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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23SuperSonics37%94114
19Timberwolves63%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
38.1
31.2
19
59%
9
2
2
1
1
1
3
6
1-5
20%
9-14
5-10
64%
53%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
37.6
36.0
35
64%
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
16-17
94%
5-11
4-9
45%
50%
3-9
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
24.9
28.2
7
58%
1
2
1
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
24.1
23.0
6
43%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.2
18.4
29.2
4
33%
4
4
0
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.8
35.5
29.5
24
69%
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
7-10
70%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
5-11
45%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.2
20.6
18.5
4
50%
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
20.1
19.8
9
77%
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.9
17.9
5.9
6
75%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
2.7
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 31.0
5.6
0
1-1
48%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.9
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.3
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.5
41.2
38.7
21
59%
5
8
0
1
0
4
2
3
1-2
50%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
36.8
37.3
20
47%
12
9
0
1
0
2
2
10
4-5
80%
8-18
8-16
44%
52%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.1
35.7
24.2
8
40%
5
3
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.3
29.6
30.3
15
69%
6
0
1
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
5-9
5-9
56%
54%
1-1
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.8
27.8
25.8
13
60%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
4-7
57%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.4
24.8
20.5
13
75%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
3-6
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
54%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.5
21.2
21.8
5
63%
0
3
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.3
12.8
14.7
7
117%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.5
10.2
15.2
4
72%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.0
5.9
0
1-1
44%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.2
4.7
0
0-0
51%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
1.9
0
0-1
46%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.