Final Win Prob. pScore
2124%94
82
876%103
85
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
93.28887.0
MIA logo Heat
96.68889.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0WAS82
85
Q4 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound82
85
Q4 - 0:00.0WASMISS Taylor 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
85
Q4 - 0:05.0MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
85
Q4 - 0:05.0WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Songaila82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0WASSUB: Taylor FOR Daniels82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 1 of 282
84
Q4 - 0:05.0WASSongaila P.FOUL (P2.PN)82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Walker82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)82
84
Q4 - 0:05.0WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)82
84
Q4 - 0:06.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)82
84
Q4 - 0:06.0WASWizards Rebound82
84
Q4 - 0:08.0WASMourning BLOCK (5 BLK)82
84
Q4 - 0:27.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)82
84
Q4 - 0:28.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
84
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 282
84
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
84
Q4 - 0:29.0WASStevenson S.FOUL (P2.T3)82
83
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
83
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot82
83
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
83
Q4 - 1:01WASMISS Stevenson Layup82
83
Q4 - 1:12WASSUB: Hayes FOR Blatche82
83
Q4 - 1:12WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)82
83
Q4 - 1:23MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
83
Q4 - 1:36WASStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)82
81
Q4 - 1:59MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T17)79
81
Q4 - 2:13MIASUB: Mourning FOR Doleac79
81
Q4 - 2:13WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P2.T14)79
81
Q4 - 2:13WASStevenson OFF.Foul (P1)79
81
Q4 - 2:29MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
81
Q4 - 2:40WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Mason Jr.79
78
Q4 - 2:40WASSUB: Daniels FOR Taylor79
78
Q4 - 2:40WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)79
78
Q4 - 2:40WASMason Jr. Foul Turnover (P2.T13)79
78
Q4 - 2:40WASMason Jr. OFF.Foul (P3)79
78
Q4 - 2:52WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
78
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 3:09MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
78
Q4 - 3:11WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 3:29MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)79
78
Q4 - 3:36MIASUB: Walker FOR Barron79
76
Q4 - 3:36MIASUB: Jones FOR Wright79
76
Q4 - 3:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)79
76
Q4 - 3:48WASBlatche Dunk (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)79
76
Q4 - 4:09WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
76
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 4:25WASSUB: Jamison FOR Booth77
76
Q4 - 4:25WASMason Jr. L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)77
76
Q4 - 4:26WASWade STEAL (2 STL)77
76
Q4 - 4:38MIABarron 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T16)77
76
Q4 - 4:55WASMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Taylor 4 AST)77
76
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
76
Q4 - 5:37WASMason Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
74
Q4 - 5:37WASMason Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)73
74
Q4 - 5:37MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T3)72
74
Q4 - 5:45WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
74
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper72
74
Q4 - 6:00WASBooth Foul Turnover (P1.T11)72
74
Q4 - 6:00WASBooth OFF.Foul (P1)72
74
Q4 - 6:14MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)72
74
Q4 - 6:24MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
72
Q4 - 6:33WASTaylor Dunk (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)72
72
Q4 - 6:37MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)70
72
Q4 - 6:53WASTaylor Running Dunk (6 PTS)70
72
Q4 - 6:59MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T14)68
72
Q4 - 7:08MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
72
Q4 - 7:10WASMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot68
72
Q4 - 7:21MIAKapono P.FOUL (P1.T2)68
72
Q4 - 7:32MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)68
72
Q4 - 7:50WASBlatche Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Songaila 2 AST)68
70
Q4 - 8:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T13)66
70
Q4 - 8:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
70
Q4 - 8:06WASMISS Blatche 18' Jump Shot66
70
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
70
Q4 - 8:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
69
Q4 - 8:29WASMason Jr. S.FOUL (P1.T1)66
68
Q4 - 8:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
68
Q4 - 8:38WASMISS Mason Jr. 13' Jump Shot66
68
Q4 - 8:55WASSUB: Booth FOR Haywood66
68
Q4 - 8:55WASSUB: Songaila FOR Hayes66
68
Q4 - 8:5566
68
Q4 - 8:55MIADoleac L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)66
68
Q4 - 8:55WASWizards Rebound66
68
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot66
68
Q4 - 9:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
68
Q4 - 9:03WASBarron BLOCK (1 BLK)66
68
Q4 - 9:22MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)66
68
Q4 - 9:30MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams66
66
Q4 - 9:30MIASUB: Barron FOR Walker66
66
Q4 - 9:34MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
