATLJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)48
53
Q2 - 1:50MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
53
Q2 - 2:03ATLChildress Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)46
51
Q2 - 2:15MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning46
51
Q2 - 2:15ATLSUB: Jones FOR Batista46
51
Q2 - 2:15MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6)46
51
Q2 - 2:15MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P3)46
51
Q2 - 2:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
51
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup46
51
Q2 - 2:30ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)46
51
Q2 - 2:30ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)45
51
Q2 - 2:30MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker44
51
Q2 - 2:30MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal44
51
Q2 - 2:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)44
51
Q2 - 2:30MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T2)44
51
Q2 - 2:45MIAWilliams 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)44
51
Q2 - 2:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
49
Q2 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot44
49
Q2 - 3:06MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)44
49
Q2 - 3:24ATLChildress Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)44
46
Q2 - 3:33MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)42
46
Q2 - 3:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
43
Q2 - 3:56ATLMISS Batista 8' Turnaround Jump Shot42
43
Q2 - 4:13MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
43
Q2 - 4:22MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
43
Q2 - 4:24ATLMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot42
43
Q2 - 4:31ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
43
Q2 - 4:33MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
43
Q2 - 4:48ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)42
43
Q2 - 5:12MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)40
43
Q2 - 5:31ATLSmith Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)40
40
Q2 - 5:43MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)38
40
Q2 - 5:43MIAHEAT Rebound38
39
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 238
39
Q2 - 5:43ATLSUB: Batista FOR Shel. Williams38
39
Q2 - 5:4338
39
Q2 - 5:43ATLShel. Williams P.FOUL (P3.T4)38
39
Q2 - 6:01ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)38
39
Q2 - 6:12MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
39
Q2 - 6:22ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Wright36
39
Q2 - 6:23ATLWright P.FOUL (P3.T3)36
39
Q2 - 6:36ATLWright Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)36
39
Q2 - 6:44ATLSUB: Wright FOR Shel. Williams34
39
Q2 - 6:44ATLHawks Rebound34
39
Q2 - 6:47ATLMISS Johnson 8' Running Jump Shot34
39
Q2 - 7:14MIAO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS)34
39
Q2 - 7:36ATLSmith Dunk (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)34
37
Q2 - 7:50MIASUB: Williams FOR Payton32
37
Q2 - 7:50ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Lue32
37
Q2 - 7:50ATLSUB: Childress FOR Stoudamire32
37
Q2 - 7:50ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)32
37
Q2 - 8:00MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)32
37
Q2 - 8:14ATLWilliams Dunk (2 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)32
35
Q2 - 8:37MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)30
35
Q2 - 8:57ATLStoudamire Layup (10 PTS)30
32
Q2 - 8:59ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
32
Q2 - 9:01ATLMISS Smith Driving Dunk28
32
Q2 - 9:06MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
32
Q2 - 9:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
32
Q2 - 9:16ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot28
32
Q2 - 9:34ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
32
Q2 - 9:36MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 128
32
Q2 - 9:36MIASUB: Posey FOR Wright28
32
Q2 - 9:36ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P2.T2)28
32
Q2 - 9:36MIAO'Neal Dunk (8 PTS)28
32
Q2 - 9:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)28
30
Q2 - 9:56ATLSmith Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)28
30
Q2 - 10:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
30
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot26
30
Q2 - 10:22ATLStoudamire 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)26
30
Q2 - 10:34ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)24
30
Q2 - 10:34ATLSUB: Williams FOR Childress24
30
Q2 - 10:34MIAWalker L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)24
30
Q2 - 10:34ATLHawks Rebound24
30
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
30
Q2 - 10:50ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS)24
30
Q2 - 10:52ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
30
Q2 - 10:54ATLMISS Childress 14' Jump Shot22
30
Q2 - 11:15MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
30
Q2 - 11:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
30
Q2 - 11:24ATLMISS Lue 16' Jump Shot22
30
Q2 - 11:37MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 12:00ATLShel. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
28
Q2 - 12:0022
28
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
28
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
28
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
28
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
28
Q1 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Williams22
27
Q1 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Mourning22
27
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
27
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLStoudamire S.FOUL (P2.PN)22
26
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMourning STEAL (1 STL)22
26
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
26
Q1 - 0:35.0ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)22
26
Q1 - 0:37.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
26
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 15' Jump Shot22
26
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot22
26
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26
Q1 - 1:01ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 122
26
Q1 - 1:01MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.PN)22
26
Q1 - 1:01ATLChildress 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
26
Q1 - 1:13MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)20
26
Q1 - 1:13MIASUB: Wright FOR Posey20
25
Q1 - 1:13ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Batista20
25
Q1 - 1:13ATLStoudamire S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
25
Q1 - 1:13MIAWilliams Driving Layup (6 PTS)20
25
Q1 - 1:26ATLBatista Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)20
23
Q1 - 1:38ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
23
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Posey Driving Layup18
23
Q1 - 1:53ATLBatista Running Dunk (4 PTS)18
23
Q1 - 1:56MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)16
23
Q1 - 2:09ATLBatista Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
23
Q1 - 2:09ATLBatista OFF.Foul (P2)16
23
Q1 - 2:18MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)16
23
Q1 - 2:18MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)16
23
Q1 - 2:35ATLStoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)16
