Final Win Prob. pScore
1158%93
88
2942%91
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
104.88486.0
BOS logo Celtics
101.28482.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS88
85
Q4 - 0:00.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)88
85
Q4 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Telfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 0:03.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
85
Q4 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
85
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 13 AST)88
85
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)86
85
Q4 - 0:43.0BOSRondo 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
85
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)86
83
Q4 - 0:52.0BOSGreen S.FOUL (P4.PN)85
83
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAPosey Layup (12 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)85
83
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
83
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 1:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
83
Q4 - 1:18BOSMISS Green 19' Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 1:27MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)83
83
Q4 - 1:33MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)80
83
Q4 - 1:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)80
83
Q4 - 1:33BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 2 of 280
83
Q4 - 1:33BOSCELTICS Rebound80
83
Q4 - 1:33BOSMISS Powe Free Throw 1 of 280
83
Q4 - 1:33MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.PN)80
83
Q4 - 1:51BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
83
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 280
83
Q4 - 1:53BOSPowe Violation:Lane80
83
Q4 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound80
83
Q4 - 1:53MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 280
83
Q4 - 1:53MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono80
83
Q4 - 1:53BOSSUB: Telfair FOR Ray80
83
Q4 - 1:53BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P5.T4)80
83
Q4 - 2:14BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS)80
83
Q4 - 2:18MIAPowe STEAL (2 STL)80
81
Q4 - 2:30BOSRay Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
81
Q4 - 2:30BOSCELTICS Rebound80
80
Q4 - 2:30BOSMISS Ray Free Throw 1 of 280
80
Q4 - 2:30MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.PN)80
80
Q4 - 2:4280
80
Q4 - 2:42MIAKapono P.FOUL (P3.T4)80
80
Q4 - 2:58BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
80
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
80
Q4 - 3:16MIASUB: Jones FOR Posey80
80
Q4 - 3:16BOSGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
80
Q4 - 3:16BOSGreen OFF.Foul (P3)80
80
Q4 - 3:19BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
80
Q4 - 3:23MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
80
Q4 - 3:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
80
Q4 - 3:32BOSMISS Ray 15' Jump Shot80
80
Q4 - 3:41BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
80
Q4 - 3:44MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot80
80
Q4 - 4:04BOSRondo Slam Dunk (9 PTS)80
80
Q4 - 4:08MIARondo STEAL (1 STL)80
78
Q4 - 4:19MIASUB: Williams FOR Payton80
78
Q4 - 4:19BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)80
78
Q4 - 4:43BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
78
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot80
78
Q4 - 4:52BOSRay P.FOUL (P3.T3)80
78
Q4 - 4:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
78
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
78
Q4 - 5:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
78
Q4 - 5:13BOSMISS Green 12' Jump Shot80
78
Q4 - 5:28MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T8)80
78
Q4 - 5:28MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)80
78
Q4 - 5:41BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)80
78
Q4 - 5:41BOSPowe L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)80
78
Q4 - 5:41MIAHeat Rebound80
78
Q4 - 5:42BOSMISS Ray 3PT Jump Shot80
78
Q4 - 5:46BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
78
Q4 - 5:48MIAPerkins BLOCK (2 BLK)80
78
Q4 - 6:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
78
Q4 - 6:06BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 280
78
Q4 - 6:06MIASUB: Posey FOR Jones80
78
Q4 - 6:06BOSCELTICS Rebound80
78
Q4 - 6:06BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 280
78
Q4 - 6:06MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T3)80
78
Q4 - 6:24BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
78
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup80
78
Q4 - 6:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
78
Q4 - 6:48BOSMISS Green 20' Jump Shot80
78
Q4 - 6:53MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker80
78
Q4 - 7:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
78
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot80
78
Q4 - 7:18MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning80
78
Q4 - 7:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)80
78
Q4 - 7:27BOSPowe 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)80
78
Q4 - 7:28BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
76
Q4 - 7:30BOSMISS Perkins 7' Jump Shot80
76
Q4 - 7:51BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
76
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot80
76
Q4 - 8:07BOSSUB: Ray FOR Telfair80
76
Q4 - 8:07BOSTelfair P.FOUL (P3.T1)80
76
Q4 - 8:15BOSPerkins 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)80
76
Q4 - 8:35MIAWalker 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)80
74
Q4 - 8:56BOSGreen 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)78
74
Q4 - 8:59BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