66
Q4 - 9:36WASMISS Taylor Driving Layup66
66
Q4 - 9:43MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)66
66
Q4 - 9:57WASHayes 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS)66
66
Q4 - 10:20MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)64
66
Q4 - 10:41WASMason Jr. 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)64
64
Q4 - 10:47WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
64
Q4 - 10:49WASDoleac BLOCK (1 BLK)62
64
Q4 - 11:04MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)62
64
Q4 - 11:24WASBlatche Driving Layup (5 PTS)62
62
Q4 - 11:41WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
62
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
62
Q4 - 12:0060
62
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS60
62
Q3 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound60
62
Q3 - 0:01.0WASMISS Mason Jr. 21' Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 0:37.0WASHaywood Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
60
Q3 - 0:37.0WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Songaila59
60
Q3 - 0:37.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Jones59
60
Q3 - 0:37.0WASWizards Rebound59
60
Q3 - 0:37.0WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 1 of 259
60
Q3 - 0:37.0MIADoleac S.FOUL (P1.T4)59
60
Q3 - 0:51.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
60
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 1:09WASTaylor Layup (4 PTS) (Songaila 1 AST)59
60
Q3 - 1:13WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)57
60
Q3 - 1:15WASMISS Hayes 20' Jump Shot57
60
Q3 - 1:30MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)57
60
Q3 - 1:50WASHaywood Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Taylor 3 AST)57
57
Q3 - 1:53WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
57
Q3 - 1:55WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot55
57
Q3 - 2:12WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
57
Q3 - 2:14MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 255
57
Q3 - 2:14MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)55
57
Q3 - 2:14WASSUB: Taylor FOR Daniels55
56
Q3 - 2:14WASSUB: Blatche FOR Jamison55
56
Q3 - 2:14WASSongaila S.FOUL (P1.PN)55
56
Q3 - 2:32WASHaywood 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 2:48WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
56
Q3 - 2:50MIAMISS Doleac Driving Layup53
56
Q3 - 3:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
56
Q3 - 3:03WASMISS Songaila 11' Jump Shot53
56
Q3 - 3:21MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)53
56
Q3 - 3:21MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)53
55
Q3 - 3:21WASJamison S.FOUL (P2.T4)53
54
Q3 - 3:30MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
54
Q3 - 3:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
54
Q3 - 3:38WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 253
54
Q3 - 3:38WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
54
Q3 - 3:38MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wade52
54
Q3 - 3:38MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning52
54
Q3 - 3:38MIAWalker S.FOUL (P3.T3)52
54
Q3 - 3:40WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
54
Q3 - 3:42WASMISS Daniels 8' Running Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 3:44WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)52
54
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
54
Q3 - 3:53MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
54
Q3 - 3:55WASMISS Songaila 10' Fadeaway Jumper52
54
Q3 - 4:10MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)52
54
Q3 - 4:29WASHayes 9' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
51
Q3 - 4:51MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)50
51
Q3 - 5:08WASDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
51
Q3 - 5:08WASSUB: Songaila FOR Stevenson49
51
Q3 - 5:08WASSUB: Haywood FOR Thomas49
51
Q3 - 5:08WASDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
51
Q3 - 5:08MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T2)48
51
Q3 - 5:11WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
51
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot48
51
Q3 - 5:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
51
Q3 - 5:25WASMISS Thomas 8' Hook Shot48
51
Q3 - 5:37MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T10)48
51
Q3 - 5:56WASThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)48
51
Q3 - 6:07MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)48
51
Q3 - 6:13WASWizards Rebound48
51
Q3 - 6:14WASMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)48
51
Q3 - 6:25MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)48
51
Q3 - 6:25WASHayes S.FOUL (P1.T3)48
50
Q3 - 6:25MIAWalker Layup (14 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)48
50
Q3 - 6:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
48
Q3 - 6:29WASMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)48
48
Q3 - 6:48MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)48
48
Q3 - 6:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
46
Q3 - 7:00WASMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot48
46
Q3 - 7:16WASThomas Violation:Defensive Goaltending48
46
Q3 - 7:16MIAWalker 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS)48
46
Q3 - 7:31MIAHEAT Rebound48
44
Q3 - 7:33WASMISS Stevenson 3PT Jump Shot48
44
Q3 - 7:53MIAWalker Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
44
Q3 - 7:59WASWalker STEAL (1 STL)48
42
Q3 - 8:15MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
42
Q3 - 8:15MIAHEAT Rebound48
41
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 248
41
