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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks42%9387
26Bobcats58%96101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.3
42.4
39.0
25
53%
15
4
0
1
6
5
6
9
9-13
69%
8-16
7-14
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
41.5
38.3
9
39%
5
3
0
1
1
1
2
3
5-6
83%
2-8
5-9
25%
54%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.8
36.3
30.7
12
36%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
4-6
67%
4-13
4-9
31%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.5
26.0
25.6
6
38%
4
5
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.1
25.5
27.5
6
44%
5
3
3
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
24.1
22.3
12
52%
2
1
3
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.9
18.0
20.9
5
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.4
17.3
7.7
10
78%
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
2
0-1
0%
5-6
1-1
83%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
8.2
12.8
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.3
0.7
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.7
9.4
0
1-2
49%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.6
8.8
0
1-1
48%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.9
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
43.5
28.1
31
78%
9
3
4
1
4
2
1
8
7-9
78%
12-16
5-9
75%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.6
35.4
34.5
19
76%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
4-4
100%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.8
34.7
21.4
10
42%
7
10
1
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
25.8
29.3
13
54%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
1-3
33%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
13.9
21.8
7
52%
6
0
2
1
1
0
0
6
3-4
75%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
26.4
30.9
9
39%
7
1
1
1
3
1
3
4
3-6
50%
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.7
24.6
30.7
4
34%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-8
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.4
24.1
25.1
5
37%
1
9
1
1
0
4
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.5
7.6
11.6
3
80%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.4
3.9
16.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
4.0
0
0-1
54%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
2.6
0
0-1
50%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.0
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.7
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.