Final Win Prob. pScore
2214%84
88
286%98
92
ORTG#PossPace
Hornets
100.08892.0
SAS logo Spurs
103.48985.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOKSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS88
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0NOKDuncan STEAL (1 STL)88
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0NOKHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)88
92
Q4 - 0:01.0SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)88
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)88
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:01.0NOKPaul L.B.FOUL (P5.PN)88
90
Q4 - 0:01.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NOKMISS West 13' Jump Shot88
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOKHornets Rebound88
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0NOKMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot88
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Ginobili88
90
Q4 - 0:17.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry88
90
Q4 - 0:17.0NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Brown88
90
Q4 - 0:17.0NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)88
90
Q4 - 0:17.0SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)88
14.2%
90
85.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0NOKFinley STEAL (1 STL)88
49.1%
87
50.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)88
63.4%
87
36.6%
Q4 - 1:02SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
43.9%
87
56.1%
Q4 - 1:04NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot88
48.9%
87
51.1%
Q4 - 1:26NOKHornets Rebound88
58.8%
87
41.2%
Q4 - 1:27SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
54.0%
87
46.0%
Q4 - 1:42NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
41.7%
87
58.3%
Q4 - 1:42NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)87
40.0%
87
60.0%
Q4 - 1:42SASDuncan S.FOUL (P4.PN)86
87
Q4 - 1:54SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen86
87
Q4 - 1:5486
87
Q4 - 1:54SASBarry P.FOUL (P1.T4)86
87
Q4 - 2:07NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)86
34.4%
87
65.6%
Q4 - 2:09SASMISS Parker 1' Layup86
29.9%
87
70.1%
Q4 - 2:29NOKWest 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
20.8%
87
79.2%
Q4 - 2:51SASDuncan 6' Hook Shot (31 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)84
15.9%
87
84.1%
Q4 - 3:21NOKChandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)84
20.7%
85
79.3%
Q4 - 3:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)82
16.2%
85
83.8%
Q4 - 3:42SASSPURS Rebound82
84
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 282
17.7%
84
82.3%
Q4 - 3:42NOKWest S.FOUL (P3.T4)82
84
Q4 - 3:57SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
15.6%
84
84.4%
Q4 - 3:58NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 2 of 282
16.4%
84
83.6%
Q4 - 3:58SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn82
84
Q4 - 3:58NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)82
20.5%
84
79.5%
Q4 - 3:58SASVaughn S.FOUL (P5.T3)81
84
Q4 - 4:03NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
16.0%
84
84.0%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Vaughn 17' Jump Shot81
14.3%
84
85.7%
Q4 - 4:30NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
11.0%
84
89.0%
Q4 - 4:30NOKHornets Rebound80
84
Q4 - 4:30NOKMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 280
10.2%
84
89.8%
Q4 - 4:30SASVaughn S.FOUL (P4.T2)80
84
Q4 - 4:45SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)80
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 4:57SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
21.3%
81
78.7%
Q4 - 4:59NOKMISS Paul 3' Layup80
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q4 - 5:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)80
28.7%
81
71.3%
Q4 - 5:14NOKSUB: Brown FOR Pargo80
80
Q4 - 5:14SASSPURS Rebound80
80
Q4 - 5:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 280
30.8%
80
69.2%
Q4 - 5:14NOKChandler S.FOUL (P4.T3)80
80
Q4 - 5:37NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)80
28.5%
80
71.5%
Q4 - 5:56SASFinley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)77
16.9%
80
83.1%
Q4 - 6:18SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
27.1%
77
72.9%
Q4 - 6:20NOKMISS West 7' Jump Shot77
29.0%
77
71.0%
Q4 - 6:38NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)77
77
Q4 - 6:39SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)77
33.9%
77
66.1%
Q4 - 6:57NOKPargo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P5.T18)77
48.3%
74
51.7%
Q4 - 7:17NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
51.8%
74
48.2%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup77
49.5%
74
50.5%
Q4 - 7:33NOKWest P.FOUL (P2.T2)77
74
Q4 - 7:33SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
44.4%
74
55.6%
Q4 - 7:36NOKMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
46.7%
74
53.3%
Q4 - 7:53SASDuncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)77
52.0%
74
48.0%
Q4 - 8:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)77
42.2%
74
57.8%
Q4 - 8:13NOKMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot77
44.0%
74
56.0%
Q4 - 8:26NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
48.4%
74
51.6%
Q4 - 8:28NOKMISS Paul 1' Layup77
44.1%
74
55.9%
Q4 - 8:39NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Mason77
74
Q4 - 8:39SASVaughn P.FOUL (P3.T1)77
