Final Win Prob. pScore
2226%89
96
574%97
100
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
109.18883.1
MIA logo Heat
113.68893.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA96
100
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
100
Q4 - 0:04.0INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
100
Q4 - 0:11.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
100
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 296
100
Q4 - 0:14.0INDSUB: O'Neal FOR Shaw. Williams96
100
Q4 - 0:14.0INDSUB: Murphy FOR McLeod96
100
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
100
Q4 - 0:14.0INDMcLeod P.FOUL (P3.PN)96
99
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Kapono FOR Walker96
99
Q4 - 0:15.0INDSUB: McLeod FOR Murphy96
99
Q4 - 0:15.0INDSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR O'Neal96
99
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)96
99
Q4 - 0:15.0INDDunleavy L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)96
99
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
99
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot96
99
Q4 - 0:22.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)96
99
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)96
99
Q4 - 0:39.0INDGranger Driving Layup (24 PTS)96
97
Q4 - 0:43.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)94
97
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWade Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)94
97
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)94
95
Q4 - 0:53.0INDMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot94
95
Q4 - 1:14INDPacers Rebound94
95
Q4 - 1:16INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot94
95
Q4 - 1:29MIASUB: Haslem FOR O'Neal94
95
Q4 - 1:29INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)94
95
Q4 - 1:29MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)94
95
Q4 - 1:35INDWade STEAL (5 STL)94
92
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)94
92
Q4 - 2:05INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
90
Q4 - 2:05INDPacers Rebound93
90
Q4 - 2:05INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 293
90
Q4 - 2:05MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.PN)93
90
Q4 - 2:26MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)93
90
Q4 - 2:43INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)93
88
Q4 - 2:43INDPacers Rebound92
88
Q4 - 2:43INDMISS Granger Free Throw 1 of 292
88
Q4 - 2:43INDSUB: Dunleavy FOR Shaw. Williams92
88
Q4 - 2:43MIAPosey P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
88
Q4 - 2:58MIAWade Driving Layup (17 PTS)92
88
Q4 - 3:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
86
Q4 - 3:05INDMISS O'Neal Driving Layup92
86
Q4 - 3:22INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
86
Q4 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot92
86
Q4 - 3:40MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
86
Q4 - 3:41INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 292
86
Q4 - 3:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)92
86
Q4 - 3:41MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.PN)91
86
Q4 - 4:02MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)91
86
Q4 - 4:20INDGranger Dunk (21 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)91
84
Q4 - 4:34INDSUB: Murphy FOR Foster89
84
Q4 - 4:34INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)89
84
Q4 - 4:35MIAWade Reverse Dunk (15 PTS)89
84
Q4 - 4:39INDWade STEAL (4 STL)89
82
Q4 - 4:48INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
82
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup89
82
Q4 - 5:06INDShaw. Williams 8' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)89
82
Q4 - 5:29MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)87
82
Q4 - 5:38INDSUB: Foster FOR Murphy87
79
Q4 - 5:38INDSUB: O'Neal FOR Diogu87
79
Q4 - 5:38INDDiogu P.FOUL (P6.T3)87
79
Q4 - 5:50INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
79
Q4 - 5:50MIASUB: Williams FOR Kapono86
79
Q4 - 5:50INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
79
Q4 - 5:50MIAWade S.FOUL (P4.T4)85
79
Q4 - 5:51INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
79
Q4 - 5:53INDMISS Murphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
79
Q4 - 5:58INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
79
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade Layup85
79
Q4 - 6:13INDDiogu 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)85
79
Q4 - 6:38MIAO'Neal 11' Hook Shot (19 PTS)83
79
Q4 - 6:52INDDiogu L.B.FOUL (P5.T2)83
77
Q4 - 6:54MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
77
Q4 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup83
77
Q4 - 7:05INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)83
77
Q4 - 7:17INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
77
Q4 - 7:19MIAMISS O'Neal Layup83
77
Q4 - 7:29MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning83
77
Q4 - 7:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)83
77
Q4 - 7:39INDDiogu 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 6 AST)83
77
Q4 - 7:56INDPacers Rebound81
77
Q4 - 7:58MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 8:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
77
Q4 - 8:09INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 8:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
77
Q4 - 8:14INDMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 8:18INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
77
Q4 - 8:20INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)81
77
Q4 - 8:37INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
77
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot81
77
Q4 - 8:56INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)81
