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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards24%9482
8Heat76%10385
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.7
28.5
26.9
13
72%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
43%
1-2
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
28.1
38.7
11
46%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
48%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.0
24.4
31.7
7
35%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
0-5
4-7
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.1
22.9
35.8
7
51%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
17.2
26.0
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.2
25.4
27.1
2
14%
8
2
0
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
1-7
4-9
14%
50%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.7
25.1
10.0
8
36%
3
4
3
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-10
1-3
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.6
23.1
10.3
9
57%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.4
21.7
7.4
14
55%
10
0
0
0
1
0
5
5
2-4
50%
6-11
1-2
55%
54%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.6
19.1
11.0
7
39%
4
4
1
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
1-5
20%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.9
4.5
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.2
10.2
0
0-1
40%
Mike Hall
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.1
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.7
35.5
21.9
19
55%
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
3-5
60%
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
2-7
29%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.2
34.3
25.6
16
59%
6
7
2
1
0
7
0
6
4-6
67%
6-11
6-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.4
31.7
26.9
9
75%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
1-2
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.5
28.4
30.3
10
71%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.2
24.0
16.9
9
77%
3
0
0
0
5
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.2
26.5
26.5
9
45%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.8
23.8
9.6
9
51%
6
0
0
0
1
1
0
6
3-4
75%
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.4
15.3
10.8
2
53%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.2
11.7
28.1
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
5.9
6.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
2.9
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
6.5
0
1-2
50%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.7
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.