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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Kings35%9390
12Hornets65%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.9
44.8
22.3
22
54%
2
9
3
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
10-19
2-4
53%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.7
40.4
33.1
26
58%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
10-12
83%
5-13
4-8
38%
49%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
32.1
24.6
12
46%
5
2
0
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.7
16.6
9.8
2
50%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
14.9
18.2
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
32.7
20.3
17
57%
6
3
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
7-12
2-4
58%
46%
1-3
33%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.0
20.5
23.7
3
34%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
18.6
21.0
2
20%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.0
9.9
10.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
9.6
11.9
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
34.6
2
4-9
44%
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
2.9
0
0-1
40%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.5
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.5
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
37.2
34.6
22
67%
8
12
3
2
0
2
1
7
7-8
88%
6-11
4-9
55%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.1
36.5
31.8
15
70%
13
0
0
1
2
4
5
8
3-4
75%
6-9
4-7
67%
57%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
31.2
30.6
17
48%
8
6
0
1
2
1
0
8
2-4
50%
6-15
6-13
40%
49%
1-1
100%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.4
30.9
26.1
19
76%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
30.7
19.0
13
81%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.6
17.3
16.5
2
20%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.4
17.1
21.3
7
70%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-3
33%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.5
16.8
5.7
4
33%
6
0
0
0
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.9
11.4
14.5
1
27%
6
0
0
0
1
4
3
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.0
10.8
16.1
4
69%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.4
17.6
1
2-4
47%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 31.9
1.5
0
0-0
38%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.