77
Q4 - 8:56INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
77
Q4 - 8:5679
77
Q4 - 8:56MIAWalker S.FOUL (P3.T3)79
77
Q4 - 9:22MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)79
77
Q4 - 9:38MIAHEAT Rebound79
75
Q4 - 9:41INDMISS Armstrong 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
75
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)79
75
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)79
74
Q4 - 9:57INDDiogu S.FOUL (P4.T1)79
73
Q4 - 10:15INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 5 AST)79
73
Q4 - 10:24MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T2)76
73
Q4 - 10:38MIAWalker Driving Layup (8 PTS)76
73
Q4 - 10:55INDDiogu 9' Hook Shot (3 PTS)76
71
Q4 - 11:07MIAPosey P.FOUL (P2.T1)74
71
Q4 - 11:16INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
71
Q4 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup74
71
Q4 - 11:31INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
71
Q4 - 11:31INDMurphy OFF.Foul (P1)74
71
Q4 - 11:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)74
71
Q4 - 12:0074
71
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
71
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
71
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 59' 3PT Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)74
71
Q3 - 0:21.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)71
71
Q3 - 0:23.0INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot71
71
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (17 PTS)71
71
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
69
Q3 - 0:57.0INDMISS Murphy 9' Running Hook Shot71
69
Q3 - 1:14INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
69
Q3 - 1:16MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup71
69
Q3 - 1:37INDGranger 7' Hook Shot (19 PTS)71
69
Q3 - 1:56INDMcLeod REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
69
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot69
69
Q3 - 2:21INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)69
69
Q3 - 2:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
69
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
69
Q3 - 2:45MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
69
Q3 - 2:47INDMISS Foster 6' Jump Shot67
69
Q3 - 2:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)67
69
Q3 - 2:52INDMISS Dunleavy 6' Jump Shot67
69
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wade67
69
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem67
69
Q3 - 3:10INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)67
69
Q3 - 3:11MIAO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
69
Q3 - 3:33INDDunleavy Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)67
67
Q3 - 3:44MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)65
67
Q3 - 3:44INDPacers Rebound65
67
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot65
67
Q3 - 3:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
67
Q3 - 3:47MIAMISS Jones Layup65
67
Q3 - 4:08INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)65
67
Q3 - 4:25MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
67
Q3 - 4:38INDMcLeod 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
64
Q3 - 4:55MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 5:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
62
Q3 - 5:07INDMISS Dunleavy 9' Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 5:23INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
62
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 260
62
Q3 - 5:24MIAHEAT Rebound60
62
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 260
62
Q3 - 5:24INDFoster S.FOUL (P3.PN)60
62
Q3 - 5:24MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
62
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 5:44INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
62
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Haslem Layup58
62
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)58
62
Q3 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
61
Q3 - 5:59INDSUB: Murphy FOR O'Neal58
60
Q3 - 5:59INDO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T4)58
60
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
60
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Wade Layup58
60
Q3 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
60
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS Haslem Layup58
60
Q3 - 6:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
60
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 6:23INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
60
Q3 - 6:25MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 6:38INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T13)58
60
Q3 - 6:38INDO'Neal OFF.Foul (P3)58
60
Q3 - 6:56INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
60
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot58
60
Q3 - 7:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
60
Q3 - 7:16INDFoster Layup (10 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)58
60
Q3 - 7:43MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)56
60
Q3 - 8:01INDFoster Dunk (8 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 8:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)54
58
Q3 - 8:07INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 8:20INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
58
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 8:40MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
58
Q3 - 8:42MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 154
58
Q3 - 8:42INDDunleavy S.FOUL (P2.T3)54
58
Q3 - 8:42MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)54
58
Q3 - 8:57INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)54
56