74
Q4 - 8:57SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)77
48.6%
74
51.4%
Q4 - 9:13SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili77
71
Q4 - 9:13SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson77
71
Q4 - 9:13SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)77
71
Q4 - 9:13NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P3.T17)77
58.3%
71
41.7%
Q4 - 9:13NOKPaul OFF.Foul (P4)77
71
Q4 - 9:28SASVaughn 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 7 AST)77
63.9%
71
36.1%
Q4 - 9:50NOKWest 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
69.6%
69
30.4%
Q4 - 10:10NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
60.6%
69
39.4%
Q4 - 10:12SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
59.0%
69
41.0%
Q4 - 10:27NOKBowen STEAL (2 STL)75
55.3%
69
44.7%
Q4 - 10:31SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)75
60.7%
69
39.3%
Q4 - 10:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
55.3%
69
44.7%
Q4 - 10:37NOKElson BLOCK (1 BLK)75
57.0%
69
43.0%
Q4 - 10:46NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
60.8%
69
39.2%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
59.2%
69
40.8%
Q4 - 10:58NOKPargo P.FOUL (P2.T1)75
69
Q4 - 11:04SASSPURS Rebound75
52.7%
69
47.3%
Q4 - 11:04SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup75
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q4 - 11:06SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
52.7%
69
47.3%
Q4 - 11:08SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q4 - 11:16SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
52.8%
69
47.2%
Q4 - 11:18NOKMISS Paul 20' Jump Shot75
54.3%
69
45.7%
Q4 - 11:46SASBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)75
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q4 - 12:0075
66
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK75
68.2%
66
31.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
72.4%
66
27.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot75
71.2%
66
28.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)75
65.6%
66
34.4%
Q3 - 0:08.0NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
65.0%
66
35.0%
Q3 - 0:08.0SASVaughn P.FOUL (P2.PN)73
66
Q3 - 0:24.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)73
60.4%
66
39.6%
Q3 - 0:27.0SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
59.1%
66
40.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOKPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)73
56.1%
66
43.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
45.4%
66
54.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 270
44.8%
66
55.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
41.1%
66
58.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0NOKChandler S.FOUL (P3.T4)70
65
Q3 - 1:11NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Brown70
65
Q3 - 1:11NOKHornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)70
44.3%
65
55.7%
Q3 - 1:11NOKHornets Rebound70
48.7%
65
51.3%
Q3 - 1:11NOKMISS Butler 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
45.6%
65
54.4%
Q3 - 1:38SASDuncan Layup (27 PTS)70
48.8%
65
51.2%
Q3 - 1:53NOKBrown 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)70
54.2%
63
45.8%
Q3 - 2:13SASDuncan 1' Layup (25 PTS)68
46.5%
63
53.5%
Q3 - 2:27SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
51.3%
61
48.7%
Q3 - 2:29NOKMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot68
52.7%
61
47.3%
Q3 - 2:49SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker68
61
Q3 - 2:49SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)68
61
Q3 - 2:49SASFinley Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)68
56.0%
61
44.0%
Q3 - 2:53SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
51.4%
61
48.6%
Q3 - 2:55NOKMISS Paul 6' Jump Shot68
52.8%
61
47.2%
Q3 - 3:03SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T4)68
61
Q3 - 3:12SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)68
53.0%
61
47.0%
Q3 - 3:12SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
53.6%
60
46.4%
Q3 - 3:12NOKBrown P.FOUL (P3.T3)68
59
Q3 - 3:26NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)68
57.2%
59
42.8%
Q3 - 3:26NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
56.3%
59
43.7%
Q3 - 3:26NOKSUB: Butler FOR West66
59
Q3 - 3:26SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T3)66
59
Q3 - 3:51SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)66
53.2%
59
46.8%
Q3 - 4:15NOKWest Layup (12 PTS)66
59.7%
56
40.3%
Q3 - 4:23SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)64
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 4:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)64
57.4%
55
42.6%
Q3 - 4:23NOKChandler S.FOUL (P2.T2)64
54
Q3 - 4:29NOKBowen STEAL (1 STL)64
59.7%
54
40.3%
Q3 - 4:50SASDuncan 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)64
64.5%
54
35.5%
Q3 - 5:12NOKPaul 11' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)64
64.9%
52
35.1%
Q3 - 5:31SASDuncan 3' Hook Shot (19 PTS)62
61.7%
52
38.3%
Q3 - 5:52SASSUB: Bowen FOR Elson62
50
Q3 - 5:52NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
65.2%
50
34.8%
Q3 - 5:52NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)61
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q3 - 5:52SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.T2)60
50
Q3 - 5:52NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)60
