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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat42%9483
16Raptors58%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
37.4
33.7
9
39%
4
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
2-8
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
32.7
31.4
8
40%
10
1
1
1
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
2-6
33%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.4
32.2
32.6
12
51%
2
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
29.0
27.9
17
57%
6
3
0
0
0
3
3
3
5-9
56%
6-11
7-12
55%
58%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
25.6
27.9
6
43%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
24.4
22.1
10
57%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-4
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
19.3
20.7
2
17%
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
17.8
5.4
11
70%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
3-4
75%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.1
15.6
15.2
8
103%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
6.1
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
8.8
0
1-2
45%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
4.3
0
1-2
46%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
39.6
37.7
13
41%
18
4
0
1
1
2
5
13
1-2
50%
6-15
8-15
40%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.8
39.0
31.7
20
78%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
3-7
43%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.5
35.5
22.3
18
57%
7
5
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
47%
2-5
40%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.0
32.4
31.9
14
56%
2
9
2
1
0
2
0
2
8-8
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.8
19.4
20.1
10
83%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
27.0
10.8
6
38%
10
0
1
0
1
0
7
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
46%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.5
17.2
18.8
2
25%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
16.4
22.9
2
100%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
13.5
14.5
11
44%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-6
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
2-9
22%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.1
3.0
0
0-1
40%
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.9
2.5
0
0-1
51%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.4
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.