Q3 - 9:04INDPacers Rebound52
56
Q3 - 9:04INDMISS Granger Free Throw Technical52
56
Q3 - 9:04MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )52
56
Q3 - 9:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
56
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
56
Q3 - 9:26INDDunleavy P.FOUL (P1.T2)52
56
Q3 - 9:33INDWade STEAL (3 STL)52
56
Q3 - 9:45MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)52
56
Q3 - 9:45MIAHEAT Rebound52
55
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 252
55
Q3 - 9:45INDFoster S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
55
Q3 - 10:02INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
55
Q3 - 10:19MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
55
Q3 - 10:39INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)50
53
Q3 - 10:44INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
53
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade Layup48
53
Q3 - 11:04INDGranger 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
53
Q3 - 11:28MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)46
53
Q3 - 11:43INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)46
53
Q3 - 12:0046
53
Q2 - 0:00.0IND46
53
Q2 - 0:00.0INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
53
Q2 - 0:03.0INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
53
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
53
Q2 - 0:08.0INDSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Foster46
52
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)46
52
Q2 - 0:08.0INDFoster S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
51
Q2 - 0:25.0INDSUB: Armstrong FOR McLeod46
51
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMcLeod P.FOUL (P2.T4)46
51
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
51
Q2 - 0:27.0INDPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)46
51
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)46
51
Q2 - 0:54.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
48
Q2 - 0:54.0INDSUB: Foster FOR O'Neal45
48
Q2 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Kapono FOR Jones45
48
Q2 - 0:54.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
48
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)44
48
Q2 - 1:02MIAMourning Dunk (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)44
48
Q2 - 1:04MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
46
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot44
46
Q2 - 1:11MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
46
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup44
46
Q2 - 1:26INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
46
Q2 - 1:26INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 1:26MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)42
46
Q2 - 1:35MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)42
46
Q2 - 1:54INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
46
Q2 - 1:54INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
46
Q2 - 1:54MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade40
46
Q2 - 1:54MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal40
46
Q2 - 1:54MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem40
46
Q2 - 1:54INDSUB: Murphy FOR Foster40
46
Q2 - 1:5440
46
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.PN)40
46
Q2 - 1:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
46
Q2 - 2:15INDO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)40
46
Q2 - 2:39MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)38
46
Q2 - 2:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
44
Q2 - 2:50INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot38
44
Q2 - 3:04MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)38
44
Q2 - 3:21INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 3:21INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 3:21MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)36
42
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T4)36
42
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)36
42
Q2 - 3:48INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)36
42
Q2 - 4:12MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)33
42
Q2 - 4:25INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
39
Q2 - 4:25INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 4:25INDSUB: McLeod FOR Armstrong31
39
Q2 - 4:25MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
39
Q2 - 4:45MIAO'Neal Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)31
39
Q2 - 4:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
37
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup31
37
Q2 - 4:59MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
37
Q2 - 5:01INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot31
37
Q2 - 5:18MIAPosey Reverse Layup (8 PTS)31
37
Q2 - 5:36INDDunleavy 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)31
35
Q2 - 5:56MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)29
35
Q2 - 6:06MIASUB: Haslem FOR Quinn29
32
Q2 - 6:06MIASUB: Williams FOR Walker29
32
Q2 - 6:06MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)29
32
Q2 - 6:15INDArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)29
32
Q2 - 6:27INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
32
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 6:40INDSUB: Granger FOR Shaw. Williams26
32
Q2 - 6:40MIAHEAT Rebound26
32
Q2 - 6:42INDMISS Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 6:47INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
32
Q2 - 6:48MIAMISS Walker 9' Jump Bank Shot26
32
Q2 - 7:06INDDunleavy Layup (2 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)26
32
Q2 - 7:09MIAO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)24
32
Q2 - 7:31MIASUB: Wade FOR Kapono24
32