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q3 - 5:53NOKMISS Chandler 1' Layup60
58.7%
50
41.3%
Q3 - 6:01NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 6:05SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
57.7%
50
42.3%
Q3 - 6:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
54.8%
50
45.2%
Q3 - 6:14NOKMISS West 12' Jump Shot60
56.1%
50
43.9%
Q3 - 6:29NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
59.1%
50
40.9%
Q3 - 6:31SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup60
57.8%
50
42.2%
Q3 - 6:46NOKPaul 2' Layup (10 PTS)60
54.9%
50
45.1%
Q3 - 6:59SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen58
50
Q3 - 6:59SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry58
50
Q3 - 6:59SASDuncan P.FOUL (P3.T1)58
50
Q3 - 7:11SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)58
48.6%
50
51.4%
Q3 - 7:30NOKHornets Violation: Delay of game Violation58
48
Q3 - 7:30NOKSUB: Paul FOR Pargo58
48
Q3 - 7:30NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)58
52.4%
48
47.6%
Q3 - 7:39NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
56.4%
48
43.6%
Q3 - 7:42SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot58
55.2%
48
44.8%
Q3 - 8:05NOKChandler 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)58
50.9%
48
49.1%
Q3 - 8:09NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
47.5%
48
52.5%
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Elson 4' Jump Shot56
46.2%
48
53.8%
Q3 - 8:29NOKMason 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)56
43.4%
48
56.6%
Q3 - 8:41SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)54
40.1%
48
59.9%
Q3 - 9:02NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)54
42.3%
46
57.7%
Q3 - 9:04NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
46.0%
46
54.0%
Q3 - 9:07NOKMISS Pargo 12' Jump Shot54
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q3 - 9:24NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Paul54
46
Q3 - 9:24NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)54
46
Q3 - 9:29NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
46.1%
46
53.9%
Q3 - 9:31SASMISS Parker 1' Layup54
45.0%
46
55.0%
Q3 - 9:42NOKPaul Foul Turnover (P2.T11)54
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q3 - 9:42NOKPaul OFF.Foul (P3)54
46
Q3 - 9:54NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
46.2%
46
53.8%
Q3 - 9:57SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup54
45.1%
46
54.9%
Q3 - 10:18NOKPaul 2' Layup (8 PTS)54
40.8%
46
59.2%
Q3 - 10:24SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
37.4%
46
62.6%
Q3 - 10:29SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
34.1%
46
65.9%
Q3 - 10:31NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot52
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q3 - 10:45NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
37.5%
46
62.5%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot52
36.5%
46
63.5%
Q3 - 10:53NOKPaul P.FOUL (P2.T1)52
46
Q3 - 11:03SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
32.7%
46
67.3%
Q3 - 11:05NOKMISS West 5' Jump Shot52
33.7%
46
66.3%
Q3 - 11:22NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)52
36.1%
46
63.9%
Q3 - 11:23SASMISS Elson 13' Jump Shot52
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q3 - 11:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
32.8%
46
67.2%
Q3 - 11:40NOKDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)52
33.8%
46
66.2%
Q3 - 12:0052
46
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK52
36.2%
46
63.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)52
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASOberto 1' Layup (2 PTS)52
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Udrih 9' Jump Shot52
40.2%
44
59.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0NOKPargo 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)52
38.5%
44
61.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0SASParker 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
34.7%
44
65.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0NOKChandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)50
38.6%
42
61.4%
Q2 - 1:00NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
41.1%
42
58.9%
Q2 - 1:02SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
39.1%
42
60.9%
Q2 - 1:16NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 1:16NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 1:16SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan48
42
Q2 - 1:16NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)48
33.7%
42
66.3%
Q2 - 1:1647
42
Q2 - 1:16SASDuncan L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)47
42
Q2 - 1:16NOKHornets Rebound47
30.9%
42
69.1%
Q2 - 1:17SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup47
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 1:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
28.9%
42
71.1%
Q2 - 1:36NOKMISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q2 - 1:49SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T2)47
42
Q2 - 2:09SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)47
30.1%
42
69.9%
Q2 - 2:26NOKPaul 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)47
35.7%
39
64.3%
Q2 - 2:41SASSUB: Bowen FOR Barry45
39
Q2 - 2:41SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
32.9%
39
67.1%
Q2 - 2:41SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
33.3%
38