20
Q1 - 2:40ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
20
Q1 - 2:42ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 2:52MIAMourning P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
20
Q1 - 3:11MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)13
20
Q1 - 3:30ATLStoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)13
18
Q1 - 3:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
18
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot10
18
Q1 - 3:54MIASUB: Payton FOR Jones10
18
Q1 - 3:54MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal10
18
Q1 - 3:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
18
Q1 - 4:15ATLBatista 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
18
Q1 - 4:41MIAWilliams 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
18
Q1 - 4:56ATLSUB: Stoudamire FOR Williams8
16
Q1 - 4:56ATLLue Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)8
16
Q1 - 5:01ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
16
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS O'Neal Layup8
16
Q1 - 5:20ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
16
Q1 - 5:20ATLHawks Rebound7
16
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 27
16
Q1 - 5:20MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
16
Q1 - 5:34MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
16
Q1 - 5:38ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS O'Neal Layup7
16
Q1 - 5:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
16
Q1 - 5:55ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)7
16
Q1 - 6:12MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
16
Q1 - 6:12MIAHEAT Rebound7
15
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 27
15
Q1 - 6:12ATLSUB: Lue FOR Johnson7
15
Q1 - 6:12ATLBatista S.FOUL (P1.T4)7
15
Q1 - 6:34ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)7
15
Q1 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)4
15
Q1 - 6:56ATLSUB: Batista FOR Wright4
14
Q1 - 6:56ATLWright S.FOUL (P2.T3)4
14
Q1 - 6:56MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS)4
14
Q1 - 7:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
12
Q1 - 7:13ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Bank Shot4
12
Q1 - 7:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
12
Q1 - 7:28MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
11
Q1 - 7:28ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
10
Q1 - 7:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
10
Q1 - 7:40ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot4
10
Q1 - 7:46ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
10
Q1 - 7:54MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)4
10
Q1 - 8:02MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
8
Q1 - 8:03ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot4
8
Q1 - 8:22MIAPosey Driving Dunk (4 PTS)4
8
Q1 - 8:46ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:03MIAPosey Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)2
6
Q1 - 9:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Williams Layup2
4
Q1 - 9:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:12ATLMISS Childress 17' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:27MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 9:31MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 9:33ATLMISS Smith Driving Layup2
2
Q1 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 9:53MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 9:53ATLWright S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:13ATLJohnson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 10:21ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:39MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:41ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:08ATLMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:22ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42ATLJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAO'Neal Violation:Jump Ball0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
22
77%
MIA
23
37
62%
Midrange
ATL
13
39
33%
MIA
5
19
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
ATL
11
14
79%
MIA
32
45
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Stoudamire2279%11.0 / 14
J. Smith2053%10.0 / 19
M. Williams1464%7.0 / 11
J. Childress945%4.5 / 10
E. Batista880%4.0 / 5
A. Johnson735%3.5 / 10
T. Lue450%2.0 / 4
S. Jones3150%1.5 / 1
L. Wright250%1.0 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2265%11.0 / 17
J. Posey1995%9.5 / 10
J. Williams1464%7.0 / 11
E. Jones1359%6.5 / 11
U. Haslem945%4.5 / 10
A. Walker945%4.5 / 10
D. Wright758%3.5 / 6
G. Payton650%3.0 / 6
A. Mourning563%2.5 / 4
C. Quinn2100%1.0 / 1
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
70
+9
-16
79
MIA
72
+15
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
104.2
ATL 103.5
MIA 127.7 +24.2
Pace
90.2
90.1
ATL 89.3 +9.2
MIA 80.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ATL 16.1 −1.9
MIA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
50.6%
ATL 53.4%
MIA 53.6% +0.2%
TO %
16.7%
15.3%
ATL 16.8%
MIA 12.8% −4.0%
ORB %
29.3%
24.9%
ATL 23.5%
MIA 35.0% +11.5%
FTrt
34.6
32.1
ATL 19.2
MIA 65.2 +46.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
57.6%
ATL 52.8%
MIA 58.8% +6.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.6%
ATL 7.0%
MIA 10.8% +3.8%
BLK %
8.7%
8.8%
ATL 12.5% +5.9%
MIA 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.4%
ATL 54.9%
MIA 58.9% +4.0%
Rim FG%
55.2%
61.8%
ATL 77.3% +15.1%
MIA 62.2%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.5%
ATL 33.3% +7.0%
MIA 26.3%
3P %
32.9%
34.3%
ATL 50.0% +3.8%
MIA 46.2%
FT %
76.1%
69.0%
ATL 78.6% +7.5%
MIA 71.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
34.9%
ATL 30.1%
MIA 53.6% +23.5%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.7%
ATL 53.4%
MIA 27.5% −25.9%
3P Att. %
16.3%
24.5%
ATL 16.4%
MIA 18.8% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8683
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points89106
Rebounds3440
Assists1920
Steals69
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)11 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (1)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)26 (3)
Field Goals36-7334-69
At-the-Rim FG17-2223-37
Midrange FG13-395-19
2-Point FG30-6128-56
3-Point FG6-126-13
Free Throws11-1432-45
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 21
44.3
20
53%
6
4
1
3
1
5
0
6
7-8
88%
5-12
42%
1-3
33%
G · 6'8" 210 · 24
35.1
9
45%
2
0
1
1
2
1
2
0
1-3
33%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
33.5
14
64%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
22.3
7
35%
1
6
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-9
22%
1-1
100%
C · 6'11" 255 · 31
6.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
27.4
22
79%
3
0
2
0
3
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
4-7
57%
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
23.1
4
50%
2
6
0
0
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 24
19.8
8
80%
5
0
2
0
1
5
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23
15.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
10.1
3
150%
2
0
0
2
0
4
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 28
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#27 · C · 6'11" 270 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
55%
34
19
6
7
16
0
8
26
11-14
79%
30-61
49%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.