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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 9, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Magic54%98117
24Bucks46%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
34.3
28.0
25
81%
2
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
47%
4-5
80%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.3
28.6
34.6
15
64%
11
2
2
1
1
1
2
9
1-4
25%
7-10
5-9
70%
59%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.5
27.6
30.6
7
41%
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
52%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.2
25.8
24.7
12
59%
4
9
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
19.1
21.0
6
100%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.8
24.1
18.6
11
81%
9
4
1
0
1
1
2
7
1-4
25%
5-5
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.8
17.6
20.4
16
78%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-5
40%
7-8
3-6
88%
53%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.8
17.6
16.2
7
51%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.9
15.9
18.7
8
67%
0
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.7
14.5
11.5
6
50%
2
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
8.7
8.3
2
25%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36.0
6.3
3.0
2
69%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.6
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
30.1
35.3
13
41%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
4-10
4-8
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
29.6
22.0
13
59%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
1-3
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.9
29.4
29.0
12
49%
2
3
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
44%
0-4
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
27.3
33.7
11
63%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
4-6
7-12
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
7.9
24.1
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
34.4
11.8
8
46%
10
1
3
0
0
1
2
8
2-4
50%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
23.6
17.3
4
35%
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
22.7
14.7
12
83%
1
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
22.6
18.4
18
56%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
45%
1-5
20%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
12.6
5.2
3
50%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
22.2
1
4-8
49%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
12.1
0
1-2
50%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.9
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.