66.7%
Q2 - 2:41SASSUB: Parker FOR Finley45
37
Q2 - 2:41SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
37
Q2 - 2:41NOKWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)45
37
Q2 - 2:59NOKButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)45
35.8%
37
64.2%
Q2 - 3:10SASDuncan 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)42
29.4%
37
70.6%
Q2 - 3:26NOKWest 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)42
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 3:37NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
29.4%
35
70.6%
Q2 - 3:40SASMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 3:55SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Oberto40
35
Q2 - 3:55NOKPargo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)40
26.5%
35
73.5%
Q2 - 4:09NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
28.2%
35
71.8%
Q2 - 4:11SASMISS Udrih 16' Jump Shot40
27.5%
35
72.5%
Q2 - 4:27NOKWest 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)40
25.7%
35
74.3%
Q2 - 4:41SASDuncan 1' Finger Roll (13 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)38
23.6%
35
76.4%
Q2 - 4:59NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)38
25.8%
33
74.2%
Q2 - 5:11NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong35
33
Q2 - 5:11NOKSUB: Paul FOR Brown35
33
Q2 - 5:11SASSUB: Udrih FOR Parker35
33
Q2 - 5:11NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
33
Q2 - 5:19SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)35
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 5:38NOKArmstrong 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)35
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 5:56SASFinley 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)33
23.0%
30
77.0%
Q2 - 6:02SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
24.6%
28
75.4%
Q2 - 6:05SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot33
26.5%
28
73.5%
Q2 - 6:07SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q2 - 6:10SASMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot33
26.5%
28
73.5%
Q2 - 6:35NOKPargo 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q2 - 6:50SASDuncan 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)31
22.9%
28
77.1%
Q2 - 7:20NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
26.2%
25
73.8%
Q2 - 7:24NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q2 - 7:26SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot28
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 7:40SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q2 - 7:42SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot28
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q2 - 7:59NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)28
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q2 - 8:11NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q2 - 8:13SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot25
16.1%
25
83.9%
Q2 - 8:27SASSUB: Barry FOR Ginobili25
25
Q2 - 8:27SASSUB: Duncan FOR Bonner25
25
Q2 - 8:2725
25
Q2 - 8:27NOKPargo Foul Turnover (P1.T8)25
15.1%
25
84.9%
Q2 - 8:27NOKPargo OFF.Foul (P1)25
25
Q2 - 8:40SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)25
16.6%
25
83.4%
Q2 - 9:01NOKBrown 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)25
19.4%
22
80.6%
Q2 - 9:05SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q2 - 9:21SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn23
22
Q2 - 9:21NOKBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T7)23
16.3%
22
83.7%
Q2 - 9:21NOKBrown OFF.Foul (P2)23
22
Q2 - 9:31SASVaughn 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
17.8%
22
82.2%
Q2 - 9:47NOKButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)23
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q2 - 9:53NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q2 - 9:55SASMISS Vaughn 2' Layup20
15.9%
20
84.1%
Q2 - 10:04NOKBrown 1' Layup (4 PTS)20
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q2 - 10:12SASVaughn P.FOUL (P1.T1)18
20
Q2 - 10:18NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q2 - 10:21SASMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot18
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q2 - 10:34NOKSUB: West FOR Jackson18
20
Q2 - 10:34SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
20
Q2 - 10:38SASJump Ball Finley vs. Jackson: Tip to18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q2 - 10:38NOKFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)18
12.7%
20
87.3%
Q2 - 10:50NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.6%
20
86.4%
Q2 - 10:52SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.2%
20
86.8%
Q2 - 10:59SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
12.4%
20
87.6%
Q2 - 11:01NOKMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot18
12.9%
20
87.1%
Q2 - 11:17SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q2 - 11:17SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)18
13.9%
19
86.1%
Q2 - 11:17NOKArmstrong S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
18
Q2 - 11:19SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q2 - 11:21SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q2 - 11:41SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q2 - 11:43NOKMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot18
15.3%
18
84.7%
Q2 - 12:0018
18
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