72
Q4 - 9:01BOSMISS Green 6' Jump Shot78
72
Q4 - 9:15MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)78
72
Q4 - 9:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
72
Q4 - 9:21BOSMISS Telfair 3' Layup75
72
Q4 - 9:30BOSTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
72
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
72
Q4 - 9:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
72
Q4 - 9:51BOSMISS Rondo 23' Jump Shot75
72
Q4 - 10:08BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)75
72
Q4 - 10:08BOSCELTICS Rebound75
72
Q4 - 10:08BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
72
Q4 - 10:18MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams75
72
Q4 - 10:18BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Ray75
72
Q4 - 10:18MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)75
72
Q4 - 10:36MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)75
72
Q4 - 10:52BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Gomes73
72
Q4 - 10:52BOSGomes Foul Turnover (P2.T6)73
72
Q4 - 10:52BOSGomes OFF.Foul (P4)73
72
Q4 - 11:06MIAMourning Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T7)73
72
Q4 - 11:24BOSPowe Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
72
Q4 - 11:24MIASUB: Walker FOR Payton73
71
Q4 - 11:24BOSPowe Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
71
Q4 - 11:24MIASUB: Jones FOR Posey73
70
Q4 - 11:24MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T1)73
70
Q4 - 11:42MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)73
70
Q4 - 12:0070
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
70
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 32' 3PT Jump Shot70
70
Q3 - 0:06.0BOSGreen 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)70
70
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
68
Q3 - 0:22.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Haslem69
68
Q3 - 0:22.0BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Powe69
68
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
68
Q3 - 0:22.0BOSRay S.FOUL (P2.PN)68
68
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
68
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot68
68
Q3 - 0:35.0BOSGomes 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 1:03MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)68
66
Q3 - 1:19BOSGreen 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Telfair 5 AST)66
66
Q3 - 1:33MIATelfair STEAL (1 STL)66
64
Q3 - 1:52BOSTelfair 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
64
Q3 - 2:04MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal66
62
Q3 - 2:04BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
62
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem Layup66
62
Q3 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)66
62
Q3 - 2:14MIAGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)66
62
Q3 - 2:23MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
62
Q3 - 2:26BOSMISS Green 22' Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 2:49MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)66
62
Q3 - 3:06MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams64
62
Q3 - 3:06MIAHeat Rebound64
62
Q3 - 3:06BOSMISS Ray 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
62
Q3 - 3:28BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
62
Q3 - 3:30MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
62
Q3 - 3:48BOSGreen 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Telfair 4 AST)64
62
Q3 - 3:54MIAPowe STEAL (1 STL)64
59
Q3 - 4:07MIASUB: Kapono FOR Jones64
59
Q3 - 4:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
59
Q3 - 4:17BOSRay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Telfair 3 AST)64
59
Q3 - 4:30BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
56
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup64
56
Q3 - 4:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
56
Q3 - 4:56BOSMISS Gomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
56
Q3 - 4:59BOSCELTICS Rebound64
56
Q3 - 4:59BOSMISS Gomes 5' Running Jump Shot64
56
Q3 - 5:17BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
56
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot64
56
Q3 - 5:41BOSRay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)64
56
Q3 - 5:55BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
53
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
53
Q3 - 6:21BOSGomes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Green 2 AST)64
53
Q3 - 6:34BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)64
50
Q3 - 6:36MIAPosey 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)64
50
Q3 - 6:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
50
Q3 - 6:49BOSMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
50
Q3 - 7:08MIAHaslem 1' Layup (15 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)62
50
Q3 - 7:22BOSGomes Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)60
50
Q3 - 7:22BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)60
49
Q3 - 7:22MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T1)60
48
Q3 - 7:23BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
48
Q3 - 7:24BOSMISS Powe 3' Layup60
48
Q3 - 7:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
48
Q3 - 7:41MIAHeat Rebound59
48
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 259
48
Q3 - 7:41BOSPowe S.FOUL (P1.PN)59
48
Q3 - 7:58BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Green 1 AST)59
48
Q3 - 8:15MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)59
45
Q3 - 8:15BOSTelfair S.FOUL (P2.T4)58
45
Q3 - 8:15MIAWilliams 1' Finger Roll (7 PTS)58
45
Q3 - 8:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
45
Q3 - 8:25BOSMISS Telfair 22' Jump Shot56
45
Q3 - 8:39BOSSUB: Powe FOR Perkins56
45
Q3 - 8:39BOSSUB: Telfair FOR Rondo56
45