Q3 - 8:15WASJamison P.FOUL (P1.T2)48
41
Q3 - 8:32WASStevenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)48
41
Q3 - 8:46WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)45
41
Q3 - 8:52MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)45
41
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
39
Q3 - 9:00WASMISS Jamison 17' Jump Shot45
39
Q3 - 9:13MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T9)45
39
Q3 - 9:13MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P3)45
39
Q3 - 9:36WASJamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)45
39
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
39
Q3 - 10:12WASThomas P.FOUL (P2.T1)42
37
Q3 - 10:33WASDaniels Driving Layup (5 PTS)42
37
Q3 - 10:49MIAWilliams Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
37
Q3 - 10:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
35
Q3 - 11:01WASMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
35
Q3 - 11:12WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
35
Q3 - 11:14MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
35
Q3 - 11:37WASDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)40
35
Q3 - 12:0037
35
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
35
Q2 - 0:01.0WASDaniels Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)37
35
Q2 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Doleac37
35
Q2 - 0:12.0WASSUB: Hayes FOR Thomas37
35
Q2 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Posey FOR Jones37
35
Q2 - 0:12.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)37
35
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T4)37
35
Q2 - 0:29.0WASWizards Rebound37
35
Q2 - 0:31.0WASMISS Songaila 21' Jump Shot37
35
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (5 PTS)37
35
Q2 - 0:56.0MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning37
33
Q2 - 0:56.0WASBlatche Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
33
Q2 - 1:15MIAJones Reverse Layup (7 PTS)37
33
Q2 - 1:35WASSongaila 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)37
31
Q2 - 1:48MIAHEAT Rebound35
31
Q2 - 1:48MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
31
Q2 - 1:48MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 235
30
Q2 - 1:48WASThomas S.FOUL (P1.T4)35
30
Q2 - 1:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
30
Q2 - 1:58WASMISS Stevenson 19' Fadeaway Jumper35
30
Q2 - 2:10WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
30
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
30
Q2 - 2:28WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
30
Q2 - 2:28WASWizards Rebound34
30
Q2 - 2:28WASMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 234
30
Q2 - 2:28MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T3)34
30
Q2 - 2:35WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
30
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup34
30
Q2 - 2:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
30
Q2 - 2:57WASMISS Blatche Free Throw 2 of 234
30
Q2 - 2:57WASBlatche Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
30
Q2 - 2:57MIASUB: Williams FOR Posey33
30
Q2 - 2:57WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Mason Jr.33
30
Q2 - 2:57WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood33
30
Q2 - 2:57WASSUB: Daniels FOR Taylor33
30
Q2 - 2:57WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)33
30
Q2 - 2:57MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T2)33
30
Q2 - 2:58WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
30
Q2 - 3:00WASMISS Taylor 16' Jump Shot33
30
Q2 - 3:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)33
30
Q2 - 3:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
30
Q2 - 3:19WASMISS Haywood 14' Hook Shot33
30
Q2 - 3:27WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
30
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot33
30
Q2 - 3:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
30
Q2 - 3:49WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)33
30
Q2 - 3:49WASMISS Haywood Tip Shot33
30
Q2 - 3:52WASMISS Taylor Driving Layup33
30
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T7)33
30
Q2 - 4:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
30
Q2 - 4:12WASMISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
30
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
30
Q2 - 4:47WASBlatche Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)33
30
Q2 - 4:48WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
30
Q2 - 4:50WASMISS Haywood 8' Hook Shot31
30
Q2 - 4:52WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)31
30
Q2 - 4:54WASMISS Songaila 17' Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 5:17WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
30
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 231
30
Q2 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
30
Q2 - 5:19WASHaywood S.FOUL (P2.T3)31
29
Q2 - 5:32MIASUB: Walker FOR Kapono31
29
Q2 - 5:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
29
Q2 - 5:41WASHaywood Layup (8 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)31
29
Q2 - 6:01MIASUB: Jones FOR Wright29
29
Q2 - 6:01MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
29
Q2 - 6:06MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
29
Q2 - 6:08MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot29
29
Q2 - 6:22WASHaywood 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 6:35WASBlatche REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 6:54MIASUB: Mourning FOR Doleac27
29
Q2 - 6:54MIASUB: Wade FOR Quinn27
29
Q2 - 6:54WASSongaila Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)27
29
Q2 - 7:09WASTaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29