16.3%
18
83.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound18
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 39' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.9%
18
84.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
14.8%
18
85.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0NOKMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot18
15.0%
18
85.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0SASGinobili Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)18
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOKBonner STEAL (1 STL)18
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASBonner P.FOUL (P2.T4)18
16
Q1 - 0:49.0NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMISS Ginobili 8' Turnaround Jump Shot18
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 1:01NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T5)18
17.2%
16
82.8%
Q1 - 1:01NOKChandler OFF.Foul (P1)18
16
Q1 - 1:11SASFinley 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)18
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 1:33NOKMason 4' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)18
20.1%
14
79.9%
Q1 - 1:47NOKHornets Rebound16
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 1:47NOKMISS Paul 3' Layup16
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 1:58SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)16
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 2:24NOKPargo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)16
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 2:39NOKSUB: Jackson FOR West13
14
Q1 - 2:39SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan13
14
Q1 - 2:39SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen13
14
Q1 - 2:39NOKHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 2:39SASBonner L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)13
14
Q1 - 2:39NOKHornets Rebound13
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 2:39SASMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot13
14.1%
14
85.9%
Q1 - 2:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 2:53NOKMISS West 3' Layup13
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 3:03NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
14.2%
14
85.8%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 3:28SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
13.1%
14
86.9%
Q1 - 3:30NOKMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot13
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 3:43SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker13
14
Q1 - 3:43NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)13
14.2%
14
85.8%
Q1 - 3:43SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Duncan )12
14
Q1 - 4:01SASDuncan 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)12
12.9%
14
87.1%
Q1 - 4:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 4:09NOKMISS Chandler 2' Layup12
14.1%
12
85.9%
Q1 - 4:22NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 4:25SASMISS Ginobili 1' Reverse Layup12
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 4:35NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Brown12
12
Q1 - 4:35NOKBrown P.FOUL (P1.T2)12
12
Q1 - 4:43SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13.8%
12
86.2%
Q1 - 4:45NOKMISS Chandler 2' Layup12
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 4:57SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS)12
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 5:18NOKWest Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)12
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 5:27SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
17.1%
10
82.9%
Q1 - 5:38SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
15.9%
10
84.1%
Q1 - 5:41NOKMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.2%
10
83.8%
Q1 - 6:03NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
16.5%
10
83.5%
Q1 - 6:05SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 6:15SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
10
Q1 - 6:15NOKWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
15.4%
10
84.6%
Q1 - 6:18SASParker Layup (4 PTS)12
16.5%
10
83.5%
Q1 - 6:22SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 6:24NOKMISS Paul 3PT Jump Shot12
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 6:34NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.6%
8
81.4%
Q1 - 6:37SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 6:49NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
17.4%
8
82.6%
Q1 - 6:49SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Barry11
8
Q1 - 6:49NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 6:49SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
8
Q1 - 6:52NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
16.4%
8
83.6%
Q1 - 6:54NOKMISS Paul 5' Running Jump Shot10
15.7%
8
84.3%
Q1 - 7:04SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)10
16.1%
8
83.9%
Q1 - 7:17NOKWest 1' Layup (4 PTS)10
16.9%
6
83.1%
Q1 - 7:32SASDuncan 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
16.0%
6
84.0%
Q1 - 7:38NOKPaul P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
4
Q1 - 7:55NOKBrown Layup (2 PTS)8
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 8:03NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 8:06SASMISS Parker 1' Layup6
15.3%
4
84.7%
