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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Grizzlies13%9887
2Suns87%112105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.0
39.3
21.6
12
40%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-13
3-6
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.7
39.1
36.6
21
53%
10
4
0
0
0
1
2
8
1-2
50%
10-19
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
32.0
22.7
13
54%
2
2
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
31.6
18.1
8
37%
6
3
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
38%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.7
27.0
31.3
12
58%
8
1
3
1
0
1
3
5
2-3
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
50%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
20.2
7.4
8
80%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.2
20.0
20.2
12
51%
1
0
2
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.6
19.4
26.1
1
9%
1
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.3
9.7
12.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.9
1.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
27.6
1
3-6
51%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.4
7.1
0
1-1
47%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.0
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.5
41.0
33.3
29
88%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
48%
6-8
75%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
32.8
33.3
27
72%
12
1
2
1
2
2
0
12
3-4
75%
12-17
8-13
71%
58%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.1
30.5
33.3
11
66%
1
9
0
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
5-9
25%
57%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 24.9
29.2
28.2
6
50%
1
5
0
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
27.2
32.8
8
46%
7
2
0
2
1
1
1
6
4-4
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
57%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.3
31.5
32.9
12
60%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
5-9
60%
53%
2-5
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.5
24.0
14.0
5
64%
8
0
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.5
23.7
15.6
7
44%
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 34.1
10.1
0
1-2
47%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.3
5.1
0
1-2
49%
Pat Burke
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
3.8
0
1-1
50%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
3.0
0
0-0
47%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31.6
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.