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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat42%9585
23Pacers58%9887
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
37.4
35.7
6
34%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
34.9
38.3
13
45%
14
4
3
1
0
1
5
9
1-3
33%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
2-5
40%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
32.3
22.5
8
50%
8
1
0
1
1
2
0
8
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
31.4
30.2
11
26%
9
3
0
1
1
2
4
5
1-2
50%
5-20
5-10
25%
49%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
28.1
27.1
8
28%
7
1
0
0
4
6
5
2
0-3
0%
4-13
6-11
31%
56%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
28.9
8.1
17
71%
5
3
2
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.9
21.8
19.9
11
55%
4
1
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
3-4
75%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.7
14.8
14.4
9
48%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-3
33%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
10.6
10.1
2
25%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
25.3
1
2-5
46%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
7.0
0
1-2
42%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
4.9
0
1-1
49%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
38.0
35.7
15
43%
7
3
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-1
0%
6-16
4-9
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.5
33.9
32.0
25
90%
9
0
1
1
2
1
0
9
1-2
50%
6-7
4-8
86%
49%
4-6
67%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
32.9
30.4
5
19%
6
10
0
2
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-11
4-9
18%
43%
0-1
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
24.3
29.9
10
40%
9
7
2
1
3
3
4
5
6-8
75%
2-9
6-14
22%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.8
15.9
23.1
6
80%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
26.3
18.1
16
62%
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
4
2-2
100%
7-12
3-6
58%
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.8
23.0
17.5
0
0%
4
1
3
1
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
47%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
21.0
21.6
4
41%
4
0
0
1
4
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.7
13.2
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
9.5
12.2
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
2-5
40%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
1.9
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
4.8
0
0-1
44%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.5
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.7
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.