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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks52%10171
7Nuggets48%10075
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.6
39.9
37.5
13
33%
3
4
3
1
1
3
2
1
0-0
-
5-14
5-9
36%
51%
1-6
17%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.7
36.8
19.7
11
81%
13
2
1
0
2
1
6
7
3-4
75%
4-5
2-3
80%
56%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.8
36.2
21.7
22
45%
11
4
0
0
1
6
0
11
3-3
100%
8-19
5-9
42%
50%
1-4
25%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
26.4
22.8
4
20%
5
0
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
43%
0-3
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
7.3
36.7
2
25%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
6-13
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
32.3
24.2
10
92%
5
5
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
5-5
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.4
29.1
27.5
7
27%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-9
4-8
11%
44%
1-3
33%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.6
19.9
17.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
8.3
22.0
2
69%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
3.7
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.2
2.8
0
0-1
46%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.8
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 44.6
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.6
42.8
32.8
16
62%
10
4
1
1
0
3
2
8
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
53%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
41.4
37.5
23
45%
10
3
1
1
0
1
3
7
9-11
82%
7-21
9-18
33%
49%
0-0
-
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.8
39.4
39.7
22
43%
3
5
2
2
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
9-21
6-13
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
37.6
34.8
5
26%
14
2
1
1
3
1
3
11
3-4
75%
1-8
4-9
13%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.1
32.8
28.2
5
43%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.6
22.5
18.2
0
0%
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.3
19.4
22.8
3
50%
5
1
0
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-3
33%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.9
4.1
13.2
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.7
6.0
0
1-1
52%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.6
3.5
0
0-0
45%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.9
2.8
0
0-0
51%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.