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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Magic43%10294
15Wizards57%10582
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
43.0
32.2
18
60%
8
4
2
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
6-10
4-9
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.5
41.1
23.9
8
36%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
2-10
20%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.6
39.4
33.3
25
64%
7
8
2
1
0
3
1
6
7-8
88%
6-11
4-9
55%
45%
2-5
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
37.4
35.0
17
64%
15
2
0
1
3
3
4
11
3-5
60%
7-11
6-10
64%
56%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.7
35.7
28.3
17
51%
7
2
2
1
0
3
0
7
6-6
100%
1-8
3-7
13%
46%
3-6
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
19.2
18.0
7
51%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.7
10.6
12.2
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.2
7.5
14.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.3
6.1
11.5
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.3
16.1
1
2-5
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
8.5
0
1-1
43%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
4.4
0
1-1
48%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36.6
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.6
39.5
34.0
23
54%
9
1
0
2
0
2
2
7
4-5
80%
8-15
6-12
53%
47%
1-4
25%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.8
39.3
34.8
10
33%
3
6
2
2
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
0-4
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
36.2
36.6
20
42%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
5-7
71%
3-13
6-12
23%
47%
3-8
38%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.9
31.6
27.5
10
51%
16
0
1
1
5
1
8
8
0-2
0%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.6
23.7
27.4
5
36%
6
2
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.7
23.0
21.6
6
44%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.1
21.9
6.5
6
43%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
39%
2-5
40%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.6
10.0
15.7
0
0%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
8.5
10.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
5.2
4.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.4
1.1
11.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 21.9
5.2
0
1-1
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.