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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 8, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bobcats23%92111
4Heat77%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.7
47.5
39.7
30
79%
8
1
4
2
1
1
2
6
7-9
78%
7-10
7-14
70%
52%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.8
37.4
34.5
16
54%
2
6
4
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
42%
2-5
40%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
36.7
32.7
15
63%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
3-6
50%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 31.4
35.5
26.3
13
56%
4
7
3
1
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
33.6
28.8
13
45%
8
1
4
1
1
3
4
4
5-8
63%
4-11
5-9
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.5
22.5
4.6
6
75%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.4
21.3
13.3
12
68%
7
2
0
0
0
1
2
5
4-4
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
15.7
5.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.5
8.7
8.5
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.5
6.1
2.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 26.6
23.5
1
2-5
44%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 22.7
22.0
0
2-5
41%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.0
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.2
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
40.4
33.8
10
51%
5
3
4
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
1-5
20%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
31.5
30.6
8
52%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
0-4
2-4
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
30.1
32.2
15
53%
9
1
0
0
5
3
3
6
3-7
43%
6-11
8-13
55%
60%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
27.7
33.8
7
60%
7
0
0
1
1
3
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
6-11
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
25.3
31.5
4
86%
2
4
3
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
1-1
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
26.6
33.5
12
42%
3
8
0
2
1
6
1
2
6-12
50%
3-8
8-16
38%
53%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
25.5
24.1
19
96%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
3-3
100%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
22.2
13.5
20
79%
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
1
2-6
33%
9-10
2-4
90%
58%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
21.8
18.5
2
25%
6
3
1
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
13.9
15.8
6
51%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
5.1
0
0-1
47%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.6
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.