Q3 - 8:39MIAHaslem Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)56
45
Q3 - 8:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
45
Q3 - 8:56BOSMISS Green 17' Jump Shot56
45
Q3 - 9:17MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)56
45
Q3 - 9:25BOSPerkins P.FOUL (P4.T3)54
45
Q3 - 9:27BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.T2)54
45
Q3 - 9:38BOSGomes P.FOUL (P3.T1)54
45
Q3 - 9:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
45
Q3 - 9:53BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
45
Q3 - 10:17MIAHaslem 1' Layup (10 PTS)54
45
Q3 - 10:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
45
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup52
45
Q3 - 10:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
45
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
45
Q3 - 10:44MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
45
Q3 - 10:46BOSMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot52
45
Q3 - 11:06BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
45
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
45
Q3 - 11:26MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
45
Q3 - 11:29BOSMISS Green 11' Jump Shot52
45
Q3 - 11:42BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)52
45
Q3 - 11:44BOSMISS Gomes 22' Jump Shot52
45
Q3 - 12:0052
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOS52
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSCELTICS Rebound52
45
Q2 - 0:00.0BOSMISS Powe 18' Jump Shot52
45
Q2 - 0:01.0BOSSUB: Powe FOR Pinkney52
45
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)52
45
Q2 - 0:12.0BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
45
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Layup52
45
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
45
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Haslem 3' Layup52
45
Q2 - 0:25.0BOSGomes Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)52
45
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJones 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)52
45
Q2 - 0:50.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Kapono50
45
Q2 - 0:50.0BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)50
45
Q2 - 0:50.0BOSTelfair Foul Turnover (P1.T4)50
45
Q2 - 0:50.0BOSTelfair OFF.Foul (P1)50
45
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)50
45
Q2 - 1:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
45
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
45
Q2 - 1:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
45
Q2 - 1:08BOSMISS Rondo 2' Layup48
45
Q2 - 1:24MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS)48
45
Q2 - 1:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
45
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS O'Neal 2' Layup46
45
Q2 - 1:55BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)46
45
Q2 - 2:11MIAO'Neal 1' Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)46
42
Q2 - 2:22MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
42
Q2 - 2:24BOSMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
42
Q2 - 2:37BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
42
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
42
Q2 - 2:58BOSRondo 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
42
Q2 - 3:08BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
40
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 144
40
Q2 - 3:10BOSSUB: Telfair FOR Ray44
40
Q2 - 3:10BOSPinkney S.FOUL (P2.T4)44
40
Q2 - 3:10MIAO'Neal 1' Reverse Layup (18 PTS)44
40
Q2 - 3:29BOSRondo Layup (5 PTS)42
40
Q2 - 3:31BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
38
Q2 - 3:33BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
38
Q2 - 3:50MIAWilliams 2' Layup (5 PTS)42
38
Q2 - 3:54BOSRay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)40
38
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)40
38
Q2 - 4:13BOSPinkney S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
38
Q2 - 4:13MIAO'Neal 2' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)39
38
Q2 - 4:19MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
38
Q2 - 4:22BOSMISS Pinkney 19' Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 4:39BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
38
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 237
38
Q2 - 4:40BOSSUB: Pinkney FOR Perkins37
38
Q2 - 4:40MIASUB: Posey FOR Jones37
38
Q2 - 4:40MIAHeat Rebound37
38
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 237
38
Q2 - 4:40BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Telfair37
38
Q2 - 4:40MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker37
38
Q2 - 4:40BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P3.T2)37
38
Q2 - 4:53MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
38
Q2 - 4:55BOSMISS Green 9' Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 4:59BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
38
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 5:16BOSSUB: Gomes FOR Powe37
38
Q2 - 5:16BOSPerkins Foul Turnover (P1.T2)37
38
Q2 - 5:16BOSPerkins OFF.Foul (P2)37
38
Q2 - 5:27BOSTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
38
Q2 - 5:30MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 5:35MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
38
Q2 - 5:37BOSMISS Perkins 5' Jump Shot37
38
Q2 - 6:07MIAO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)37
38
Q2 - 6:19MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
38
Q2 - 6:21BOSMISS Powe 1' Layup35
38
Q2 - 6:30BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
38
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS O'Neal 1' Hook Shot35
38
Q2 - 6:53BOSGreen 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)35
38
Q2 - 7:09MIAO'Neal 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)35
