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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons55%9491
20Heat45%9280
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.7
43.3
34.8
34
65%
12
1
1
1
0
2
4
8
7-7
100%
12-19
4-8
63%
45%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
38.9
34.7
19
52%
4
11
2
1
0
3
1
3
9-10
90%
5-10
2-5
50%
43%
0-4
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.1
37.0
29.6
11
40%
8
2
2
1
2
2
1
7
1-2
50%
2-9
3-7
22%
45%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.1
21.5
19.7
4
33%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.0
14.2
15.5
3
50%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
26.8
19.8
10
48%
5
1
4
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
41%
2-5
40%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.7
21.4
16.2
5
38%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
3-6
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
20.8
15.7
2
17%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
41%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
16.1
11.6
3
52%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
16.7
1
2-4
47%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
9.3
0
1-1
38%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.8
7.2
0
1-2
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.7
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.0
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
44.2
31.1
23
59%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
8-14
4-8
57%
47%
2-5
40%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
42.0
26.7
11
51%
7
9
1
1
0
4
0
7
3-4
75%
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
31.4
28.1
14
54%
10
1
0
1
1
3
1
9
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
29.3
23.8
9
58%
7
2
0
0
0
4
4
3
1-4
25%
4-6
6-10
67%
56%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
24.3
18.4
9
41%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
4-10
2-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
25.8
24.7
7
39%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.9
19.4
20.7
4
29%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.7
15.6
13.6
3
52%
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
7.5
2.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
0.3
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
0.3
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
16.6
1
2-4
43%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.