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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards33%10097
8Jazz67%106103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.2
43.0
36.9
32
58%
3
2
3
2
0
3
0
3
14-17
82%
6-15
5-11
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
41.3
33.8
20
48%
8
4
2
1
0
0
1
7
6-9
67%
4-10
5-11
40%
48%
2-7
29%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.0
39.0
24.3
21
72%
6
0
1
1
2
2
0
6
6-8
75%
6-7
3-6
86%
47%
1-4
25%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
27.6
25.4
10
46%
6
3
1
1
0
4
3
3
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.3
21.1
19.5
2
21%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
22.2
22.6
3
19%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
20.4
16.3
6
90%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-3
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.2
11.5
5.6
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.0
10.9
18.6
0
0%
0
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.7
3.2
4.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
12.8
0
1-2
40%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.9
5.5
0
0-1
44%
Mike Hall
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.6
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.7
42.0
35.2
16
58%
5
13
1
1
0
3
3
2
4-4
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.3
36.5
31.8
41
75%
16
2
0
1
0
3
5
11
11-14
79%
15-21
9-15
71%
57%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.8
32.1
27.6
16
43%
5
2
2
0
1
0
0
5
4-10
40%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
26.2
28.4
6
53%
5
1
2
1
2
2
1
4
6-6
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.6
25.5
23.3
10
38%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-7
57%
0-5
2-5
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.8
31.2
24.5
6
31%
13
1
1
1
1
2
3
10
4-4
100%
1-7
4-8
14%
51%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.1
19.1
20.9
8
57%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.6
14.6
13.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
12.5
7.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.6
0.1
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.0
0.1
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
9.4
0
1-3
54%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.