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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks62%10097
16Kings38%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.5
43.3
35.3
27
62%
5
5
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
3-9
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
40.5
35.7
29
58%
8
1
0
1
2
2
1
7
9-9
100%
10-18
6-12
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
33.4
16.5
9
75%
8
1
1
1
1
6
3
5
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
22.3
17.4
3
32%
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
1-4
25%
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
21.9
25.4
2
20%
1
4
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-4
4-7
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
31.3
25.8
23
53%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
45%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
23.8
21.0
0
0%
7
1
1
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.5
21.9
15.3
4
50%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
1.6
10.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
32.1
1
7-14
51%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.1
3.3
0
0-1
46%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.8
3.2
0
0-1
44%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.4
42.6
39.9
25
54%
10
2
2
2
1
3
6
4
5-7
71%
7-16
5-11
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.0
39.0
28.2
6
36%
5
7
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.9
35.8
33.5
16
63%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.2
33.9
34.9
17
54%
9
1
2
1
0
3
2
7
11-15
73%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
21.0
18.6
12
61%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.3
27.1
25.8
7
39%
2
2
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.7
22.0
16.8
6
40%
8
3
0
0
0
1
4
4
4-8
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
12.4
19.0
2
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
6.3
5.1
2
23%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.3
25.4
1
4-8
49%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.9
4.6
0
1-1
49%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.9
3.8
0
0-1
45%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.