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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Knicks42%96118
27Bucks58%99113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
51.4
36.5
19
44%
12
8
5
1
0
7
3
9
6-10
60%
5-15
4-9
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.3
50.2
35.2
43
85%
13
1
2
0
0
4
4
9
8-12
67%
16-19
7-12
84%
57%
1-1
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.9
49.6
25.7
34
68%
4
7
2
1
0
1
1
3
5-7
71%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
5-13
38%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
42.5
26.6
5
36%
10
5
0
1
3
3
4
6
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.9
14.4
28.9
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
5-9
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.4
29.1
10.7
7
37%
4
5
1
0
0
5
2
2
1-1
100%
3-9
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
22.8
27.6
10
50%
9
2
0
1
2
3
3
6
0-0
-
5-10
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.4
2.6
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
2.4
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
60%
0-0
-
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.1
27.4
1
3-7
48%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.3
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.6
2.7
0
0-1
49%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.0
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
43.8
34.8
14
40%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
1-6
17%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
41.7
33.3
27
52%
7
4
7
1
1
3
5
2
2-4
50%
11-22
6-12
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
40.5
15.0
25
46%
2
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
4-7
57%
6-16
3-5
38%
50%
3-8
38%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
38.3
15.7
15
68%
8
10
1
1
0
4
1
7
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
30.8
22.9
9
52%
11
2
3
1
1
1
4
7
3-6
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.8
24.4
33.1
2
12%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-1
0%
1-6
4-8
17%
45%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
23.9
16.9
14
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
2-5
40%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
9.5
13.4
2
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
6.3
23.0
5
102%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
5.7
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
14.7
0
1-2
51%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
6.9
0
1-2
51%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.