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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies24%9089
17Magic76%100116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.0
43.6
38.2
15
51%
2
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
3-6
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
31.4
26.0
4
29%
3
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
30.5
36.7
14
60%
8
1
1
1
1
2
0
8
6-6
100%
4-9
7-13
44%
51%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.7
28.5
32.9
14
52%
8
1
0
1
0
3
2
6
6-10
60%
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.4
18.0
14.2
3
22%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
0-5
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.6
35.1
23.2
18
60%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
5-9
56%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.3
33.1
14.7
13
46%
6
4
0
0
1
1
2
4
5-5
100%
4-11
2-4
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
12.2
7.7
3
45%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
7.6
3.4
5
32%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-7
0-1
29%
46%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
36.5
1
4-10
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
9.4
0
1-2
50%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.0
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
31.8
39.4
31
76%
11
2
1
1
0
2
3
8
11-17
65%
10-13
6-10
77%
60%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.5
28.6
34.4
15
84%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
7-8
6-12
88%
53%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
24.3
33.4
15
91%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
4-4
5-9
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.2
21.2
28.8
2
50%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
18.9
23.5
6
77%
5
2
1
0
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
21.4
15.7
8
58%
5
1
1
0
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
20.9
19.9
14
73%
7
4
3
1
0
5
3
4
6-6
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.8
20.9
11.1
8
58%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.9
17.9
19.7
7
51%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.7
14.4
7.7
6
44%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.6
12.0
3.0
2
26%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
7.6
5.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36.0
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.