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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 1, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Rockets53%102106
7Jazz47%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.4
39.8
37.0
47
71%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
11-14
79%
15-22
8-17
68%
45%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.1
33.6
34.9
8
45%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.4
32.5
26.0
2
33%
13
3
1
1
1
1
3
10
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.1
27.3
36.6
11
38%
7
1
2
1
5
6
1
6
1-1
100%
5-14
9-18
36%
51%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.3
23.6
30.4
8
55%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-3
33%
2-2
1-3
100%
40%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.5
28.8
7.0
7
54%
9
1
1
0
0
0
2
7
1-1
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.4
24.8
23.6
15
75%
0
7
2
1
1
0
0
0
8-9
89%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-1
100%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
15.5
13.3
6
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
7.2
11.7
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.4
7.0
5.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.7
15.4
1
1-3
43%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.1
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 22.8
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
38.6
32.4
18
44%
3
13
1
1
0
3
0
3
6-8
75%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-4
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.9
38.5
34.6
30
53%
16
3
0
1
0
5
6
10
4-7
57%
13-25
8-16
52%
53%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
38.3
35.7
5
37%
6
4
0
1
2
1
2
4
3-4
75%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.4
37.1
21.6
16
68%
10
0
2
0
0
5
3
7
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.6
26.4
22.9
13
74%
1
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
5-5
3-7
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.7
14.2
25.7
3
39%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.4
12.3
13.1
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.9
10.2
5.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
9.9
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.5
9.4
17.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.6
5.1
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.4
6.6
0
1-1
41%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.7
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.