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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Hornets13%8488
2Spurs87%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
40.5
30.8
16
50%
7
1
0
1
2
2
0
7
2-2
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.9
39.3
32.0
20
54%
5
9
2
2
0
4
1
4
9-10
90%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.5
37.8
31.8
10
64%
12
0
0
1
1
2
1
11
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
30.0
25.0
11
81%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-4
2-5
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.5
27.4
30.2
4
33%
1
1
2
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
5-11
33%
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.8
27.4
26.6
12
75%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
40%
4-5
80%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
26.7
23.9
13
72%
6
4
2
1
0
6
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
40%
3-5
60%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
6.8
9.2
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.2
4.1
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
6.1
0
1-2
42%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
4.6
0
1-1
40%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.8
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.0
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
37.8
29.2
31
68%
5
3
1
1
1
3
0
5
4-6
67%
12-19
6-11
63%
54%
1-1
100%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
33.3
27.3
7
88%
9
3
2
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
28.3
29.2
6
38%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
6-12
38%
55%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
27.7
21.7
15
75%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
5-8
63%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
12.0
22.3
0
0%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
28.2
19.2
13
54%
3
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-8
38%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
25.6
24.4
12
41%
5
7
0
1
0
2
0
5
7-8
88%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
1-7
14%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
17.5
17.2
6
44%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
12.5
14.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
12.0
12.1
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
5.2
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
12.9
0
1-3
51%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.0
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.