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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks14%9087
4Rockets86%104106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.8
44.9
15.5
13
39%
3
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
5-11
1-4
45%
40%
0-4
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
39.6
30.6
20
51%
5
1
1
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
1-7
3-7
14%
47%
5-11
45%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
39.4
37.2
26
55%
5
3
0
1
1
5
2
3
8-11
73%
9-18
6-12
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
37.9
32.6
4
45%
11
2
0
1
2
3
2
9
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
26.4
24.4
6
38%
7
0
3
1
1
0
0
7
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
1-3
33%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
21.6
21.7
16
65%
4
0
3
1
0
2
3
1
2-3
67%
7-11
4-7
64%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
10.2
7.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
10.1
16.7
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
40%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
10.0
9.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
38%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
30.9
1
4-10
45%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
5.5
0
1-1
43%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
4.7
0
1-1
49%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.7
41.2
35.1
13
59%
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
3-8
38%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.8
36.7
33.7
22
57%
4
10
4
1
1
1
1
3
2-3
67%
7-12
7-15
58%
49%
2-6
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.5
36.4
33.9
22
44%
8
3
0
0
1
5
1
7
4-7
57%
9-22
10-17
41%
55%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.5
29.3
32.9
10
73%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.8
8.5
24.3
6
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
58%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.1
34.2
23.1
12
44%
10
4
1
0
0
3
3
7
4-4
100%
4-12
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.3
27.0
24.3
13
72%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
13.5
13.1
5
125%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.8
10.2
7.3
0
0%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.3
3.1
3.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-0
52%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.6
2.9
0
0-0
51%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.8
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.