Q2 - 7:11MIAMISS Quinn 16' Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 7:21MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
29
Q2 - 7:23WASMISS Taylor 19' Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 7:38WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
29
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 8:04WASTaylor 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
29
Q2 - 8:12WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
29
Q2 - 8:14WASMISS Blatche 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
29
Q2 - 8:2925
29
Q2 - 8:29MIAWright Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T4)25
29
Q2 - 8:50WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
29
Q2 - 8:50WASHaywood Tip Shot (4 PTS)25
29
Q2 - 8:52WASMISS Songaila 16' Jump Shot23
29
Q2 - 9:10MIAPosey P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
29
Q2 - 9:11MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
29
Q2 - 9:28WASTaylor P.FOUL (P1.T2)23
29
Q2 - 9:28WASPosey STEAL (1 STL)23
29
Q2 - 9:37MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
29
Q2 - 9:37MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
28
Q2 - 9:37WASBlatche S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
27
Q2 - 9:39WASWright STEAL (1 STL)23
27
Q2 - 9:50MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams23
27
Q2 - 9:50WASWizards Rebound23
27
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot23
27
Q2 - 10:05WASSUB: Blatche FOR Jamison23
27
Q2 - 10:05WASMason Jr. Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)23
27
Q2 - 10:13WASMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot23
27
Q2 - 10:34WASHaywood Layup (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)23
27
Q2 - 10:41WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
27
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
27
Q2 - 10:50MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
27
Q2 - 10:52WASMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
27
Q2 - 11:13MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 11:36MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
25
Q2 - 11:38WASMISS Haywood 16' Jump Shot21
25
Q2 - 11:41WASJamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
25
Q2 - 11:43WASMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
25
Q2 - 12:0021
25
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS21
25
Q1 - 0:01.0WASSongaila REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
25
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot21
25
Q1 - 0:05.0WASSUB: Songaila FOR Stevenson21
25
Q1 - 0:05.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Walker21
25
Q1 - 0:05.0WASHaywood P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
25
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
25
Q1 - 0:11.0WASMISS Haywood 12' Hook Shot21
25
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)21
25
Q1 - 0:44.0WASHayes 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Taylor 2 AST)21
22
Q1 - 1:00MIAPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
22
Q1 - 1:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22
Q1 - 1:15WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot18
22
Q1 - 1:35MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
22
Q1 - 1:55WASHayes 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 2:13WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
20
Q1 - 2:15MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:29MIASUB: Posey FOR Wade16
20
Q1 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound16
20
Q1 - 2:29WASMISS Jamison 21' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:40WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
20
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:47WASWade STEAL (1 STL)16
20
Q1 - 2:54WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
20
Q1 - 2:56MIAMISS Walker 7' Running Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 3:17WASJamison 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)16
20
Q1 - 3:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
20
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot14
20
Q1 - 3:40MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20
Q1 - 3:42WASMISS Taylor Driving Layup14
20
Q1 - 3:58WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
20
Q1 - 4:00WASMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 4:09MIAWalker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)14
20
Q1 - 4:26WASSUB: Haywood FOR Thomas14
20
Q1 - 4:26WASSUB: Taylor FOR Daniels14
20
Q1 - 4:26MIASUB: Kapono FOR Jones14
20
Q1 - 4:26MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning14
20
Q1 - 4:26WASThomas Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
20
Q1 - 4:35WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 5:00WASHayes 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 5:19MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)12
20
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
18
Q1 - 5:25WASMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)12
18
Q1 - 5:40MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)12
18
Q1 - 5:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
16
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot12
16
Q1 - 5:52MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 5:59WASJamison Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)12
16
Q1 - 6:08WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
16
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot10
16
Q1 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
16
Q1 - 6:26WASMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