36
Q2 - 7:21BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Pinkney33
36
Q2 - 7:21MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning33
36
Q2 - 7:21MIASUB: Kapono FOR Payton33
36
Q2 - 7:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)33
36
Q2 - 7:30BOSGreen 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ray 3 AST)33
36
Q2 - 7:32BOSRay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
34
Q2 - 7:35MIAPinkney BLOCK (1 BLK)33
34
Q2 - 7:55BOSPowe 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)33
34
Q2 - 7:58BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
32
Q2 - 8:00BOSMISS Telfair 5' Jump Shot33
32
Q2 - 8:16MIAPayton 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
32
Q2 - 8:39BOSPowe 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Pinkney 1 AST)31
32
Q2 - 8:48MIAWalker Inbound Turnover (P2.T3)31
30
Q2 - 8:50BOSGreen 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 8:5731
28
Q2 - 8:57BOSCELTICS Rebound31
28
Q2 - 8:58BOSMISS Green 1' Layup31
28
Q2 - 9:10BOSPinkney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28
Q2 - 9:12MIAMISS Walker Layup31
28
Q2 - 9:23BOSSUB: Green FOR Gomes31
28
Q2 - 9:23BOSGomes P.FOUL (P2.T1)31
28
Q2 - 9:31MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
28
Q2 - 9:33BOSMISS Ray 17' Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 9:39MIASUB: Williams FOR Haslem31
28
Q2 - 9:39MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)31
28
Q2 - 9:55MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)31
28
Q2 - 10:13BOSRay 1' Finger Roll (6 PTS)28
28
Q2 - 10:30MIAPinkney STEAL (1 STL)28
26
Q2 - 10:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
26
Q2 - 10:39BOSMISS Powe 7' Jump Shot28
26
Q2 - 10:58BOSTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
26
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot28
26
Q2 - 11:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
26
Q2 - 11:15BOSMISS Pinkney Free Throw 2 of 228
26
Q2 - 11:15BOSCELTICS Rebound28
26
Q2 - 11:15BOSMISS Pinkney Free Throw 1 of 228
26
Q2 - 11:15MIAPayton S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
26
Q2 - 11:29BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
26
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
26
Q2 - 11:44MIAHeat Rebound28
26
Q2 - 11:45BOSMISS Gomes 7' Jump Shot28
26
Q2 - 12:0028
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
26
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
26
Q1 - 0:05.0BOSMISS Telfair 14' Jump Shot28
26
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMourning 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)28
26
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
26
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 226
26
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSSUB: Pinkney FOR Perkins26
26
Q1 - 0:39.0BOSGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
26
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.T3)26
25
Q1 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Kapono26
25
Q1 - 0:51.0BOSCELTICS Rebound26
25
Q1 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Haslem 1' Dunk26
25
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
25
Q1 - 1:03BOSMISS Powe 14' Jump Shot26
25
Q1 - 1:24BOSSUB: Telfair FOR Rondo26
25
Q1 - 1:24MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T1)26
25
Q1 - 1:24MIAKapono OFF.Foul (P2)26
25
Q1 - 1:40BOSGomes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ray 2 AST)26
25
Q1 - 2:00MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)26
22
Q1 - 2:09MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
22
Q1 - 2:10BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 2:35MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 2:35MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams22
22
Q1 - 2:35MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 2:35BOSRay P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
22
Q1 - 2:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
22
Q1 - 2:48BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 221
22
Q1 - 2:48BOSRondo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 2:48MIAKapono S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
21
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Walker FOR Posey21
21
Q1 - 2:55BOSGomes Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)21
21
Q1 - 2:55MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Kapono )21
20
Q1 - 3:07MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)21
20
Q1 - 3:18MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal19
20
Q1 - 3:18MIASUB: Kapono FOR Jones19
20
Q1 - 3:18MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
20
Q1 - 3:29BOSGomes Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)19
20
Q1 - 3:46BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
18
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot19
18
Q1 - 4:05BOSGomes 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Powe 1 AST)19
18
Q1 - 4:08BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
16
Q1 - 4:10BOSMISS Ray 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
16
Q1 - 4:18MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)19
16
Q1 - 4:18BOSGomes S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
16
Q1 - 4:18MIAO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)18
16
Q1 - 4:39BOSPerkins 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
16
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
14
Q1 - 5:12BOSSUB: Powe FOR Green14
14
Q1 - 5:12BOSGreen P.FOUL (P2.T3)14
14
Q1 - 5:30BOSGreen 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)14
14
Q1 - 5:34BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
12
Q1 - 5:36MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
12