Q2 - 7:31MIAHEAT Rebound24
32
Q2 - 7:33INDMISS Shaw. Williams 22' Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 7:49MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)24
32
Q2 - 8:08INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)24
32
Q2 - 8:09INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
32
Q2 - 8:11INDMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
32
Q2 - 8:24MIAWalker P.FOUL (P2.T2)24
32
Q2 - 8:29INDSUB: Foster FOR Murphy24
32
Q2 - 8:29MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning24
32
Q2 - 8:29INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)24
32
Q2 - 8:37MIAWalker 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
32
Q2 - 8:45INDMourning STEAL (1 STL)24
30
Q2 - 8:56MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)24
30
Q2 - 9:16INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)24
27
Q2 - 9:21INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
27
Q2 - 9:23INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot22
27
Q2 - 9:34MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
27
Q2 - 9:34INDSUB: O'Neal FOR Diogu22
26
Q2 - 9:34MIAHEAT Rebound22
26
Q2 - 9:34MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 222
26
Q2 - 9:34INDDiogu S.FOUL (P3.T3)22
26
Q2 - 9:59INDShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)22
26
Q2 - 10:11INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
26
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot19
26
Q2 - 10:16MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26
Q2 - 10:19INDMISS Armstrong 14' Jump Shot19
26
Q2 - 10:33INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
26
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot19
26
Q2 - 10:54INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
26
Q2 - 10:54INDPacers Rebound18
26
Q2 - 10:54INDMISS Diogu Free Throw 1 of 218
26
Q2 - 10:54MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T1)18
26
Q2 - 11:03INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
26
Q2 - 11:13INDDiogu P.FOUL (P2.T2)18
26
Q2 - 11:21INDDiogu L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)18
26
Q2 - 11:21MIAHEAT Rebound18
26
Q2 - 11:23INDMISS Armstrong 12' Running Jump Shot18
26
Q2 - 11:29INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
26
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Kapono 13' Jump Shot18
26
Q2 - 11:46MIAMourning Violation:Defensive Goaltending18
26
Q2 - 11:46INDShaw. Williams 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)18
26
Q2 - 12:0016
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA16
26
Q1 - 0:00.0IND16
26
Q1 - 0:00.0INDShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)16
26
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
26
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24
Q1 - 0:40.0INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot13
24
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)13
24
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
22
Q1 - 1:01MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot13
22
Q1 - 1:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22
Q1 - 1:25INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 213
22
Q1 - 1:25INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
22
Q1 - 1:25INDSUB: Diogu FOR Foster12
22
Q1 - 1:25MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
22
Q1 - 1:37INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
22
Q1 - 1:39INDMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot12
22
Q1 - 1:59MIAWalker Driving Dunk (4 PTS)12
22
Q1 - 2:18INDArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)12
20
Q1 - 2:36MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
20
Q1 - 2:54INDSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McLeod9
17
Q1 - 2:54INDSUB: Armstrong FOR Dunleavy9
17
Q1 - 2:54MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal9
17
Q1 - 2:54INDMcLeod Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)9
17
Q1 - 3:13INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
17
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot9
17
Q1 - 3:23INDJones STEAL (3 STL)9
17
Q1 - 3:40MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
17
Q1 - 3:52MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams9
15
Q1 - 3:52MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wade9
15
Q1 - 3:52INDSUB: Murphy FOR O'Neal9
15
Q1 - 3:52INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)9
15
Q1 - 3:52INDO'Neal P.FOUL (P2.T3)9
15
Q1 - 4:00MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
15
Q1 - 4:02INDMISS McLeod 20' Fadeaway Jumper9
15
Q1 - 4:23INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
15
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot9
15
Q1 - 4:38INDWalker STEAL (1 STL)9
15
Q1 - 4:55MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)9
15
Q1 - 4:59INDJones STEAL (2 STL)9
13
Q1 - 5:14MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)9
13
Q1 - 5:22INDMcLeod P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
11
Q1 - 5:38INDMcLeod 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 5:49MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3)7
11
Q1 - 5:58MIAWade 20' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)7
11
Q1 - 6:22INDMcLeod 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)7
9
Q1 - 6:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)4
9
Q1 - 6:41MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T5)4
9
Q1 - 6:41MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P1)4
9
Q1 - 6:46INDWade STEAL (2 STL)4
9
Q1 - 6:54INDPacers Rebound4
9
Q1 - 6:56INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot4
9
Q1 - 7:09MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)4
9
Q1 - 7:18INDFoster Dunk (4 PTS) (McLeod 1 AST)4
9
