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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 10, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Kings62%102112
27Grizzlies38%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.0
39.9
23.8
17
59%
10
11
2
1
1
6
1
9
3-3
100%
7-13
3-5
54%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.4
38.4
38.6
7
32%
5
1
0
2
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
3-7
6-12
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
35.3
21.0
19
60%
8
4
1
1
2
1
6
2
9-9
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
51%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.9
31.0
27.0
25
63%
4
7
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
8-14
3-6
57%
47%
3-6
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
25.0
25.1
14
60%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.9
31.1
17.3
16
71%
11
0
1
0
3
0
3
8
2-5
40%
7-9
2-4
78%
53%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.3
26.1
23.0
10
74%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.8
13.1
16.2
4
53%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-4
25%
0-0
2-3
-
47%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.2
32.1
1
5-9
53%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.3
11.6
0
2-4
51%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.9
2.6
0
0-1
48%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 32.1
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.7
45.0
26.9
11
40%
3
10
0
1
0
0
0
3
8-11
73%
0-6
2-5
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.3
39.9
21.3
20
58%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
5-5
100%
6-14
3-7
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.1
35.8
38.8
14
47%
4
3
0
2
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.8
33.1
33.9
17
56%
9
1
2
1
1
1
2
7
9-14
64%
4-9
7-12
44%
53%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.8
27.1
30.8
12
55%
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.4
25.2
15.8
14
58%
4
0
2
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
7-12
2-5
58%
49%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
23.4
27.3
9
77%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
6.0
9.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.5
4.5
5.6
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
24.9
1
3-7
47%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
9.1
0
1-2
52%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.0
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.