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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23SuperSonics35%9492
19Hornets65%99101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
47.9
34.1
27
43%
10
0
1
1
1
0
2
8
1-3
33%
7-17
4-9
41%
50%
4-13
31%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
40.7
29.5
11
74%
6
1
0
1
2
3
3
3
1-1
100%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.2
34.6
25.9
16
67%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
46%
2-5
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
19.9
26.8
2
17%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.6
16.4
29.0
8
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.8
41.6
27.6
16
42%
4
4
2
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
44%
2-8
25%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
30.2
18.1
6
38%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.2
25.2
22.8
4
40%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.9
7.6
11.4
2
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.9
0.9
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 31.0
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.3
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
49.6
34.3
18
50%
14
5
1
1
1
3
5
9
0-0
-
9-17
7-13
53%
51%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.9
42.7
31.4
11
33%
11
9
0
2
0
2
2
9
5-6
83%
3-12
4-9
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
26.8
23.0
14
64%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
2-6
33%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.5
14.1
32.7
9
57%
3
0
0
1
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
4-7
5-12
57%
47%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.5
7.4
33.8
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
5-8
0%
60%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.2
38.8
5.4
13
57%
12
3
1
0
0
3
3
9
3-3
100%
5-10
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
36.1
20.6
16
73%
2
1
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
4-7
57%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.1
31.1
22.0
18
71%
4
3
1
1
0
2
2
2
6-6
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
2-3
67%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
10.3
21.5
2
26%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
8.0
4.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
12.5
0
1-3
54%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.8
4.0
0
0-1
51%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.8
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.