Q1 - 7:33MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
9
Q1 - 7:38INDWade STEAL (1 STL)2
9
Q1 - 7:45MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem2
9
Q1 - 7:45MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T2)2
9
Q1 - 7:58MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T2)2
9
Q1 - 7:58MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)2
9
Q1 - 8:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
9
Q1 - 8:05INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
9
Q1 - 8:18INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot2
9
Q1 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9
Q1 - 8:28INDMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot2
9
Q1 - 8:35INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)2
9
Q1 - 8:40MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)2
9
Q1 - 8:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
7
Q1 - 8:51INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:08INDPacers Rebound2
7
Q1 - 9:09INDMISS Dunleavy Layup2
7
Q1 - 9:21MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
7
Q1 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7
Q1 - 9:29INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot2
7
Q1 - 9:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
7
Q1 - 9:42MIAHEAT Rebound2
6
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 22
6
Q1 - 9:42INDO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
6
Q1 - 9:47MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 9:49INDMISS McLeod 19' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 10:10MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:19INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:19INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
4
Q1 - 10:19MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
4
Q1 - 10:22INDMISS O'Neal 9' Fadeaway Jumper0
4
Q1 - 10:46MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:52INDJones STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:05INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:07INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:26MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:33INDO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:46INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:48MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. O'Neal: Tip to Williams0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
7
10
70%
MIA
16
30
53%
Midrange
IND
17
45
38%
MIA
17
33
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
MIA
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
IND
21
27
78%
MIA
10
17
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2475%12.0 / 16
M. Dunleavy1450%7.0 / 14
J. Foster1083%5.0 / 6
T. Murphy1050%5.0 / 10
S. Williams1071%5.0 / 7
I. Diogu990%4.5 / 5
K. McLeod770%3.5 / 5
J. O'Neal620%3.0 / 15
D. Armstrong643%3.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2346%11.5 / 25
S. O'Neal2175%10.5 / 14
J. Posey18129%9.0 / 7
A. Walker1150%5.5 / 11
U. Haslem1045%5.0 / 11
A. Mourning770%3.5 / 5
J. Williams550%2.5 / 5
C. Quinn375%1.5 / 2
E. Jones233%1.0 / 3
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
72
+15
-16
87
MIA
76
+12
-12
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 55.2%
MIA
1.12 56.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
104.2
IND 109.1
MIA 113.6 +4.5
Pace
92.4
90.1
IND 83.1
MIA 93.5 +10.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
IND 17.3
MIA 15.4 −1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.6%
IND 52.1%
MIA 57.7% +5.6%
TO %
17.1%
15.3%
IND 16.9%
MIA 12.3% −4.6%
ORB %
28.4%
24.9%
IND 36.4% +6.7%
MIA 29.7%
FTrt
32.4
32.1
IND 37.5 +15.7
MIA 21.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
57.6%
IND 57.6% +8.8%
MIA 48.8%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
IND 5.7%
MIA 12.5% +6.8%
BLK %
8.5%
8.8%
IND 6.3% +2.7%
MIA 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.4%
IND 55.2%
MIA 56.2% +1.0%
Rim FG%
56.1%
61.8%
IND 70.0% +16.7%
MIA 53.3%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.5%
IND 37.8%
MIA 51.5% +13.7%
3P %
34.6%
34.3%
IND 52.9%
MIA 53.3% +0.4%
FT %
76.0%
69.0%
IND 77.8% +19.0%
MIA 58.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
34.9%
IND 13.9%
MIA 38.5% +24.6%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
40.7%
IND 62.5%
MIA 42.3% −20.2%
3P Att. %
21.2%
24.5%
IND 23.6% +4.4%
MIA 19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8888
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points96100
Rebounds3832
Assists1920
Steals511
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)21 (5)
Field Goals33-7241-78
At-the-Rim FG7-1016-30
Midrange FG17-4517-33
2-Point FG24-5533-63
3-Point FG9-178-15
Free Throws21-2710-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
42.7
24
75%
4
3
1
2
5
0
2
2
8-11
73%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'9" 230 · 27
35.8
14
50%
10
4
1
0
4
3
3
7
4-4
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 30
31.0
10
83%
4
2
1
1
0
3
4
0
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 255 · 28
28.4
6
20%
2
2
0
0
2
4
0
2
2-4
50%
2-13
15%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
25.1
7
70%
1
1
0
0
4
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27
26.2
10
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
G · 6'1" 180 · 39
22.9
6
43%
4
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 230 · 21
17.7
10
71%
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
10.2
9
90%
2
0
0
1
0
6
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25
#6 · F · 6'6" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'10" 230 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
55%
38
19
5
4
16
0
12
26
21-27
78%
24-55
44%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.