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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Nets35%9176
5Cavaliers65%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 31.4
35.5
27.3
11
74%
5
0
2
1
0
3
3
2
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
56%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.2
34.8
37.1
26
64%
3
4
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-5
80%
8-14
6-14
57%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.1
31.1
33.6
8
40%
11
8
1
1
0
4
1
10
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 26.8
27.6
33.2
5
19%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-12
4-8
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.4
17.4
23.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 26.8
29.9
22.8
9
51%
2
0
2
1
0
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 22.4
23.0
17.6
10
85%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.4
16.9
13.9
0
0%
2
5
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
14.4
9.4
3
52%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
6.4
6.1
4
106%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 40.3
3.1
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 26.3
2.1
0
0-0
43%
Mile Ilic
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.9
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.7
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.2
41.6
36.1
19
53%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-7
43%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
2-4
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.3
35.3
40.4
35
57%
8
4
2
2
1
2
3
5
5-9
56%
15-26
9-16
58%
53%
0-1
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.9
28.4
29.2
8
57%
9
3
1
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
6-11
57%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
28.0
31.5
8
100%
9
1
1
1
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
4-4
6-11
100%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.4
24.6
32.8
13
122%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
4-7
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.5
26.4
20.6
1
57%
6
1
2
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.1
17.7
10.2
2
26%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.2
13.1
7.1
2
17%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
13.0
10.2
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.0
7.7
17.1
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.6
4.2
3.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.2
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.8
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.4
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.