Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21SuperSonics17%8891
2Spurs83%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.2
31.0
22.8
4
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
30.7
36.9
19
68%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
29.2
29.4
20
79%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
26.4
32.0
6
41%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
25.2
28.1
2
14%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
44%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.2
28.4
19.2
14
44%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
7-16
3-6
44%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.8
23.2
30.8
8
55%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
1-3
33%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
20.3
16.3
4
45%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.9
13.6
9.2
6
69%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.9
12.0
4.5
8
67%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 31.0
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.3
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.8
28.2
26.8
18
100%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
6-9
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.9
27.5
33.6
14
71%
5
7
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
7-13
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.9
25.8
32.4
16
75%
6
4
1
1
0
1
0
6
6-6
100%
5-8
7-13
63%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.1
24.9
25.6
13
82%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
13.3
19.0
6
100%
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.0
26.2
12.3
11
95%
10
1
1
0
1
0
3
7
3-4
75%
4-4
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
23.4
12.6
8
37%
9
2
0
0
1
1
5
4
2-2
100%
3-9
1-2
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.7
22.2
27.7
8
58%
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
53%
0-3
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
15.6
17.2
3
80%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
15.3
4.5
2
17%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
49%
0-2
0%
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
12.0
6.2
6
53%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 22.1
5.6
3.2
5
56%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.3
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.