16
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
16
Q1 - 6:41MIAWalker L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)10
16
Q1 - 6:41WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
16
Q1 - 6:43WASMISS Thomas 15' Jump Shot10
16
Q1 - 7:02MIAWalker 6' Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
16
Q1 - 7:21WASThomas 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
14
Q1 - 7:40MIAMourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
14
Q1 - 7:54WASJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
12
Q1 - 7:54WASJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 7:54MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
12
Q1 - 8:11MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
12
Q1 - 8:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
9
Q1 - 8:30WASMISS Hayes 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 8:35WASStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
9
Q1 - 8:36WASMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)6
9
Q1 - 8:47WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 8:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9
Q1 - 8:56WASMISS Jamison 11' Jump Shot6
9
Q1 - 9:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
9
Q1 - 9:17MIAWalker Tip Shot (5 PTS)6
9
Q1 - 9:19MIAMISS Jones Reverse Layup6
7
Q1 - 9:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7
Q1 - 9:28WASMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot6
7
Q1 - 9:45MIAWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)6
7
Q1 - 10:05WASHayes Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)6
5
Q1 - 10:14WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
5
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot4
5
Q1 - 10:33WASThomas Slam Dunk (2 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 10:36WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
5
Q1 - 10:38WASMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot2
5
Q1 - 10:54WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
5
Q1 - 11:02MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
5
Q1 - 11:18WASJamison Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Thomas: Tip to Walker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.86 43.2%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
16
26
62%
MIA
15
18
83%
Midrange
WAS
11
40
28%
MIA
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
WAS
10
14
71%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Haywood1454%7.0 / 13
J. Hayes1372%6.5 / 9
A. Jamison1146%5.5 / 12
A. Blatche956%4.5 / 8
D. Taylor836%4.0 / 11
D. Stevenson735%3.5 / 10
A. Daniels750%3.5 / 7
R. Mason Jr.739%3.5 / 9
E. Thomas440%2.0 / 5
D. Songaila214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Walker1956%9.5 / 17
D. Wade1657%8.0 / 14
E. Jones1071%5.0 / 7
J. Williams975%4.5 / 6
A. Mourning975%4.5 / 6
J. Kapono945%4.5 / 10
M. Doleac956%4.5 / 8
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron250%1.0 / 2
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
74
+20
-14
94
MIA
71
+4
-17
75
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
0.86 43.2%
MIA
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
104.2
WAS 93.2
MIA 96.6 +3.4
Pace
94.6
90.1
WAS 87.0
MIA 89.1 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
WAS 16.6
MIA 16.2 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
50.6%
WAS 42.9%
MIA 55.4% +12.5%
TO %
13.9%
15.3%
WAS 14.3% −4.5%
MIA 18.8%
ORB %
28.1%
24.9%
WAS 32.6% +23.2%
MIA 9.4%
FTrt
35.6
32.1
WAS 16.7
MIA 29.2 +12.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
57.6%
WAS 51.5%
MIA 54.5% +3.0%
STL %
8.1%
7.6%
WAS 6.8% +1.1%
MIA 5.7%
BLK %
7.3%
8.8%
WAS 4.1%
MIA 10.6% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
52.4%
WAS 43.2%
MIA 56.7% +13.5%
Rim FG%
57.8%
61.8%
WAS 61.5%
MIA 83.3% +21.8%
Mid FG%
39.9%
40.5%
WAS 27.5%
MIA 38.7% +11.2%
3P %
34.8%
34.3%
WAS 33.3%
MIA 37.5% +4.2%
FT %
76.5%
69.0%
WAS 71.4% +3.0%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
34.9%
WAS 31.0% +3.3%
MIA 27.7%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
40.7%
WAS 47.6% −0.1%
MIA 47.7%
3P Att. %
23.7%
24.5%
WAS 21.4%
MIA 24.6% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points8285
Rebounds4434
Assists1718
Steals65
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)3 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (3)
Field Goals33-8433-65
At-the-Rim FG16-2615-18
Midrange FG11-4012-31
2-Point FG27-6627-49
3-Point FG6-186-16
Free Throws10-1413-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
28.5
13
72%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
28.1
11
46%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 218 · 26
24.4
7
35%
1
3
0
0
2
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 205 · 32
22.9
7
50%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
17.2
4
40%
6
0
0
0
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 248 · 29
25.4
2
14%
8
2
0
0
3
2
2
6
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 193 · 25
25.1
8
36%
3
4
3
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21
23.1
9
56%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 263 · 27
21.7
14
54%
10
0
0
1
0
2
5
5
2-4
50%
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 27
19.1
7
39%
4
4
1
1
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 230 · 31
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30
#42 · F · 6'8" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'7" 228 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#0 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
43%
44
17
6
2
14
0
15
29
10-14
71%
27-66
41%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.