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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2176ers51%9592
27Knicks49%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.2
35.8
37.3
18
59%
5
2
3
2
1
2
1
4
4-5
80%
7-11
6-12
64%
50%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.9
32.5
36.0
4
40%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
54%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.4
31.7
26.8
12
72%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-3
0%
6-7
3-5
86%
57%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
31.6
37.6
14
51%
4
7
3
1
1
0
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
20.5
12.1
13
54%
3
3
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
44%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.0
33.7
31.4
17
54%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
46%
1-4
25%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
26.4
18.9
9
52%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
18.4
9.7
2
33%
3
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
9.3
2.3
3
32%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-4
25%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.3
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.3
2.5
0
0-0
52%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.7
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.1
45.4
37.9
30
57%
7
6
1
1
0
3
1
6
6-8
75%
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
4-9
44%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
43.3
28.0
9
35%
2
4
2
1
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.3
39.6
35.2
14
61%
11
0
0
1
0
7
3
8
8-10
80%
3-7
7-13
43%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
37.4
18.0
8
51%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
51%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.9
19.1
27.2
6
60%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
30.7
24.6
17
67%
16
0
3
1
0
1
7
9
3-4
75%
7-10
3-6
70%
54%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.8
24.5
28.2
6
33%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-5
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.4
17.3
1
2-4
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
11.5
0
2-3
60%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.4
6.2
0
1-2
49%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.3
3.9
0
0-1
51%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.6
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.