Q1 - 8:22NOKWest 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)6
14.7%
4
85.3%
Q1 - 8:28SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 8:40NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 8:55SASSUB: Bonner FOR Elson4
4
Q1 - 8:55SASElson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 8:55SASElson OFF.Foul (P2)4
4
Q1 - 9:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 9:13NOKMISS Mason 2' Layup4
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 9:24SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 9:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 9:33NOKMISS West 17' Jump Shot4
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 9:43NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
14.9%
2
85.1%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot4
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:11NOKChandler 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)4
14.1%
2
85.9%
Q1 - 10:18NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot2
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 10:37NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
13.4%
2
86.6%
Q1 - 10:55SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
13.8%
2
86.2%
Q1 - 11:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:14NOKMISS West 5' Jump Shot2
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 11:25NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.0%
0
86.0%
Q1 - 11:28SASMISS Barry 22' Jump Shot2
13.9%
0
86.1%
Q1 - 11:38NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:38NOKPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 11:38SASElson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 11:43SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot0
13.7%
0
86.3%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Parker0
13.8%
0
86.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventNOKSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.13 56.4%
SAS
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
14
29
48%
SAS
14
27
52%
Midrange
NOK
9
24
38%
SAS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
8
12.0
13
62%
92%
SAS
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
NOK
18
20
90%
SAS
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Paul2056%10.0 / 18
D. West1650%8.0 / 16
J. Pargo1372%6.5 / 9
R. Butler1275%6.0 / 8
D. Brown1179%5.5 / 7
T. Chandler1063%5.0 / 8
D. Mason433%2.0 / 6
H. Armstrong2100%1.0 / 1
M. Jackson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3167%15.5 / 23
B. Barry1575%7.5 / 10
M. Finley1354%6.5 / 12
M. Ginobili1240%6.0 / 15
B. Bowen788%3.5 / 4
T. Parker638%3.0 / 8
J. Vaughn643%3.0 / 7
F. Oberto2100%1.0 / 1
F. Elson0-0.0 / 2
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 2
B. Udrih0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOK
69
+7
-19
76
SAS
80
+8
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOK
1.13 56.4%
SAS
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
109.2
NOK 100.0
SAS 103.4 +3.4
Pace
90.4
89.8
NOK 92.0 +6.6
SAS 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.5
NOK 15.7 −1.2
SAS 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.9%
52.1%
NOK 53.0% +2.4%
SAS 50.6%
TO %
14.9%
14.7%
NOK 21.1%
SAS 10.5% −10.6%
ORB %
29.2%
24.5%
NOK 12.1%
SAS 15.0% +2.9%
FTrt
29.1
31.3
NOK 30.3 +9.8
SAS 20.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.7%
60.5%
NOK 48.4%
SAS 64.7% +16.3%
STL %
7.0%
8.0%
NOK 6.8% +1.2%
SAS 5.6%
BLK %
6.9%
7.8%
NOK 12.0% +6.3%
SAS 5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.7%
54.7%
NOK 56.4% +4.7%
SAS 51.7%
Rim FG%
56.2%
62.1%
NOK 48.3%
SAS 51.9% +3.6%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.4%
NOK 37.5%
SAS 39.1% +1.6%
3P %
36.2%
38.1%
NOK 61.5% +22.2%
SAS 39.3%
FT %
74.0%
75.1%
NOK 90.0% +8.7%
SAS 81.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.2%
34.9%
NOK 43.9% +9.3%
SAS 34.6%
Mid Att. %
44.0%
40.5%
NOK 36.4%
SAS 29.5% −6.9%
3P Att. %
18.8%
24.7%
NOK 19.7%
SAS 35.9% +16.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNOKSAS
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points8892
Rebounds3835
Assists1522
Steals65
Blocks63
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)29 (0)
Field Goals31-6634-78
At-the-Rim FG14-2914-27
Midrange FG9-249-23
2-Point FG23-5323-50
3-Point FG8-1311-28
Free Throws18-2013-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
40.5
16
50%
7
1
0
2
2
3
0
7
2-2
100%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 22
39.3
20
56%
5
9
2
0
4
5
1
4
9-10
90%
4-12
33%
1-2
50%
C · 7'1" 240 · 24
37.8
10
63%
12
0
0
1
2
4
1
11
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
30.0
11
79%
2
0
0
0
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'5" 222 · 29
27.4
4
33%
1
1
2
1
4
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 28
27.4
12
75%
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
26.7
13
72%
6
4
2
0
6
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22
6.8
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 32
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 21
F · 6'8" 250 · 22
F · 6'8" 205 · 27
#11 · F · 6'8" 225 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G · 6'1" 185 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#16 · F · 6'10" 229 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
56%
38
15
6
6
19
0
4
34
18-20
90%
23-53
43%
8-13
62%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.