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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs75%9599
26Pacers25%87100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
35.7
31.0
22
59%
7
7
1
1
1
3
2
5
4-6
67%
9-15
7-13
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
34.5
34.0
17
57%
12
1
1
1
2
8
4
8
5-9
56%
6-11
7-13
55%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
29.8
25.3
6
56%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1-3
33%
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.2
23.4
19.5
5
36%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
1-4
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
18.9
19.1
2
50%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
28.9
24.2
17
62%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
3-7
43%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
28.9
27.4
13
46%
3
2
3
1
0
2
0
3
4-7
57%
3-5
3-6
60%
51%
1-6
17%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
16.0
10.0
9
77%
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
15.8
18.3
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
8.1
14.7
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
7.8
0
1-2
48%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
5.8
0
1-1
47%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.1
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.9
41.0
34.0
16
52%
2
3
1
1
1
5
1
1
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.5
39.7
32.1
21
54%
7
2
2
1
0
1
0
7
8-8
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.1
35.2
34.7
20
55%
3
8
4
2
0
3
1
2
1-3
33%
8-16
5-12
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.9
34.2
25.7
20
72%
1
0
2
1
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
45%
2-2
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
9.3
22.2
0
0%
9
0
0
1
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
31.9
8.4
18
61%
13
1
0
0
1
3
8
5
4-4
100%
7-13
1-3
54%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.8
19.2
17.7
0
0%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.1
17.4
17.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.6
8.7
7.6
2
53%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.8
3.3
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
5.1
0
0-1
35%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.2
4.2
0
0-1
40%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.2
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.1
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.