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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pistons67%9491
26Knicks33%8883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.1
39.0
36.6
12
36%
8
3
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-2
0%
6-13
5-11
46%
49%
0-3
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.5
37.2
35.4
22
76%
1
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
6-8
75%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
4-6
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.1
32.4
34.0
19
46%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
4-4
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.6
28.1
25.5
6
43%
6
1
1
1
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.1
22.1
28.3
8
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
29.1
27.8
11
56%
13
1
3
1
3
2
3
10
3-4
75%
4-8
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
19.6
16.3
6
36%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.6
15.8
12.5
7
41%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 38.0
15.3
2.7
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.1
1.3
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.3
11.6
1
1-2
42%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.6
4.0
0
1-1
51%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.2
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.9
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
45.2
38.5
10
51%
5
6
3
1
0
5
0
5
2-4
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 22.9
41.9
31.7
24
56%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
5-12
3-6
42%
46%
4-8
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.3
39.9
37.6
24
70%
5
1
0
1
0
5
3
2
12-14
86%
6-11
7-13
55%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 23.9
29.6
23.0
11
36%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
47%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
26.4
30.0
2
26%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.4
25.9
16.3
8
67%
8
2
1
0
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-6
1-4
67%
41%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.1
21.6
9.4
4
29%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 32.6
4.5
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 31.4
4.0
3.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.3
0.9
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
24.6
1
3-6
53%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 23.9
11.1
0
1-2
59%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.0
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.