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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks15%91103
1Mavericks85%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
41.4
33.7
4
50%
12
2
1
1
2
1
1
11
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.0
39.9
33.6
11
49%
2
7
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-5
60%
4-9
4-7
44%
47%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
37.2
20.2
17
37%
6
8
3
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
7-18
3-6
39%
46%
0-3
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
35.6
37.3
34
86%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
10-14
6-12
71%
47%
4-5
80%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
20.2
24.6
15
97%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
1-1
100%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
27.8
21.4
16
69%
7
3
1
1
1
4
3
4
4-6
67%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
16.3
13.7
2
20%
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.8
14.9
27.1
2
17%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
41%
0-1
0%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
6.7
8.5
2
41%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
9.8
0
1-2
40%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
4.3
0
1-1
49%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
40.0
34.7
17
42%
9
2
1
1
0
2
2
7
5-5
100%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
0-4
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
36.9
34.0
27
72%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
4-9
44%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
36.3
31.7
13
53%
4
5
1
1
0
4
1
3
3-3
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
52%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
33.5
19.0
4
40%
10
3
1
0
1
1
4
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
59%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
15.9
31.3
17
75%
5
1
0
1
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-7
7-13
57%
52%
2-3
67%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
29.7
22.4
21
71%
0
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
5-8
63%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
19.1
11.3
4
40%
3
2
3
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
14.9
12.3
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
13.6
24.3
0
0%
6
2
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-2
0%
0-4
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
14.4
1
1-3
45%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
4.9
0
1-1
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.8
4.7
0
1-1
49%
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.