Q1 - 5:55BOSRay Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)14
12
Q1 - 5:55BOSCELTICS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)14
11
Q1 - 5:55MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
11
Q1 - 5:55BOSRay 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)14
11
Q1 - 6:20BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 6:21MIAPerkins BLOCK (1 BLK)14
8
Q1 - 6:39BOSRondo 1' Layup (2 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 6:40BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
6
Q1 - 6:41BOSMISS Ray 1' Layup14
6
Q1 - 6:46BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
6
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Haslem 11' Turnaround Jump Shot14
6
Q1 - 7:01MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
6
Q1 - 7:03BOSMISS Gomes 21' Jump Shot14
6
Q1 - 7:18BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
6
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot14
6
Q1 - 7:22MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
6
Q1 - 7:24MIARay BLOCK (1 BLK)14
6
Q1 - 7:43BOSGomes 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)14
6
Q1 - 8:01BOSGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
4
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 214
4
Q1 - 8:01BOSRay Violation:Lane14
4
Q1 - 8:01MIAHeat Rebound14
4
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 214
4
Q1 - 8:01BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
4
Q1 - 8:17MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
4
Q1 - 8:20BOSMISS Perkins 5' Hook Shot14
4
Q1 - 8:36MIAO'Neal 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)14
4
Q1 - 8:56BOSGreen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)12
4
Q1 - 9:11BOSCELTICS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)12
2
Q1 - 9:21MIAPosey Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)12
2
Q1 - 9:25BOSGreen P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
2
Q1 - 9:35BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
2
Q1 - 9:54MIAO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
2
Q1 - 10:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 10:09BOSMISS Ray 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 10:29MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 10:37MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:39BOSMISS Green 22' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 11:03MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 11:24BOSGreen 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ray 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:42MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Perkins vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
BOS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
35
60%
BOS
13
23
57%
Midrange
MIA
8
21
38%
BOS
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
BOS
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
9
17
53%
BOS
9
18
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal2250%11.0 / 22
U. Haslem1745%8.5 / 19
J. Posey1381%6.5 / 8
J. Kapono950%4.5 / 9
J. Williams840%4.0 / 10
A. Walker8100%4.0 / 4
E. Jones536%2.5 / 7
A. Mourning4100%2.0 / 2
G. Payton250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Gomes2475%12.0 / 16
G. Green2142%10.5 / 25
A. Ray1346%6.5 / 14
R. Rondo1161%5.5 / 9
L. Powe1045%5.0 / 11
K. Perkins440%2.0 / 5
S. Telfair217%1.0 / 6
K. Pinkney0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+11
-10
85
BOS
77
+14
-7
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 51.8%
BOS
0.93 46.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
102.9
MIA 104.8 +3.6
BOS 101.2
Pace
90.1
92.3
MIA 86.0 +3.9
BOS 82.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.4
MIA 16.8 −0.8
BOS 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.9%
MIA 51.3% +3.8%
BOS 47.5%
TO %
15.3%
16.8%
MIA 10.6%
BOS 8.3% −2.3%
ORB %
24.9%
27.2%
MIA 23.3% +0.6%
BOS 22.7%
FTrt
32.1
33.7
MIA 22.1
BOS 22.5 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
57.0%
MIA 66.7% +10.8%
BOS 55.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 3.6%
BOS 6.0% +2.4%
BLK %
8.8%
7.5%
MIA 6.8%
BOS 8.9% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.7%
MIA 51.8% +5.1%
BOS 46.7%
Rim FG%
61.8%
54.8%
MIA 60.0% +3.5%
BOS 56.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.6%
MIA 38.1% +2.0%
BOS 36.1%
3P %
34.3%
36.7%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 38.1% +4.8%
FT %
69.0%
76.7%
MIA 52.9% +2.9%
BOS 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
37.4%
MIA 45.5% +16.7%
BOS 28.7%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.7%
MIA 27.3% −17.7%
BOS 45.0%
3P Att. %
24.5%
19.9%
MIA 27.3% +1.0%
BOS 26.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8885
Rebounds4443
Assists2419
Steals35
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)33 (1)
Field Goals36-7734-80
At-the-Rim FG21-3513-23
Midrange FG8-2113-36
2-Point FG29-5626-59
3-Point FG7-218-21
Free Throws9-179-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
37.5
17
45%
9
1
0
0
1
3
5
4
1-2
50%
8-18
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
34.4
8
40%
2
13
3
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
G · 6'6" 200 · 35
34.2
5
36%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
33.3
22
50%
11
3
0
1
2
3
3
8
2-9
22%
10-19
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
31.1
13
81%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
23.2
9
50%
4
2
0
0
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
16.9
2
50%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
14.8
8
100%
3
1
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
14.7
4
100%
2
0
0
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
52%
44
24
3
4
10
0
10
34
9-17
53%
29-56
52%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.