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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls43%90106
5Pistons57%9288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.3
41.5
37.0
29
76%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
5-5
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
46%
4-6
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
40.9
39.7
22
62%
9
4
2
1
1
2
2
7
4-4
100%
9-16
8-16
56%
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.9
40.1
4.7
11
42%
10
2
0
0
0
3
0
10
0-0
-
4-11
0-1
36%
45%
1-2
50%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.5
38.4
17.6
11
62%
7
4
1
0
2
2
3
4
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.0
11.8
35.8
2
50%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
6-13
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.6
37.4
20.6
8
67%
4
5
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.6
10.1
26.1
13
60%
8
0
0
1
0
1
5
3
1-2
50%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
7.6
8.8
6
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.4
6.8
2.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.7
2.7
2.7
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 25.1
2.7
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.6
37.2
1
3-5
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 21.1
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.8
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.5
29.6
28.7
16
73%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
4-5
80%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.1
29.3
33.8
6
44%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.5
29.1
32.2
17
64%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
9-12
75%
4-6
3-8
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
25.7
22.9
10
42%
8
2
0
1
0
2
2
6
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
45%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.1
17.3
30.8
3
34%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
5-10
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
31.2
22.9
9
41%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
44%
1-1
100%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
21.2
17.4
7
44%
6
0
3
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.3
19.3
16.1
7
50%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
1-4
25%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.1
17.2
14.1
2
26%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
14.1
25.0
5
46%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.6
6.0
4.9
6
104%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38.0
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.2
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.9
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.