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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers42%96104
24Bucks58%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.0
37.3
36.5
18
53%
6
10
0
1
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
8-14
5-9
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.6
36.9
35.8
25
64%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
8-10
80%
7-13
5-9
54%
50%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.5
36.2
37.1
16
45%
9
4
2
1
4
2
3
6
2-2
100%
7-17
8-18
41%
47%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.4
31.6
22.9
11
47%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
3-7
2-4
43%
39%
0-2
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
21.1
19.0
3
39%
13
1
0
1
2
0
3
10
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.8
24.3
21.7
16
71%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
5-5
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.9
19.7
25.6
9
53%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
0-1
0%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.1
16.4
18.3
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.6
11.7
11.9
2
50%
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.2
4.9
6.0
2
18%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.7
4.7
0
1-1
54%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25.1
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.3
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.1
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
42.2
24.8
23
52%
6
7
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
7-14
4-8
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
37.4
32.9
14
44%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
50%
0-2
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
34.9
18.6
18
53%
13
2
0
1
3
2
8
5
0-0
-
9-17
2-5
53%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.9
31.5
28.6
2
13%
5
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
17.4
30.9
10
54%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
4-8
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
35.7
19.4
18
86%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
46%
3-3
100%
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.5
19.7
17.5
9
60%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-6
2-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
13.1
19.5
2
33%
4
1
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
8.2
19.8
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
17.1
1
3-6
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
10.5
0
1-2
51%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
8.2
0
1-2
49%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.9
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.